#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Gonzaga at San Diego • FINAL31-4 • 12-21Final Score: Gonzaga 99-93 San Diego
Gonzaga 97.3%San Diego 2.7%
88-66153.7Gonzaga -21.8Butler at Creighton • FINAL16-16 • 15-18Final Score: Butler 85-89 Creighton
Creighton 56.8%Butler 43.2%
77-80156.7Creighton -2.6Milwaukee at Wisconsin • FINAL12-20 • 24-11Final Score: Milwaukee 60-80 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 93.5%Milwaukee 6.5%
72-90161.2Wisconsin -17.8Florida State at North Carolina • FINAL18-15 • 24-9Final Score: Florida State 66-79 North Carolina
North Carolina 77.4%Florida State 22.6%
74-84158.0North Carolina -9.4South Carolina State at Tennessee • FINAL10-22 • 25-12Final Score: South Carolina State 54-105 Tennessee
Tennessee 99.0%South Carolina State 1.0%
59-90148.5Tennessee -31.3Louisville at California • FINAL24-11 • 22-12Final Score: Louisville 90-70 California
Louisville 66.2%California 33.8%
80-77157.1Louisville -3.8Georgia Tech at Duke • FINAL11-20 • 35-3Final Score: Georgia Tech 79-85 Duke
Duke 99.0%Georgia Tech 1.0%
59-90149.9Duke -31.0UConn at Xavier • FINAL34-5 • 15-18Final Score: UConn 90-67 Xavier
UConn 85.8%Xavier 14.2%
82-71152.5UConn -11.0Nevada at Colorado State • FINAL24-13 • 21-13Final Score: Nevada 75-62 Colorado State
Colorado State 50.5%Nevada 49.5%
74-75148.7Colorado State -1.3Wofford at Western Carolina • FINAL19-13 • 15-16Final Score: Wofford 79-74 Western Carolina
Western Carolina 73.5%Wofford 26.5%
76-83159.2Western Carolina -6.7Duquesne at Davidson • FINAL18-15 • 20-14Final Score: Duquesne 89-83 Davidson
Davidson 68.3%Duquesne 31.7%
71-77147.8Davidson -5.4Temple at Charlotte • FINAL16-16 • 17-17Final Score: Temple 76-73 Charlotte
Charlotte 58.2%Temple 41.8%
72-75147.3Charlotte -2.4Seton Hall at Marquette • FINAL21-12 • 12-20Final Score: Seton Hall 79-73 Marquette
Seton Hall 50.6%Marquette 49.4%
72-72143.6Seton Hall -0.3Pittsburgh at Miami • FINAL13-20 • 26-9Final Score: Pittsburgh 69-76 Miami
Miami 89.8%Pittsburgh 10.2%
67-82148.9Miami -15.1Miami (OH) at Bowling Green • FINAL32-2 • 18-14Final Score: Miami (OH) 93-83 Bowling Green
Miami (OH) 54.0%Bowling Green 46.0%
82-82163.2Bowling Green -0.1Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan • FINAL17-16 • 10-21Final Score: Massachusetts 74-80 Eastern Michigan
Massachusetts 59.7%Eastern Michigan 40.3%
77-76153.3Massachusetts -1.5Buffalo at Northern Illinois • FINAL17-15 • 9-21Final Score: Buffalo 81-67 Northern Illinois
Buffalo 85.5%Northern Illinois 14.5%
81-72153.0Buffalo -9.3Tennessee State at Tennessee Tech • FINAL23-10 • 13-18Final Score: Tennessee State 88-76 Tennessee Tech
Tennessee State 68.2%Tennessee Tech 31.8%
79-75153.5Tennessee State -4.1Saint Mary's at Pepperdine • FINAL27-6 • 9-23Final Score: Saint Mary's 72-45 Pepperdine
Saint Mary's 95.7%Pepperdine 4.3%
84-65148.1Saint Mary's -18.9Utah State at Fresno State • FINAL29-7 • 13-19Final Score: Utah State 72-63 Fresno State
Utah State 82.7%Fresno State 17.3%
80-71151.1Utah State -8.9New Hampshire at Nebraska • FINAL9-21 • 28-7Final Score: New Hampshire 55-86 Nebraska
Nebraska 98.5%New Hampshire 1.5%
59-85143.9Nebraska -26.7Notre Dame at Stanford • FINAL13-17 • 20-13Final Score: Notre Dame 47-40 Stanford
Stanford 82.7%Notre Dame 17.3%
71-81151.7Stanford -10.1San Francisco at Oregon State • FINAL17-16 • 17-16Final Score: San Francisco 62-70 Oregon State
Oregon State 58.2%San Francisco 41.8%
73-75147.6Oregon State -2.1Washington State at Seattle U • FINAL12-20 • 21-14Final Score: Washington State 55-69 Seattle U
