#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Loyola Marymount at Gonzaga • FINAL15-17 • 31-4Final Score: Loyola Marymount 47-82 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 97.0%Loyola Marymount 3.0%
64-86150.0Gonzaga -23.0Oregon State at Washington State • FINAL17-16 • 12-20Final Score: Oregon State 67-81 Washington State
Washington State 63.0%Oregon State 37.0%
73-78151.3Washington State -4.6San Diego at Santa Clara • FINAL12-21 • 26-9Final Score: San Diego 70-98 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 96.5%San Diego 3.5%
68-89157.0Santa Clara -21.6Portland at San Francisco • FINAL15-19 • 17-16Final Score: Portland 68-73 San Francisco
San Francisco 79.1%Portland 20.9%
71-81152.5San Francisco -9.6Pepperdine at Pacific • FINAL9-23 • 18-15Final Score: Pepperdine 69-74 Pacific
Pacific 85.6%Pepperdine 14.4%
67-81147.8Pacific -13.3Seattle U at Saint Mary's • FINAL21-14 • 27-6Final Score: Seattle U 76-93 Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's 93.5%Seattle U 6.5%
62-79140.5Saint Mary's -16.6Washington at Indiana • FINAL16-17 • 18-14Final Score: Washington 80-90 Indiana
Indiana 65.3%Washington 34.7%
74-79152.7Indiana -5.3Columbia at Cornell • FINAL16-12 • 15-13Final Score: Columbia 104-99 Cornell
Cornell 72.7%Columbia 27.3%
79-85164.4Cornell -5.9Nebraska at Ohio State • FINAL28-7 • 21-13Final Score: Nebraska 72-69 Ohio State
Ohio State 55.7%Nebraska 44.3%
74-75149.0Ohio State -1.3Alabama State at Arkansas-Pine Bluff • FINAL10-22 • 13-19Final Score: Alabama State 79-90 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 64.3%Alabama State 35.7%
76-81157.4Arkansas-Pine Bluff -4.4THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.