#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Illinois State at Southern Illinois • FINAL23-13 • 16-16Final Score: Illinois State 75-68 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 63.2%Illinois State 36.8%
70-73143.2Southern Illinois -3.5Drake at Murray State • FINAL14-20 • 20-13Final Score: Drake 72-81 Murray State
Murray State 78.8%Drake 21.2%
76-85160.2Murray State -8.9Bradley at Indiana State • FINAL21-13 • 11-21Final Score: Bradley 108-99 Indiana State
Bradley 64.7%Indiana State 35.3%
77-74151.4Bradley -2.5Temple at Davidson • FINAL16-16 • 20-14Final Score: Temple 68-63 Davidson
Davidson 67.8%Temple 32.2%
68-74142.4Davidson -5.7Western Carolina at Georgia • FINAL15-16 • 22-11Final Score: Western Carolina 82-112 Georgia
Georgia 85.1%Western Carolina 14.9%
77-90167.6Georgia -13.2Radford at William & Mary • FINAL16-16 • 20-12Final Score: Radford 83-96 William & Mary
William & Mary 76.3%Radford 23.7%
78-87165.2William & Mary -8.2Southern Utah at Northern Arizona • FINAL10-22 • 10-22Final Score: Southern Utah 57-65 Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona 52.4%Southern Utah 47.6%
76-78154.4Northern Arizona -1.7American University at VCU • FINAL16-16 • 28-8Final Score: American University 83-105 VCU
VCU 92.1%American University 7.9%
68-83151.2VCU -15.7Lafayette at Charlotte • FINAL11-21 • 17-17Final Score: Lafayette 67-81 Charlotte
Charlotte 83.1%Lafayette 16.9%
68-79146.9Charlotte -10.6Southeast Missouri State at Tennessee Tech • FINAL20-13 • 13-18Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 74-85 Tennessee Tech
Southeast Missouri State 58.4%Tennessee Tech 41.6%
75-73147.7Southeast Missouri State -1.5Furman at Manhattan • FINAL22-13 • 12-20Final Score: Furman 75-68 Manhattan
Furman 75.4%Manhattan 24.6%
79-73152.1Furman -6.7Delaware State at Saint Joseph's • FINAL8-22 • 24-12Final Score: Delaware State 51-67 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 96.2%Delaware State 3.8%
57-77133.9Saint Joseph's -20.4Fairfield at Central Connecticut • FINAL21-13 • 18-12Final Score: Fairfield 84-70 Central Connecticut
Fairfield 53.1%Central Connecticut 46.9%
73-73146.2Central Connecticut -0.6Norfolk State at Grambling • FINAL15-17 • 14-19Final Score: Norfolk State 68-80 Grambling
Grambling 56.3%Norfolk State 43.7%
72-74146.2Grambling -2.8Winthrop at North Dakota • FINAL23-11 • 18-17Final Score: Winthrop 88-90 North Dakota
Winthrop 70.8%North Dakota 29.2%
83-77160.1Winthrop -5.3Kansas City at Oklahoma State • FINAL4-27 • 20-15Final Score: Kansas City 79-91 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State 97.4%Kansas City 2.6%
71-94164.6Oklahoma State -23.5Oral Roberts at TCU • FINAL10-23 • 23-12Final Score: Oral Roberts 53-72 TCU
TCU 92.4%Oral Roberts 7.6%
68-85152.2TCU -16.9Georgia State at Georgia Southern • FINAL10-22 • 21-16Final Score: Georgia State 67-90 Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern 83.8%Georgia State 16.2%
72-83155.4Georgia Southern -10.6Louisiana at Southern Miss • FINAL11-22 • 19-16Final Score: Louisiana 54-62 Southern Miss
Southern Miss 85.4%Louisiana 14.6%
65-77141.3Southern Miss -11.9UT Martin at Tennessee State • FINAL22-11 • 23-10Final Score: UT Martin 71-78 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 75.6%UT Martin 24.4%
69-75144.0Tennessee State -6.7Little Rock at Southern Indiana • FINAL12-20 • 7-22Final Score: Little Rock 77-62 Southern Indiana
Little Rock 55.9%Southern Indiana 44.1%
70-70140.7Southern Indiana -0.3Western Illinois at Lindenwood • FINAL5-26 • 18-15Final Score: Western Illinois 76-92 Lindenwood
Lindenwood 94.5%Western Illinois 5.5%
64-84147.3Lindenwood -19.8Pepperdine at Long Beach State • FINAL9-23 • 10-22Final Score: Pepperdine 78-81 Long Beach State
Long Beach State 69.7%Pepperdine 30.3%
74-81154.9Long Beach State -6.7Dartmouth at Sacred Heart • FINAL11-16 • 14-19Final Score: Dartmouth 63-85 Sacred Heart
Sacred Heart 63.2%Dartmouth 36.8%
75-79154.7Sacred Heart -4.0Grambling at Hampton • FINAL14-19 • 13-19Final Score: Grambling 81-72 Hampton
Hampton 67.0%Grambling 33.0%
68-73140.4Hampton -5.1South Dakota State at Milwaukee • FINAL14-18 • 12-20Final Score: South Dakota State 87-88 Milwaukee
Milwaukee 50.2%South Dakota State 49.8%
77-77154.6Milwaukee -0.1Coppin State at Navy • FINAL7-24 • 26-8Final Score: Coppin State 55-88 Navy
Navy 98.0%Coppin State 2.0%
58-85142.6Navy -26.8Seton Hall at Providence • FINAL21-12 • 15-18Final Score: Seton Hall 72-67 Providence
Providence 54.6%Seton Hall 45.4%
77-78154.6Providence -1.1THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.