Seattle U 69.2%Washington State 30.8%
70-77147.7Seattle U -7.2Santa Clara at Portland • FINAL26-9 • 15-19Final Score: Santa Clara 92-85 Portland
Santa Clara 87.7%Portland 12.3%
85-73157.4Santa Clara -12.0Pacific at Loyola Marymount • FINAL18-15 • 15-17Final Score: Pacific 71-80 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 63.2%Pacific 36.8%
70-74144.5Loyola Marymount -3.8San Diego State at San José State • FINAL22-10 • 9-24Final Score: San Diego State 81-68 San José State
San Diego State 81.9%San José State 18.1%
81-71151.5San Diego State -10.0New Mexico at Boise State • FINAL26-11 • 20-12Final Score: New Mexico 53-62 Boise State
Boise State 51.0%New Mexico 49.0%
77-77154.3Boise State -0.2South Dakota at North Dakota State • FINAL16-16 • 27-8Final Score: South Dakota 61-84 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 90.0%South Dakota 10.0%
71-87158.4North Dakota State -15.4Loyola Chicago at Rhode Island • FINAL9-24 • 16-16Final Score: Loyola Chicago 61-57 Rhode Island
Rhode Island 86.0%Loyola Chicago 14.0%
63-77139.9Rhode Island -13.4Tulane at East Carolina • FINAL18-15 • 11-20Final Score: Tulane 79-70 East Carolina
East Carolina 62.5%Tulane 37.5%
73-77150.0East Carolina -3.4Wake Forest at NC State • FINAL18-17 • 20-14Final Score: Wake Forest 57-70 NC State
NC State 68.7%Wake Forest 31.3%
77-84161.5NC State -6.9UTSA at Florida Atlantic • FINAL5-25 • 18-15Final Score: UTSA 70-110 Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic 94.6%UTSA 5.4%
67-87154.0Florida Atlantic -19.8Loyola Maryland at American University • FINAL12-20 • 16-16Final Score: Loyola Maryland 69-84 American University
American University 79.1%Loyola Maryland 20.9%
71-80151.0American University -9.6Boston University at Navy • FINAL16-18 • 26-8Final Score: Boston University 77-82 Navy
Navy 77.4%Boston University 22.6%
67-77144.7Navy -9.9South Alabama at Louisiana • FINAL21-12 • 11-22Final Score: South Alabama 63-58 Louisiana
South Alabama 71.4%Louisiana 28.6%
72-67138.7South Alabama -5.0St. Bonaventure at VCU • FINAL17-17 • 28-8Final Score: St. Bonaventure 82-89 VCU
VCU 87.5%St. Bonaventure 12.5%
70-84154.2VCU -13.2George Mason at La Salle • FINAL23-10 • 9-23Final Score: George Mason 80-75 La Salle
George Mason 77.2%La Salle 22.8%
74-67140.9George Mason -7.1Fordham at Dayton • FINAL17-15 • 25-12Final Score: Fordham 56-63 Dayton
Dayton 82.9%Fordham 17.1%
65-74138.7Dayton -9.5Rice at Tulsa • FINAL13-18 • 30-8Final Score: Rice 48-97 Tulsa
Tulsa 93.7%Rice 6.3%
69-87156.4Tulsa -18.0Army at Lehigh • FINAL11-21 • 18-17Final Score: Army 85-78 Lehigh
Lehigh 80.4%Army 19.6%
70-79149.5Lehigh -9.4Bucknell at Holy Cross • FINAL10-23 • 11-22Final Score: Bucknell 58-65 Holy Cross
Holy Cross 68.0%Bucknell 32.0%
69-74142.9Holy Cross -5.9High Point at UNC Asheville • FINAL31-5 • 15-17Final Score: High Point 87-69 UNC Asheville
High Point 87.2%UNC Asheville 12.8%
84-72156.4High Point -12.3Charleston Southern at Gardner-Webb • FINAL15-17 • 4-29Final Score: Charleston Southern 89-79 Gardner-Webb
Charleston Southern 86.0%Gardner-Webb 14.0%
88-75162.7Charleston Southern -12.7Virginia at Virginia Tech • FINAL30-6 • 19-13Final Score: Virginia 85-95 Virginia Tech
Virginia 67.7%Virginia Tech 32.3%
79-75153.8Virginia -3.9Clemson at Syracuse • FINAL24-10 • 15-16Final Score: Clemson 64-61 Syracuse
Clemson 58.6%Syracuse 41.4%
72-71142.6Clemson -1.3NJIT at Pennsylvania • FINAL16-17 • 18-12Final Score: NJIT 61-80 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 89.2%NJIT 10.8%
