#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Kent State at Purdue • FINAL24-10 • 30-9Final Score: Kent State 60-101 Purdue
Purdue 92.9%Kent State 7.1%
73-89162.3Purdue -15.8McNeese at Michigan • FINAL27-6 • 36-3Final Score: McNeese 71-112 Michigan
Michigan 89.0%McNeese 11.0%
69-83151.8Michigan -14.2Yale at Alabama • FINAL23-7 • 24-10Final Score: Yale 78-102 Alabama
Alabama 72.4%Yale 27.6%
79-86164.6Alabama -6.5Cornell at Michigan State • FINAL15-13 • 27-8Final Score: Cornell 97-114 Michigan State
Michigan State 88.4%Cornell 11.6%
75-89163.5Michigan State -13.8Middle Tennessee at Houston • FINAL17-15 • 29-7Final Score: Middle Tennessee 60-69 Houston
Houston 95.8%Middle Tennessee 4.2%
62-82144.4Houston -20.3James Madison at Arkansas • FINAL18-15 • 28-9Final Score: James Madison 74-103 Arkansas
Arkansas 91.7%James Madison 8.3%
74-90164.0Arkansas -16.2Houston Christian at Iowa State • FINAL12-20 • 28-8Final Score: Houston Christian 61-89 Iowa State
Iowa State 99.0%Houston Christian 1.0%
57-87143.5Iowa State -29.6South Dakota State at Arizona • FINAL14-18 • 36-3Final Score: South Dakota State 71-99 Arizona
Arizona 98.0%South Dakota State 2.0%
65-90154.4Arizona -25.1Queens University at Auburn • FINAL21-14 • 21-16Final Score: Queens University 65-106 Auburn
Auburn 87.3%Queens University 12.7%
79-92170.6Auburn -12.5New Haven at Vanderbilt • FINAL14-17 • 27-9Final Score: New Haven 53-96 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 97.8%New Haven 2.2%
61-85146.5Vanderbilt -24.2Southern Illinois at Murray State • FINAL16-16 • 20-13Final Score: Southern Illinois 81-84 Murray State
Murray State 59.8%Southern Illinois 40.2%
76-79155.6Murray State -3.4Belmont at Indiana State • FINAL26-6 • 11-21Final Score: Belmont 80-81 Indiana State
Belmont 80.7%Indiana State 19.3%
82-74155.3Belmont -8.1Delaware State at Rutgers • FINAL8-22 • 13-20Final Score: Delaware State 50-65 Rutgers
Rutgers 92.4%Delaware State 7.6%
60-75135.4Rutgers -14.7Saint Peter's at Fairfield • FINAL17-12 • 21-13Final Score: Saint Peter's 70-66 Fairfield
Fairfield 69.0%Saint Peter's 31.0%
69-74142.6Fairfield -5.5Lipscomb at Cincinnati • FINAL18-13 • 18-15Final Score: Lipscomb 62-89 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 88.3%Lipscomb 11.7%
67-80146.6Cincinnati -12.9Oakland at Wright State • FINAL16-16 • 23-12Final Score: Oakland 73-88 Wright State
Wright State 73.3%Oakland 26.7%
78-86163.5Wright State -7.9Northern Kentucky at Robert Morris • FINAL20-14 • 22-11Final Score: Northern Kentucky 79-77 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 68.5%Northern Kentucky 31.5%
76-82158.2Robert Morris -5.2IU Indianapolis at Cleveland State • FINAL7-25 • 11-22Final Score: IU Indianapolis 86-99 Cleveland State
Cleveland State 57.4%IU Indianapolis 42.6%
86-89175.5Cleveland State -2.6Iona at Mount St. Mary's • FINAL18-14 • 15-17Final Score: Iona 59-66 Mount St. Mary's
Mount St. Mary's 50.8%Iona 49.2%
71-72142.7Mount St. Mary's -1.0Manhattan at Rider • FINAL12-20 • 4-25Final Score: Manhattan 74-71 Rider
Manhattan 65.2%Rider 34.8%
