#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Gonzaga at Pepperdine • FINAL31-4 • 9-23Final Score: Gonzaga 96-56 Pepperdine
Gonzaga 97.7%Pepperdine 2.3%
89-65153.4Gonzaga -23.7Southern at Illinois • FINAL17-17 • 28-9Final Score: Southern 55-90 Illinois
Illinois 98.3%Southern 1.7%
66-92158.2Illinois -25.6Dartmouth at Florida • FINAL11-16 • 27-8Final Score: Dartmouth 72-94 Florida
Florida 99.0%Dartmouth 1.0%
64-94158.9Florida -30.0North Carolina Central at Penn State • FINAL14-18 • 12-20Final Score: North Carolina Central 67-90 Penn State
Penn State 77.4%North Carolina Central 22.6%
72-80152.3Penn State -7.8Merrimack at Sacred Heart • FINAL23-11 • 14-19Final Score: Merrimack 80-72 Sacred Heart
Merrimack 69.8%Sacred Heart 30.2%
74-70143.6Merrimack -3.6Missouri State at Delaware • FINAL16-18 • 10-21Final Score: Missouri State 61-43 Delaware
Missouri State 68.2%Delaware 31.8%
75-71145.9Missouri State -3.7Marist at Quinnipiac • FINAL19-12 • 19-13Final Score: Marist 58-64 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 62.5%Marist 37.5%
68-72140.0Quinnipiac -3.4UMass Lowell at Iowa • FINAL15-18 • 24-13Final Score: UMass Lowell 62-90 Iowa
Iowa 94.2%UMass Lowell 5.8%
65-83147.2Iowa -18.1Towson at William & Mary • FINAL19-15 • 20-12Final Score: Towson 70-84 William & Mary
William & Mary 61.9%Towson 38.1%
73-77149.4William & Mary -4.3UMBC at Coppin State • FINAL24-8 • 7-24Final Score: UMBC 93-59 Coppin State
UMBC 95.8%Coppin State 4.2%
81-62142.6UMBC -19.5Detroit Mercy at Youngstown State • FINAL17-15 • 14-17Final Score: Detroit Mercy 73-68 Youngstown State
Youngstown State 58.2%Detroit Mercy 41.8%
74-78152.2Youngstown State -3.9Saint Mary's at Loyola Marymount • FINAL27-6 • 15-17Final Score: Saint Mary's 78-73 Loyola Marymount
Saint Mary's 85.9%Loyola Marymount 14.1%
77-67144.7Saint Mary's -10.0San Francisco at Seattle U • FINAL17-16 • 21-14Final Score: San Francisco 67-59 Seattle U
Seattle U 65.8%San Francisco 34.2%
69-75144.1Seattle U -5.8Omaha at Oregon • FINAL16-17 • 12-19Final Score: Omaha 57-80 Oregon
Oregon 73.1%Omaha 26.9%
72-78150.3Oregon -6.5THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.