THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Illinois State at Southern Illinois • FINAL23-13 • 16-16Final Score: Illinois State 75-68 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 63.2%Illinois State 36.8%
70-73143.2Southern Illinois -3.5
Drake at Murray State • FINAL14-20 • 20-13Final Score: Drake 72-81 Murray State
Murray State 78.8%Drake 21.2%
76-85160.2Murray State -8.9
Bradley at Indiana State • FINAL21-13 • 11-21Final Score: Bradley 108-99 Indiana State
Bradley 64.7%Indiana State 35.3%
77-74151.4Bradley -2.5
Temple at Davidson • FINAL16-16 • 20-14Final Score: Temple 68-63 Davidson
Davidson 67.8%Temple 32.2%
68-74142.4Davidson -5.7
Western Carolina at Georgia • FINAL15-16 • 22-11Final Score: Western Carolina 82-112 Georgia
Georgia 85.1%Western Carolina 14.9%
77-90167.6Georgia -13.2
Radford at William & Mary • FINAL16-16 • 20-12Final Score: Radford 83-96 William & Mary
William & Mary 76.3%Radford 23.7%
78-87165.2William & Mary -8.2
Southern Utah at Northern Arizona • FINAL10-22 • 10-22Final Score: Southern Utah 57-65 Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona 52.4%Southern Utah 47.6%
76-78154.4Northern Arizona -1.7
American University at VCU • FINAL16-16 • 28-8Final Score: American University 83-105 VCU
VCU 92.1%American University 7.9%
68-83151.2VCU -15.7
Lafayette at Charlotte • FINAL11-21 • 17-17Final Score: Lafayette 67-81 Charlotte
Charlotte 83.1%Lafayette 16.9%
68-79146.9Charlotte -10.6
Southeast Missouri State at Tennessee Tech • FINAL20-13 • 13-18Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 74-85 Tennessee Tech
Southeast Missouri State 58.4%Tennessee Tech 41.6%
75-73147.7Southeast Missouri State -1.5
Furman at Manhattan • FINAL22-13 • 12-20Final Score: Furman 75-68 Manhattan
Furman 75.4%Manhattan 24.6%
79-73152.1Furman -6.7
Delaware State at Saint Joseph's • FINAL8-22 • 24-12Final Score: Delaware State 51-67 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 96.2%Delaware State 3.8%
57-77133.9Saint Joseph's -20.4
Fairfield at Central Connecticut • FINAL21-13 • 18-12Final Score: Fairfield 84-70 Central Connecticut
Fairfield 53.1%Central Connecticut 46.9%
73-73146.2Central Connecticut -0.6
Norfolk State at Grambling • FINAL15-17 • 14-19Final Score: Norfolk State 68-80 Grambling
Grambling 56.3%Norfolk State 43.7%
72-74146.2Grambling -2.8
Winthrop at North Dakota • FINAL23-11 • 18-17Final Score: Winthrop 88-90 North Dakota
Winthrop 70.8%North Dakota 29.2%
83-77160.1Winthrop -5.3
Kansas City at Oklahoma State • FINAL4-27 • 20-15Final Score: Kansas City 79-91 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State 97.4%Kansas City 2.6%
71-94164.6Oklahoma State -23.5
Oral Roberts at TCU • FINAL10-23 • 23-12Final Score: Oral Roberts 53-72 TCU
TCU 92.4%Oral Roberts 7.6%
68-85152.2TCU -16.9
Georgia State at Georgia Southern • FINAL10-22 • 21-16Final Score: Georgia State 67-90 Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern 83.8%Georgia State 16.2%
72-83155.4Georgia Southern -10.6
Louisiana at Southern Miss • FINAL11-22 • 19-16Final Score: Louisiana 54-62 Southern Miss
Southern Miss 85.4%Louisiana 14.6%
65-77141.3Southern Miss -11.9
UT Martin at Tennessee State • FINAL22-11 • 23-10Final Score: UT Martin 71-78 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 75.6%UT Martin 24.4%
69-75144.0Tennessee State -6.7
Little Rock at Southern Indiana • FINAL12-20 • 7-22Final Score: Little Rock 77-62 Southern Indiana
Little Rock 55.9%Southern Indiana 44.1%
70-70140.7Southern Indiana -0.3
Western Illinois at Lindenwood • FINAL5-26 • 18-15Final Score: Western Illinois 76-92 Lindenwood
Lindenwood 94.5%Western Illinois 5.5%
64-84147.3Lindenwood -19.8
Pepperdine at Long Beach State • FINAL9-23 • 10-22Final Score: Pepperdine 78-81 Long Beach State
Long Beach State 69.7%Pepperdine 30.3%
74-81154.9Long Beach State -6.7
Dartmouth at Sacred Heart • FINAL11-16 • 14-19Final Score: Dartmouth 63-85 Sacred Heart
Sacred Heart 63.2%Dartmouth 36.8%
75-79154.7Sacred Heart -4.0
Grambling at Hampton • FINAL14-19 • 13-19Final Score: Grambling 81-72 Hampton
Hampton 67.0%Grambling 33.0%
68-73140.4Hampton -5.1
South Dakota State at Milwaukee • FINAL14-18 • 12-20Final Score: South Dakota State 87-88 Milwaukee
Milwaukee 50.2%South Dakota State 49.8%
77-77154.6Milwaukee -0.1
Coppin State at Navy • FINAL7-24 • 26-8Final Score: Coppin State 55-88 Navy
Navy 98.0%Coppin State 2.0%
58-85142.6Navy -26.8
Seton Hall at Providence • FINAL21-12 • 15-18Final Score: Seton Hall 72-67 Providence
Providence 54.6%Seton Hall 45.4%
77-78154.6Providence -1.1
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.