#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
South Florida at Alabama • FINAL25-9 • 24-10Final Score: South Florida 93-104 Alabama
Alabama 64.3%South Florida 35.7%
86-89175.0Alabama -3.5Campbell at Gonzaga • FINAL15-18 • 31-4Final Score: Campbell 70-98 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 96.5%Campbell 3.5%
67-90156.4Gonzaga -23.2Arizona State at UCLA • FINAL17-16 • 24-12Final Score: Arizona State 77-90 UCLA
UCLA 86.4%Arizona State 13.6%
71-83153.8UCLA -12.4SIU Edwardsville at Eastern Illinois • FINAL19-13 • 13-20Final Score: SIU Edwardsville 72-76 Eastern Illinois
SIU Edwardsville 61.6%Eastern Illinois 38.4%
69-66135.3SIU Edwardsville -2.8North Florida at Charleston Southern • FINAL7-25 • 15-17Final Score: North Florida 90-113 Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern 85.3%North Florida 14.7%
79-93171.7Charleston Southern -13.7Hampton at Jackson State • FINAL13-19 • 12-21Final Score: Hampton 84-77 Jackson State
Hampton 70.8%Jackson State 29.2%
78-71148.6Hampton -6.5Coastal Carolina at App State • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: Coastal Carolina 49-67 App State
App State 79.1%Coastal Carolina 20.9%
67-76142.1App State -9.1Washington State at Eastern Washington • FINAL12-20 • 14-19Final Score: Washington State 78-63 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 71.3%Washington State 28.7%
76-82158.7Eastern Washington -5.8UC Santa Barbara at Green Bay • FINAL18-14 • 18-15Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 64-67 Green Bay
Green Bay 60.9%UC Santa Barbara 39.1%
75-77152.1Green Bay -2.2Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville State • FINAL11-21 • 15-17Final Score: Eastern Kentucky 62-59 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 76.7%Eastern Kentucky 23.3%
72-81153.9Jacksonville State -9.0UAlbany at Stony Brook • FINAL11-20 • 17-15Final Score: UAlbany 71-55 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 73.7%UAlbany 26.3%
67-74140.9Stony Brook -7.4The Citadel at Charleston • FINAL11-22 • 21-11Final Score: The Citadel 78-82 Charleston
Charleston 92.7%The Citadel 7.3%
67-83150.0Charleston -16.5Vanderbilt at Memphis • FINAL27-9 • 13-19Final Score: Vanderbilt 77-70 Memphis
Vanderbilt 86.3%Memphis 13.7%
85-75159.8Vanderbilt -10.5Mercer at UCF • FINAL19-13 • 21-12Final Score: Mercer 63-81 UCF
UCF 69.9%Mercer 30.1%
79-84162.7UCF -5.2Jacksonville at Florida A&M • FINAL12-20 • 14-16Final Score: Jacksonville 65-72 Florida A&M
Florida A&M 51.0%Jacksonville 49.0%
73-74146.5Florida A&M -0.8Chattanooga at Bellarmine • FINAL13-19 • 13-19Final Score: Chattanooga 64-79 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 59.8%Chattanooga 40.2%
79-82160.6Bellarmine -2.4Maryland Eastern Shore at Wagner • FINAL9-23 • 14-17Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 64-78 Wagner
Wagner 84.1%Maryland Eastern Shore 15.9%
64-75138.5Wagner -11.2Siena at Vermont • FINAL23-12 • 22-12Final Score: Siena 69-83 Vermont
Vermont 60.6%Siena 39.4%
68-71138.3Vermont -3.3Presbyterian at East Carolina • FINAL15-18 • 11-20Final Score: Presbyterian 53-74 East Carolina
East Carolina 56.3%Presbyterian 43.7%
73-75148.0East Carolina -1.5Quinnipiac at Monmouth • FINAL19-13 • 19-15Final Score: Quinnipiac 85-75 Monmouth
Monmouth 65.5%Quinnipiac 34.5%
71-75146.3Monmouth -4.3Alabama State at Cincinnati • FINAL10-22 • 18-15Final Score: Alabama State 51-88 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 95.8%Alabama State 4.2%
63-83146.3Cincinnati -20.2Youngstown State at Robert Morris • FINAL14-17 • 22-11Final Score: Youngstown State 77-80 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 82.9%Youngstown State 17.1%
70-80149.1Robert Morris -10.0Oakland at Northern Kentucky • FINAL16-16 • 20-14Final Score: Oakland 82-77 Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky 65.8%Oakland 34.2%
81-87167.5Northern Kentucky -6.0Longwood at Wake Forest • FINAL16-16 • 18-17Final Score: Longwood 68-71 Wake Forest
Wake Forest 84.4%Longwood 15.6%
73-83156.9Wake Forest -10.0Mercyhurst at Syracuse • FINAL17-17 • 15-16Final Score: Mercyhurst 62-76 Syracuse