66-80146.1Pennsylvania -13.9Charleston at Elon • FINAL21-11 • 14-18Final Score: Charleston 85-81 Elon
Charleston 60.2%Elon 39.8%
78-77155.0Charleston -0.9Campbell at Monmouth • FINAL15-18 • 19-15Final Score: Campbell 68-65 Monmouth
Monmouth 65.3%Campbell 34.7%
73-79152.1Monmouth -5.4Stony Brook at William & Mary • FINAL17-15 • 20-12Final Score: Stony Brook 57-76 William & Mary
William & Mary 78.8%Stony Brook 21.2%
73-82154.2William & Mary -9.0Mercer at Furman • FINAL19-13 • 22-13Final Score: Mercer 72-74 Furman
Furman 61.9%Mercer 38.1%
76-79155.3Furman -3.6Texas State at Troy • FINAL19-13 • 22-12Final Score: Texas State 80-100 Troy
Troy 73.7%Texas State 26.3%
71-79150.3Troy -7.8App State at Old Dominion • FINAL19-13 • 12-21Final Score: App State 81-73 Old Dominion
App State 56.7%Old Dominion 43.3%
74-73146.9App State -1.5Towson at Hampton • FINAL19-15 • 13-19Final Score: Towson 62-63 Hampton
Towson 66.7%Hampton 33.3%
70-67137.1Towson -2.8Colgate at Lafayette • FINAL18-15 • 11-21Final Score: Colgate 85-77 Lafayette
Colgate 62.6%Lafayette 37.4%
76-73148.8Colgate -2.5Winthrop at Longwood • FINAL23-11 • 16-16Final Score: Winthrop 70-82 Longwood
Winthrop 62.6%Longwood 37.4%
81-78158.8Winthrop -2.3Northeastern at North Carolina A&T • FINAL8-23 • 11-19Final Score: Northeastern 85-74 North Carolina A&T
North Carolina A&T 64.8%Northeastern 35.2%
76-81157.4North Carolina A&T -5.2Saint Joseph's at Saint Louis • FINAL24-12 • 29-6Final Score: Saint Joseph's 79-102 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 89.0%Saint Joseph's 11.0%
68-84152.6Saint Louis -15.8George Washington at Richmond • FINAL19-16 • 15-17Final Score: George Washington 99-85 Richmond
George Washington 63.7%Richmond 36.3%
79-77155.8George Washington -2.6North Texas at Memphis • FINAL19-14 • 13-19Final Score: North Texas 48-57 Memphis
Memphis 50.5%North Texas 49.5%
72-73145.8Memphis -0.9Wichita State at UAB • FINAL24-12 • 20-12Final Score: Wichita State 75-70 UAB
Wichita State 54.8%UAB 45.2%
77-77153.2UAB -0.0Kansas City at Denver • FINAL4-27 • 15-17Final Score: Kansas City 74-87 Denver
Denver 95.8%Kansas City 4.2%
72-92164.0Denver -20.0Georgia State at Marshall • FINAL10-22 • 19-13Final Score: Georgia State 80-84 Marshall
Marshall 87.7%Georgia State 12.3%
71-84154.6Marshall -13.1Stephen F. Austin at Northwestern State • FINAL28-6 • 10-21Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 74-64 Northwestern State
Stephen F. Austin 83.0%Northwestern State 17.0%
74-65138.7Stephen F. Austin -9.6New Orleans at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL16-18 • 18-15Final Score: New Orleans 69-83 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 66.5%New Orleans 33.5%
71-77147.8Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -6.6Nicholls at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL14-19 • 19-14Final Score: Nicholls 71-69 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 86.6%Nicholls 13.4%
67-80147.4UT Rio Grande Valley -12.9DePaul at Villanova • FINAL16-16 • 24-9Final Score: DePaul 66-71 Villanova
Villanova 85.0%DePaul 15.0%
67-78144.7Villanova -11.4Radford at South Carolina Upstate • FINAL16-16 • 13-19Final Score: Radford 76-69 South Carolina Upstate
South Carolina Upstate 50.8%Radford 49.2%
78-79157.1South Carolina Upstate -1.5Lamar at East Texas A&M • FINAL12-19 • 11-21Final Score: Lamar 69-62 East Texas A&M
Lamar 53.1%East Texas A&M 46.9%
71-71141.9Lamar -0.5THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.