#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
USC at Michigan State • FINAL18-14 • 27-8Final Score: USC 51-80 Michigan State
Michigan State 94.8%USC 5.2%
68-86154.2Michigan State -18.5Dartmouth at Harvard • FINAL11-16 • 17-12Final Score: Dartmouth 76-68 Harvard
Harvard 85.4%Dartmouth 14.6%
67-78145.3Harvard -11.5Oregon at Rutgers • FINAL12-19 • 13-20Final Score: Oregon 85-88 Rutgers
Rutgers 54.4%Oregon 45.6%
72-74146.2Rutgers -1.6Yale at Brown • FINAL23-7 • 9-18Final Score: Yale 70-53 Brown
Yale 91.1%Brown 8.9%
78-66144.2Yale -12.0Milwaukee at Green Bay • FINAL12-20 • 18-15Final Score: Milwaukee 76-79 Green Bay
Green Bay 75.8%Milwaukee 24.2%
74-82155.6Green Bay -7.9Pennsylvania at Princeton • FINAL18-12 • 9-20Final Score: Pennsylvania 76-78 Princeton
Pennsylvania 63.1%Princeton 36.9%
74-72146.2Pennsylvania -2.2William & Mary at Charleston • FINAL20-12 • 21-11Final Score: William & Mary 79-88 Charleston
Charleston 62.5%William & Mary 37.5%
77-81158.0Charleston -3.4Lamar at SE Louisiana • FINAL12-19 • 9-21Final Score: Lamar 52-60 SE Louisiana
Lamar 52.3%SE Louisiana 47.7%
67-67133.3Lamar -0.2Texas Southern at Grambling • FINAL12-17 • 14-19Final Score: Texas Southern 67-84 Grambling
Grambling 64.0%Texas Southern 36.0%
70-75144.4Grambling -5.3Prairie View A&M at Southern • FINAL19-18 • 17-17Final Score: Prairie View A&M 89-85 Southern
Southern 69.7%Prairie View A&M 30.3%
77-83159.7Southern -5.9Incarnate Word at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL12-19 • 19-14Final Score: Incarnate Word 67-80 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 85.3%Incarnate Word 14.7%
68-80147.9UT Rio Grande Valley -11.8Northwestern State at Nicholls • FINAL10-21 • 14-19Final Score: Northwestern State 72-74 Nicholls
Nicholls 68.3%Northwestern State 31.7%
68-73141.2Nicholls -5.6Stephen F. Austin at McNeese • FINAL28-6 • 27-6Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 64-66 McNeese
McNeese 77.6%Stephen F. Austin 22.4%
67-76143.0McNeese -8.2Alabama A&M at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL18-15 • 3-30Final Score: Alabama A&M 71-51 Mississippi Valley State
Alabama A&M 90.3%Mississippi Valley State 9.7%
80-66146.9Alabama A&M -13.9Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Houston Christian • FINAL18-15 • 12-20Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 81-65 Houston Christian
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 62.6%Houston Christian 37.4%
71-68139.2Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -3.2East Texas A&M at New Orleans • FINAL11-21 • 16-18Final Score: East Texas A&M 73-83 New Orleans
New Orleans 81.4%East Texas A&M 18.6%
71-80150.7New Orleans -9.4Massachusetts at Ohio • FINAL17-16 • 15-17Final Score: Massachusetts 83-86 Ohio
Ohio 53.0%Massachusetts 47.0%
80-81161.0Ohio -1.1THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.