Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 1, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
St. John's at Georgetown • FINAL30-6 • 13-18Final Score: St. John's 95-83 Georgetown
St. John's 83.0%Georgetown 17.0%
75-66141.3St. John's -9.5
Valparaiso at Southern Illinois • FINAL18-15 • 16-16Final Score: Valparaiso 70-75 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 73.7%Valparaiso 26.3%
68-75143.3Southern Illinois -7.7
Evansville at Illinois State • FINAL7-25 • 23-13Final Score: Evansville 47-73 Illinois State
Illinois State 95.4%Evansville 4.6%
62-82143.6Illinois State -20.5
Omaha at South Dakota State • FINAL16-17 • 14-18Final Score: Omaha 69-84 South Dakota State
South Dakota State 74.6%Omaha 25.4%
72-80152.5South Dakota State -7.8
Milwaukee at Wright State • FINAL12-20 • 23-12Final Score: Milwaukee 70-76 Wright State
Wright State 86.4%Milwaukee 13.6%
73-86158.3Wright State -13.2
Samford at VMI • FINAL18-14 • 5-26Final Score: Samford 78-58 VMI
Samford 90.7%VMI 9.3%
83-70152.9Samford -12.2
Chattanooga at UNC Greensboro • FINAL13-19 • 15-19Final Score: Chattanooga 72-77 UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro 64.5%Chattanooga 35.5%
78-81158.9UNC Greensboro -3.6
Portland State at Weber State • FINAL20-11 • 16-16Final Score: Portland State 95-90 Weber State
Weber State 62.5%Portland State 37.5%
76-79155.3Weber State -3.3
Stetson at North Alabama • FINAL12-21 • 9-21Final Score: Stetson 70-67 North Alabama
Stetson 51.5%North Alabama 48.5%
76-77152.2North Alabama -1.0
Jacksonville at Lipscomb • FINAL12-20 • 18-13Final Score: Jacksonville 57-76 Lipscomb
Lipscomb 72.9%Jacksonville 27.1%
71-79150.3Lipscomb -7.3
Florida Gulf Coast at Central Arkansas • FINAL16-18 • 22-12Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 83-85 Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas 75.2%Florida Gulf Coast 24.8%
75-83157.8Central Arkansas -8.3
Tennessee Tech at Little Rock • FINAL13-18 • 12-20Final Score: Tennessee Tech 58-77 Little Rock
Little Rock 62.5%Tennessee Tech 37.5%
72-76147.3Little Rock -3.8
Morehead State at Lindenwood • FINAL20-13 • 18-15Final Score: Morehead State 64-77 Lindenwood
Lindenwood 61.1%Morehead State 38.9%
74-79152.5Lindenwood -5.4
Oakland at Youngstown State • FINAL16-16 • 14-17Final Score: Oakland 85-83 Youngstown State
Oakland 53.7%Youngstown State 46.3%
79-80158.2Youngstown State -1.2
Oral Roberts at North Dakota • FINAL10-23 • 18-17Final Score: Oral Roberts 61-72 North Dakota
North Dakota 67.3%Oral Roberts 32.7%
74-80154.9North Dakota -6.0
IU Indianapolis at Northern Kentucky • FINAL7-25 • 20-14Final Score: IU Indianapolis 72-81 Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky 89.5%IU Indianapolis 10.5%
78-94172.1Northern Kentucky -15.1
Green Bay at Purdue Fort Wayne • FINAL18-15 • 17-15Final Score: Green Bay 72-54 Purdue Fort Wayne
Green Bay 57.8%Purdue Fort Wayne 42.2%
77-78155.2Purdue Fort Wayne -0.3
UC Irvine at Cal State Bakersfield • FINAL23-12 • 8-24Final Score: UC Irvine 81-77 Cal State Bakersfield
UC Irvine 91.8%Cal State Bakersfield 8.2%
84-69152.8UC Irvine -15.2
Southern Miss at UL Monroe • FINAL19-16 • 4-28Final Score: Southern Miss 87-73 UL Monroe
Southern Miss 83.3%UL Monroe 16.7%
82-73155.1Southern Miss -9.9
Northern Arizona at Montana • FINAL10-22 • 18-16Final Score: Northern Arizona 64-78 Montana
Montana 81.1%Northern Arizona 18.9%
71-81152.0Montana -10.9
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina • FINAL21-16 • 19-13Final Score: Georgia Southern 82-81 Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina 56.3%Georgia Southern 43.7%
76-80155.9Coastal Carolina -3.2
California Baptist at UT Arlington • FINAL25-9 • 18-14Final Score: California Baptist 51-63 UT Arlington
California Baptist 61.3%UT Arlington 38.7%
69-68137.5California Baptist -1.1
Western Illinois at UT Martin • FINAL5-26 • 22-11Final Score: Western Illinois 60-67 UT Martin
UT Martin 96.0%Western Illinois 4.0%
57-79136.3UT Martin -22.0
Southern Indiana at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL7-22 • 19-13Final Score: Southern Indiana 55-59 SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville 85.6%Southern Indiana 14.4%
61-74135.1SIU Edwardsville -12.7
Cal State Northridge at UC Davis • FINAL20-14 • 19-14Final Score: Cal State Northridge 80-89 UC Davis
UC Davis 58.2%Cal State Northridge 41.8%
79-82160.7UC Davis -3.3
Drexel at UNC Wilmington • FINAL17-16 • 27-7Final Score: Drexel 53-65 UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington 87.3%Drexel 12.7%
63-76139.3UNC Wilmington -12.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.