#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Indiana State at Northern Iowa • FINAL11-21 • 23-13Final Score: Indiana State 66-75 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 91.4%Indiana State 8.6%
62-77139.1Northern Iowa -15.2Murray State at UIC • FINAL20-13 • 19-16Final Score: Murray State 81-77 UIC
UIC 70.2%Murray State 29.8%
76-82157.7UIC -6.1Bradley at Belmont • FINAL21-13 • 26-6Final Score: Bradley 78-88 Belmont
Belmont 79.1%Bradley 20.9%
74-83157.0Belmont -9.7UC San Diego at Cal Poly • FINAL23-11 • 14-19Final Score: UC San Diego 65-67 Cal Poly
UC San Diego 56.5%Cal Poly 43.5%
81-79160.0UC San Diego -2.0Northern Colorado at Montana State • FINAL20-12 • 18-14Final Score: Northern Colorado 75-89 Montana State
Montana State 62.2%Northern Colorado 37.8%
76-81157.2Montana State -4.3North Florida at Austin Peay • FINAL7-25 • 22-9Final Score: North Florida 83-102 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 92.9%North Florida 7.1%
74-92166.0Austin Peay -18.7Eastern Kentucky at Queens University • FINAL11-21 • 21-14Final Score: Eastern Kentucky 89-91 Queens University
Queens University 77.6%Eastern Kentucky 22.4%
81-89170.9Queens University -8.1Bellarmine at West Georgia • FINAL13-19 • 15-17Final Score: Bellarmine 85-87 West Georgia
West Georgia 59.0%Bellarmine 41.0%
80-84163.4West Georgia -3.6Eastern Illinois at Southeast Missouri State • FINAL13-20 • 20-13Final Score: Eastern Illinois 59-68 Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State 86.0%Eastern Illinois 14.0%
65-77141.2Southeast Missouri State -12.1Utah Valley at Tarleton State • FINAL25-9 • 14-18Final Score: Utah Valley 91-85 Tarleton State
Utah Valley 75.1%Tarleton State 24.9%
78-72149.9Utah Valley -6.4Hawai'i at UC Riverside • FINAL24-9 • 10-22Final Score: Hawai'i 88-45 UC Riverside
Hawai'i 72.3%UC Riverside 27.7%
80-73152.7Hawai'i -6.9Utah Tech at Abilene Christian • FINAL19-15 • 14-19Final Score: Utah Tech 79-64 Abilene Christian
Utah Tech 50.9%Abilene Christian 49.1%
74-75148.6Abilene Christian -0.6Sacramento State at Idaho State • FINAL10-21 • 13-20Final Score: Sacramento State 84-97 Idaho State
Idaho State 69.7%Sacramento State 30.3%
76-82158.5Idaho State -6.4UC Santa Barbara at Cal State Fullerton • FINAL18-14 • 18-16Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 84-95 Cal State Fullerton
Cal State Fullerton 57.1%UC Santa Barbara 42.9%
80-82161.4Cal State Fullerton -2.0Mount St. Mary's at Merrimack • FINAL15-17 • 23-11Final Score: Mount St. Mary's 65-75 Merrimack
Merrimack 85.1%Mount St. Mary's 14.9%
62-73135.3Merrimack -11.3New Mexico State at Florida International • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: New Mexico State 74-89 Florida International
Florida International 60.3%New Mexico State 39.7%
76-79155.5Florida International -3.5Sacred Heart at Niagara • FINAL14-19 • 8-22Final Score: Sacred Heart 61-64 Niagara
Sacred Heart 53.4%Niagara 46.6%
72-72143.7Sacred Heart -0.2Fairfield at Canisius • FINAL21-13 • 10-21Final Score: Fairfield 81-85 Canisius
Fairfield 78.5%Canisius 21.5%
73-66139.0Fairfield -7.0Sam Houston at Western Kentucky • FINAL22-12 • 18-14Final Score: Sam Houston 91-102 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 61.1%Sam Houston 38.9%
79-81160.0Western Kentucky -2.9THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.