Syracuse 77.8%Mercyhurst 22.2%
67-76143.0Syracuse -8.4Binghamton at Pittsburgh • FINAL8-22 • 13-20Final Score: Binghamton 63-103 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh 92.6%Binghamton 7.4%
62-78139.5Pittsburgh -16.1Texas Southern at NC State • FINAL12-17 • 20-14Final Score: Texas Southern 72-108 NC State
NC State 93.5%Texas Southern 6.5%
69-87156.1NC State -17.8Richmond at Elon • FINAL15-17 • 14-18Final Score: Richmond 70-73 Elon
Richmond 50.4%Elon 49.6%
78-78156.1Elon -0.8James Madison at Old Dominion • FINAL18-15 • 12-21Final Score: James Madison 68-77 Old Dominion
James Madison 51.5%Old Dominion 48.5%
76-77153.5Old Dominion -0.6Wofford at Wichita State • FINAL19-13 • 24-12Final Score: Wofford 73-84 Wichita State
Wichita State 89.6%Wofford 10.4%
70-85154.9Wichita State -14.3Cleveland State at UAB • FINAL11-22 • 20-12Final Score: Cleveland State 77-101 UAB
UAB 93.7%Cleveland State 6.3%
73-91163.7UAB -18.4Louisiana Tech at Tulane • FINAL20-14 • 18-15Final Score: Louisiana Tech 53-61 Tulane
Louisiana Tech 54.0%Tulane 46.0%
71-70141.2Louisiana Tech -1.1Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee • FINAL21-14 • 17-15Final Score: Kennesaw State 67-68 Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee 53.8%Kennesaw State 46.2%
77-79156.3Middle Tennessee -1.4Houston Christian at Nicholls • FINAL12-20 • 14-19Final Score: Houston Christian 64-79 Nicholls
Nicholls 72.4%Houston Christian 27.6%
68-75143.5Nicholls -7.0South Alabama at UL Monroe • FINAL21-12 • 4-28Final Score: South Alabama 96-92 UL Monroe
South Alabama 85.5%UL Monroe 14.5%
82-71152.5South Alabama -11.1Alabama A&M at Ole Miss • FINAL18-15 • 15-20Final Score: Alabama A&M 66-80 Ole Miss
Ole Miss 84.6%Alabama A&M 15.4%
69-80149.8Ole Miss -10.8Weber State at Utah Valley • FINAL16-16 • 25-9Final Score: Weber State 74-90 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 81.8%Weber State 18.2%
73-84156.5Utah Valley -11.2Bethune-Cookman at Saint Louis • FINAL17-15 • 29-6Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 53-112 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 95.3%Bethune-Cookman 4.7%
68-90158.3Saint Louis -22.0Georgetown at Marquette • FINAL13-18 • 12-20Final Score: Georgetown 78-69 Marquette
Marquette 64.5%Georgetown 35.5%
69-73141.7Marquette -4.3Arkansas State at Texas State • FINAL20-12 • 19-13Final Score: Arkansas State 89-70 Texas State
Arkansas State 60.2%Texas State 39.8%
78-77155.0Arkansas State -1.5UTSA at USC • FINAL5-25 • 18-14Final Score: UTSA 70-97 USC
USC 92.4%UTSA 7.6%
69-87156.2USC -17.3Seattle U at UC Davis • FINAL21-14 • 19-14Final Score: Seattle U 79-78 UC Davis
UC Davis 54.4%Seattle U 45.6%
73-74147.0UC Davis -1.6North Texas at Santa Clara • FINAL19-14 • 26-9Final Score: North Texas 60-63 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 87.3%North Texas 12.7%
68-81148.2Santa Clara -13.0Portland State at Colorado • FINAL20-11 • 17-16Final Score: Portland State 73-84 Colorado
Colorado 68.7%Portland State 31.3%
76-80156.2Colorado -4.2Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL18-15 • 28-6Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 60-69 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 85.6%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 14.4%
65-77141.6Stephen F. Austin -11.8Sam Houston at Oregon State • FINAL22-12 • 17-16Final Score: Sam Houston 85-75 Oregon State
Sam Houston 58.4%Oregon State 41.6%
78-76153.5Sam Houston -2.5UT Arlington at Stanford • FINAL18-14 • 20-13Final Score: UT Arlington 60-76 Stanford
Stanford 82.9%UT Arlington 17.1%
67-76143.0Stanford -9.1Loyola Chicago at San Francisco • FINAL9-24 • 17-16Final Score: Loyola Chicago 71-85 San Francisco
San Francisco 84.7%Loyola Chicago 15.3%
67-79145.9San Francisco -12.5Portland at Oregon • FINAL15-19 • 12-19Final Score: Portland 69-94 Oregon
Oregon 76.9%Portland 23.1%
71-79150.6Oregon -8.1Air Force at San Diego State • FINAL3-29 • 22-10Final Score: Air Force 58-81 San Diego State
San Diego State 99.0%Air Force 1.0%
57-88145.7San Diego State -31.2THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.