75-72147.2Manhattan -2.9Long Island University at Georgia • FINAL24-11 • 22-11Final Score: Long Island University 74-89 Georgia
Georgia 88.7%Long Island University 11.3%
73-88160.9Georgia -14.4UNC Wilmington at North Carolina A&T • FINAL27-7 • 11-19Final Score: UNC Wilmington 87-78 North Carolina A&T
UNC Wilmington 80.7%North Carolina A&T 19.3%
79-71150.3UNC Wilmington -8.3Drexel at Charleston • FINAL17-16 • 21-11Final Score: Drexel 63-72 Charleston
Charleston 79.0%Drexel 21.0%
67-75142.1Charleston -8.2Campbell at Hofstra • FINAL15-18 • 24-11Final Score: Campbell 72-86 Hofstra
Hofstra 80.6%Campbell 19.4%
70-81151.2Hofstra -10.8Stony Brook at Hampton • FINAL17-15 • 13-19Final Score: Stony Brook 59-62 Hampton
Hampton 53.3%Stony Brook 46.7%
70-72141.7Hampton -1.9Northeastern at Elon • FINAL8-23 • 14-18Final Score: Northeastern 91-103 Elon
Elon 73.5%Northeastern 26.5%
76-84159.3Elon -8.2Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State • FINAL18-14 • 15-17Final Score: Western Kentucky 67-78 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 50.5%Western Kentucky 49.5%
74-76149.8Jacksonville State -1.8Alabama State at Mississippi State • FINAL10-22 • 13-19Final Score: Alabama State 56-94 Mississippi State
Mississippi State 77.6%Alabama State 22.4%
75-83158.1Mississippi State -8.3Lamar at Northwestern State • FINAL12-19 • 10-21Final Score: Lamar 76-61 Northwestern State
Northwestern State 54.9%Lamar 45.1%
67-69136.2Northwestern State -1.3New Orleans at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL16-18 • 19-14Final Score: New Orleans 85-69 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 81.4%New Orleans 18.6%
70-81151.2UT Rio Grande Valley -10.9Stephen F. Austin at East Texas A&M • FINAL28-6 • 11-21Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 75-48 East Texas A&M
Stephen F. Austin 87.1%East Texas A&M 12.9%
78-67144.5Stephen F. Austin -11.4UTEP at Louisiana Tech • FINAL11-20 • 20-14Final Score: UTEP 63-75 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 76.3%UTEP 23.7%
64-73137.5Louisiana Tech -9.1Valparaiso at Northern Iowa • FINAL18-15 • 23-13Final Score: Valparaiso 48-58 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 85.1%Valparaiso 14.9%
62-74136.1Northern Iowa -12.0Evansville at Bradley • FINAL7-25 • 21-13Final Score: Evansville 68-76 Bradley
Bradley 95.5%Evansville 4.5%
64-84148.4Bradley -19.7Alcorn State at Ole Miss • FINAL9-23 • 15-20Final Score: Alcorn State 43-79 Ole Miss
Ole Miss 96.0%Alcorn State 4.0%
65-86151.5Ole Miss -21.1Southern Miss at LSU • FINAL19-16 • 15-17Final Score: Southern Miss 62-90 LSU
LSU 72.9%Southern Miss 27.1%
75-82157.3LSU -7.2Prairie View A&M at Texas A&M • FINAL19-18 • 20-12Final Score: Prairie View A&M 82-111 Texas A&M
Texas A&M 91.2%Prairie View A&M 8.8%
72-87158.3Texas A&M -15.0Mississippi Valley State at Oklahoma • FINAL3-30 • 21-16Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 69-93 Oklahoma
Oklahoma 99.0%Mississippi Valley State 1.0%
61-96156.9Oklahoma -34.9Purdue Fort Wayne at Milwaukee • FINAL17-15 • 12-20Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 55-77 Milwaukee
