#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Wyoming at South Dakota State • FINAL18-15 • 14-18Final Score: Wyoming 87-72 South Dakota State
Wyoming 55.4%South Dakota State 44.6%
75-75150.9Wyoming -0.0Niagara at VCU • FINAL8-22 • 28-8Final Score: Niagara 58-84 VCU
VCU 97.9%Niagara 2.1%
60-85144.3VCU -24.8Wofford at Gardner-Webb • FINAL19-13 • 4-29Final Score: Wofford 83-57 Gardner-Webb
Wofford 87.2%Gardner-Webb 12.8%
85-73157.9Wofford -12.4East Texas A&M at SE Louisiana • FINAL11-21 • 9-21Final Score: East Texas A&M 70-69 SE Louisiana
SE Louisiana 63.2%East Texas A&M 36.8%
66-71136.7SE Louisiana -4.4North Alabama at Alabama A&M • FINAL9-21 • 18-15Final Score: North Alabama 60-68 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 79.1%North Alabama 20.9%
69-78146.8Alabama A&M -9.7McNeese at Houston Christian • FINAL27-6 • 12-20Final Score: McNeese 78-68 Houston Christian
McNeese 92.6%Houston Christian 7.4%
78-63140.5McNeese -15.0Incarnate Word at TCU • FINAL12-19 • 23-12Final Score: Incarnate Word 65-69 TCU
TCU 89.9%Incarnate Word 10.1%
68-82150.5TCU -14.2Toledo at Michigan State • FINAL19-15 • 27-8Final Score: Toledo 69-92 Michigan State
Michigan State 85.0%Toledo 15.0%
71-83154.8Michigan State -12.2Lipscomb at Duke • FINAL18-13 • 35-3Final Score: Lipscomb 73-97 Duke
Duke 98.6%Lipscomb 1.4%
61-88149.4Duke -27.0Howard at Drexel • FINAL24-11 • 17-16Final Score: Howard 74-66 Drexel
Howard 65.7%Drexel 34.3%
72-69140.9Howard -3.0South Carolina Upstate at South Carolina State • FINAL13-19 • 10-22Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 78-72 South Carolina State
South Carolina Upstate 72.1%South Carolina State 27.9%
77-71148.3South Carolina Upstate -6.5Sacred Heart at UMass Lowell • FINAL14-19 • 15-18Final Score: Sacred Heart 82-87 UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell 68.0%Sacred Heart 32.0%
74-79153.8UMass Lowell -5.1Dartmouth at Holy Cross • FINAL11-16 • 11-22Final Score: Dartmouth 89-64 Holy Cross
Holy Cross 53.3%Dartmouth 46.7%
74-75148.4Holy Cross -1.1THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.