#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
DePaul at St. John's • FINAL16-16 • 30-6Final Score: DePaul 66-79 St. John's
St. John's 95.0%DePaul 5.0%
63-82145.8St. John's -19.1Louisville at Tennessee • FINAL24-11 • 25-12Final Score: Louisville 62-83 Tennessee
Tennessee 66.3%Louisville 33.7%
75-80155.2Tennessee -4.4Northern Colorado at Texas Tech • FINAL20-12 • 23-11Final Score: Northern Colorado 90-101 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 86.5%Northern Colorado 13.5%
74-86159.6Texas Tech -11.9East Tennessee State at North Carolina • FINAL23-11 • 24-9Final Score: East Tennessee State 58-77 North Carolina
North Carolina 79.9%East Tennessee State 20.1%
71-80150.9North Carolina -8.9Butler at UConn • FINAL16-16 • 34-5Final Score: Butler 60-79 UConn
UConn 92.1%Butler 7.9%
67-84151.4UConn -16.4Pacific at BYU • FINAL18-15 • 23-12Final Score: Pacific 57-93 BYU
BYU 89.1%Pacific 10.9%
69-83152.2BYU -13.3Abilene Christian at Arizona • FINAL14-19 • 36-3Final Score: Abilene Christian 62-96 Arizona
Arizona 99.0%Abilene Christian 1.0%
60-90150.9Arizona -30.0Queens University at Arkansas • FINAL21-14 • 28-9Final Score: Queens University 80-108 Arkansas
Arkansas 92.2%Queens University 7.8%
80-97176.5Arkansas -16.8Towson at Kansas • FINAL19-15 • 24-11Final Score: Towson 49-73 Kansas
Kansas 80.2%Towson 19.8%
65-75139.2Kansas -9.9Creighton at Xavier • FINAL15-18 • 15-18Final Score: Creighton 98-57 Xavier
Xavier 59.5%Creighton 40.5%
78-80157.9Xavier -2.8Saint Francis at Florida • FINAL7-24 • 27-8Final Score: Saint Francis 61-102 Florida
Florida 99.0%Saint Francis 1.0%
61-98158.8Florida -37.1North Carolina A&T at UNC Greensboro • FINAL11-19 • 15-19Final Score: North Carolina A&T 71-65 UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro 74.2%North Carolina A&T 25.8%
76-83159.5UNC Greensboro -6.6Kansas City at Oklahoma • FINAL4-27 • 21-16Final Score: Kansas City 67-89 Oklahoma
Oklahoma 99.0%Kansas City 1.0%
66-95160.7Oklahoma -29.0Rider at Delaware • FINAL4-25 • 10-21Final Score: Rider 57-65 Delaware
Delaware 84.4%Rider 15.6%
64-76140.2Delaware -11.6Miami (OH) at Wright State • FINAL32-2 • 23-12Final Score: Miami (OH) 83-76 Wright State
Wright State 52.7%Miami (OH) 47.3%
82-82164.0Wright State -0.3Chicago State at Bowling Green • FINAL7-25 • 18-14Final Score: Chicago State 55-76 Bowling Green
Bowling Green 93.0%Chicago State 7.0%
65-84148.8Bowling Green -19.4Florida State at Dayton • FINAL18-15 • 25-12Final Score: Florida State 69-97 Dayton
Dayton 65.5%Florida State 34.5%
74-79152.9Dayton -5.5Canisius at Rhode Island • FINAL10-21 • 16-16Final Score: Canisius 45-62 Rhode Island
Rhode Island 91.8%Canisius 8.2%
59-75134.2Rhode Island -16.0South Carolina at Clemson • FINAL13-19 • 24-10Final Score: South Carolina 61-68 Clemson
Clemson 86.0%South Carolina 14.0%
66-78144.2Clemson -12.6Florida International at Miami • FINAL15-17 • 26-9Final Score: Florida International 81-98 Miami
Miami 89.9%Florida International 10.1%
72-87159.2Miami -14.5UT Rio Grande Valley at Lamar • FINAL19-14 • 12-19Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 83-72 Lamar
UT Rio Grande Valley 68.9%Lamar 31.1%
73-69142.3UT Rio Grande Valley -3.4Marist at Georgia Tech • FINAL19-12 • 11-20Final Score: Marist 76-87 Georgia Tech
Marist 61.3%Georgia Tech 38.7%
73-70142.3Marist -2.8Long Island University at Mississippi State • FINAL24-11 • 13-19Final Score: Long Island University 83-87 Mississippi State
Long Island University 52.9%Mississippi State 47.1%
78-77155.0Long Island University -0.2Little Rock at Morehead State • FINAL12-20 • 20-13Final Score: Little Rock 64-78 Morehead State
Morehead State 70.6%Little Rock 29.4%
71-78148.7Morehead State -6.5Belmont at Evansville • FINAL26-6 • 7-25Final Score: Belmont 83-78 Evansville
Belmont 94.6%Evansville 5.4%
85-68152.3Belmont -17.2Le Moyne at Texas • FINAL15-17 • 21-15Final Score: Le Moyne 53-95 Texas
Texas 92.8%Le Moyne 7.2%
69-86155.2Texas -16.4Oral Roberts at Missouri State • FINAL10-23 • 16-18Final Score: Oral Roberts 62-63 Missouri State
Missouri State 82.4%Oral Roberts 17.6%
70-81151.7Missouri State -10.7Valparaiso at Northwestern • FINAL18-15 • 15-19Final Score: Valparaiso 70-86 Northwestern
Northwestern 75.4%Valparaiso 24.6%
69-76145.0Northwestern -7.4Tarleton State at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL14-18 • 3-30Final Score: Tarleton State 88-64 Mississippi Valley State
Tarleton State 92.3%Mississippi Valley State 7.7%
83-66149.0Tarleton State -16.3Montana State at Cal Poly • FINAL18-14 • 14-19Final Score: Montana State 83-80 Cal Poly
Montana State 57.0%Cal Poly 43.0%
82-80162.3Montana State -2.0Southern at California Baptist • FINAL17-17 • 25-9Final Score: Southern 67-75 California Baptist
California Baptist 88.6%Southern 11.4%
69-82150.5California Baptist -13.3UC San Diego at Loyola Marymount • FINAL23-11 • 15-17Final Score: UC San Diego 67-57 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 53.0%UC San Diego 47.0%
73-74147.2Loyola Marymount -1.5Northern Iowa at UIC • FINAL23-13 • 19-16Final Score: Northern Iowa 60-54 UIC
UIC 50.8%Northern Iowa 49.2%
68-69137.8UIC -1.1Stonehill at New Hampshire • FINAL12-21 • 9-21Final Score: Stonehill 58-59 New Hampshire
New Hampshire 51.9%Stonehill 48.1%
69-70138.7New Hampshire -1.1THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.