THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →

1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams

TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET

#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference

81.7122.295.2+26.9

#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference

80.9122.397+25.2

#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference

79.9120.396.9+23.4

#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference

79.7120.999.3+21.7

#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference

76.5125103.3+21.7

#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference

76.4119.794+25.7

#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference

76118.495.9+22.5

#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference

75.9119.396+23.3

#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference

73.2124.8107.8+17

#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference

70.7116.797.4+19.3

#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference

70.3114.497.6+16.8

#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference

70.2116.398.4+17.9

#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference

69.8117101.5+15.5

#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference

69.5121.6111.2+10.4

#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference

69.3122.2109.8+12.4

#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference

69123.898.3+25.5

#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference

68.9119101.8+17.2

#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference

68.9120.9105.7+15.2

#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference

68.8117.3101.6+15.7

#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference

68.6115.8102.1+13.6

#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference

67.1118.6102.2+16.5

#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference

67114.498.3+16.1

#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference

66.7120.897.6+23.2

#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference

66.7117.498.3+19.1

#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference

65.8122.7103.3+19.4

MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 7, 2026Next Day →

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD

St. John's at Butler • FINAL30-6 • 16-16Final Score: St. John's 84-70 Butler

St. John's 81.0%Butler 19.0%

83-74156.5St. John's -8.5

Texas at Tennessee • FINAL21-15 • 25-12Final Score: Texas 71-85 Tennessee

Tennessee 78.4%Texas 21.6%

74-83156.5Tennessee -9.1

Georgia at Florida • FINAL22-11 • 27-8Final Score: Georgia 77-92 Florida

Florida 90.4%Georgia 9.6%

78-92169.3Florida -14.2

Duke at Louisville • FINAL35-3 • 24-11Final Score: Duke 84-73 Louisville

Duke 75.4%Louisville 24.6%

79-74153.2Duke -5.2

Michigan at Penn State • FINAL36-3 • 12-20Final Score: Michigan 74-72 Penn State

Michigan 97.8%Penn State 2.2%

91-68158.7Michigan -23.7

Texas Tech at Houston • FINAL23-11 • 29-7Final Score: Texas Tech 65-69 Houston

Houston 83.8%Texas Tech 16.2%

68-79147.5Houston -11.3

UCLA at Wisconsin • FINAL24-12 • 24-11Final Score: UCLA 72-80 Wisconsin

Wisconsin 66.3%UCLA 33.7%

76-81156.4Wisconsin -5.4

TCU at Kansas • FINAL23-12 • 24-11Final Score: TCU 100-104 Kansas

Kansas 68.3%TCU 31.7%

71-77148.0Kansas -6.0

Texas A&M at Auburn • FINAL20-12 • 21-16Final Score: Texas A&M 90-88 Auburn

Auburn 77.2%Texas A&M 22.8%

78-85162.5Auburn -7.1

New Mexico at Colorado State • FINAL26-11 • 21-13Final Score: New Mexico 80-70 Colorado State

New Mexico 60.2%Colorado State 39.8%

77-74151.5New Mexico -2.6

Utah State at Air Force • FINAL29-7 • 3-29Final Score: Utah State 99-62 Air Force

Utah State 98.6%Air Force 1.4%

88-61148.4Utah State -26.7

Cincinnati at West Virginia • FINAL18-15 • 21-14Final Score: Cincinnati 60-62 West Virginia

Cincinnati 51.2%West Virginia 48.8%

68-69137.8West Virginia -1.0

Syracuse at Georgia Tech • FINAL15-16 • 11-20Final Score: Syracuse 82-72 Georgia Tech

Syracuse 64.4%Georgia Tech 35.6%

77-75152.1Syracuse -2.7

Western Michigan at Miami (OH) • FINAL10-21 • 32-2Final Score: Western Michigan 76-87 Miami (OH)

Miami (OH) 92.4%Western Michigan 7.6%

73-91163.9Miami (OH) -18.3

Eastern Michigan at Ball State • FINAL10-21 • 12-19Final Score: Eastern Michigan 74-52 Ball State