Milwaukee 66.8%Purdue Fort Wayne 33.2%
77-81158.9Milwaukee -4.1Bethune-Cookman at Oklahoma State • FINAL17-15 • 20-15Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 77-103 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State 82.4%Bethune-Cookman 17.6%
77-87164.0Oklahoma State -10.5Jackson State at TCU • FINAL12-21 • 23-12Final Score: Jackson State 64-115 TCU
TCU 97.7%Jackson State 2.3%
64-90154.2TCU -25.5California Baptist at Utah Valley • FINAL25-9 • 25-9Final Score: California Baptist 66-73 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 64.5%California Baptist 35.5%
70-76145.1Utah Valley -6.0Tarleton State at UT Arlington • FINAL14-18 • 18-14Final Score: Tarleton State 69-63 UT Arlington
UT Arlington 74.4%Tarleton State 25.6%
67-75142.3UT Arlington -7.5Nicholls at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL14-19 • 18-15Final Score: Nicholls 76-71 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74.6%Nicholls 25.4%
68-76144.1Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -8.6Illinois State at Drake • FINAL23-13 • 14-20Final Score: Illinois State 73-56 Drake
Illinois State 59.2%Drake 40.8%
75-73147.7Illinois State -2.0Fairleigh Dickinson at Minnesota • FINAL11-21 • 15-18Final Score: Fairleigh Dickinson 43-60 Minnesota
Minnesota 86.6%Fairleigh Dickinson 13.4%
62-74136.6Minnesota -12.0Southern Utah at Utah Tech • FINAL10-22 • 19-15Final Score: Southern Utah 66-80 Utah Tech
Utah Tech 77.8%Southern Utah 22.2%
74-83156.7Utah Tech -9.2Utah at Washington • FINAL10-22 • 16-17Final Score: Utah 65-74 Washington
Washington 87.9%Utah 12.1%
71-84154.5Washington -13.5Centenary (LA) at Grambling • FINAL0-1 • 14-19Final Score: Centenary (LA) 58-90 Grambling
Grambling 97.6%Centenary (LA) 2.4%
54-90144.8Grambling -36.1Wyoming at Air Force • FINAL18-15 • 3-29Final Score: Wyoming 68-56 Air Force
Wyoming 96.0%Air Force 4.0%
83-64146.6Wyoming -19.4Vermont at Princeton • FINAL22-12 • 9-20Final Score: Vermont 69-75 Princeton
Vermont 63.7%Princeton 36.3%
72-69141.0Vermont -2.6Ohio at Central Michigan • FINAL15-17 • 10-21Final Score: Ohio 80-64 Central Michigan
Central Michigan 51.6%Ohio 48.4%
78-79156.2Central Michigan -1.2Howard at Northwestern • FINAL24-11 • 15-19Final Score: Howard 60-80 Northwestern
Northwestern 58.5%Howard 41.5%
73-75147.3Northwestern -1.9UAlbany at South Carolina • FINAL11-20 • 13-19Final Score: UAlbany 67-96 South Carolina
South Carolina 77.0%UAlbany 23.0%
69-77146.3South Carolina -7.9SE Louisiana at Incarnate Word • FINAL9-21 • 12-19Final Score: SE Louisiana 70-79 Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word 76.3%SE Louisiana 23.7%
65-73138.7Incarnate Word -8.2East Tennessee State at The Citadel • FINAL23-11 • 11-22Final Score: East Tennessee State 74-49 The Citadel
East Tennessee State 87.2%The Citadel 12.8%
80-69148.7East Tennessee State -11.7Western Michigan at Toledo • FINAL10-21 • 19-15Final Score: Western Michigan 79-84 Toledo
Toledo 90.8%Western Michigan 9.2%
72-87159.2Toledo -15.0THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.