Ball State 56.8%Eastern Michigan 43.2%

69-72140.3Ball State -2.8

Central Michigan at Akron • FINAL10-21 • 29-6Final Score: Central Michigan 69-82 Akron

Akron 95.0%Central Michigan 5.0%

69-90159.5Akron -20.6

Bowling Green at Kent State • FINAL18-14 • 24-10Final Score: Bowling Green 93-96 Kent State

Kent State 62.5%Bowling Green 37.5%

80-83162.4Kent State -2.8

South Carolina at LSU • FINAL13-19 • 15-17Final Score: South Carolina 78-68 LSU

LSU 76.5%South Carolina 23.5%

75-84159.1LSU -8.4

George Washington at Dayton • FINAL19-16 • 25-12Final Score: George Washington 72-79 Dayton

Dayton 62.7%George Washington 37.3%

74-77151.3Dayton -3.5

UCF at Oklahoma State • FINAL21-12 • 20-15Final Score: UCF 76-87 Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State 52.7%UCF 47.3%

83-85168.2Oklahoma State -1.6

Iowa at Minnesota • FINAL24-13 • 15-18Final Score: Iowa 67-70 Minnesota

Iowa 73.4%Minnesota 26.6%

72-67138.8Iowa -5.2

Georgetown at DePaul • FINAL13-18 • 16-16Final Score: Georgetown 50-56 DePaul

DePaul 54.1%Georgetown 45.9%

66-69134.8DePaul -2.7

Toledo at Northern Illinois • FINAL19-15 • 9-21Final Score: Toledo 75-61 Northern Illinois

Toledo 94.2%Northern Illinois 5.8%

85-70155.0Toledo -15.1

Lindenwood at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL18-15 • 19-13Final Score: Lindenwood 62-66 SIU Edwardsville

SIU Edwardsville 67.3%Lindenwood 32.7%

69-74143.3SIU Edwardsville -5.2

NC State at Boston College • FINAL20-14 • 11-20Final Score: NC State 79-71 Boston College

NC State 76.2%Boston College 23.8%

78-72150.2NC State -6.6

UNLV at Wyoming • FINAL18-16 • 18-15Final Score: UNLV 66-98 Wyoming

Wyoming 70.6%UNLV 29.4%

75-82156.6Wyoming -6.8

Fresno State at San José State • FINAL13-19 • 9-24Final Score: Fresno State 70-55 San José State

Fresno State 51.5%San José State 48.5%

75-74149.7Fresno State -0.7

San Diego State at Nevada • FINAL22-10 • 24-13Final Score: San Diego State 73-68 Nevada

Nevada 61.7%San Diego State 38.3%

73-76149.6Nevada -2.7

Furman at Chattanooga • FINAL22-13 • 13-19Final Score: Furman 78-67 Chattanooga

Furman 59.4%Chattanooga 40.6%

77-75151.5Furman -1.7

Holy Cross at Lehigh • FINAL11-22 • 18-17Final Score: Holy Cross 58-66 Lehigh

Lehigh 78.4%Holy Cross 21.6%

68-77144.7Lehigh -8.9

Loyola Maryland at Army • FINAL12-20 • 11-21Final Score: Loyola Maryland 84-76 Army

Army 51.6%Loyola Maryland 48.4%

76-77153.1Army -1.3

UNC Greensboro at Wofford • FINAL15-19 • 19-13Final Score: UNC Greensboro 85-97 Wofford

Wofford 66.8%UNC Greensboro 33.2%

78-84161.2Wofford -6.1

Indiana at Maryland • FINAL18-14 • 12-20Final Score: Indiana 84-66 Maryland

Indiana 74.3%Maryland 25.7%

78-71149.4Indiana -6.6

Longwood at UNC Asheville • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: Longwood 61-72 UNC Asheville

UNC Asheville 63.0%Longwood 37.0%

74-77150.9UNC Asheville -3.6

Charleston Southern at Winthrop • FINAL15-17 • 23-11Final Score: Charleston Southern 77-81 Winthrop

Winthrop 81.4%Charleston Southern 18.6%

78-88166.2Winthrop -10.2

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →

1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.