#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Delaware State at Howard • FINAL8-22 • 24-11Final Score: Delaware State 58-84 Howard
Howard 97.7%Delaware State 2.3%
56-80136.1Howard -23.7Grambling at Florida A&M • FINAL14-19 • 14-16Final Score: Grambling 84-91 Florida A&M
Florida A&M 57.1%Grambling 42.9%
70-72142.5Florida A&M -1.6Southern at Bethune-Cookman • FINAL17-17 • 17-15Final Score: Southern 77-73 Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 61.7%Southern 38.3%
78-81158.2Bethune-Cookman -3.2Maryland Eastern Shore at Norfolk State • FINAL9-23 • 15-17Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 74-70 Norfolk State
Norfolk State 85.3%Maryland Eastern Shore 14.7%
65-77142.8Norfolk State -11.9New Orleans at SE Louisiana • FINAL16-18 • 9-21Final Score: New Orleans 79-76 SE Louisiana
New Orleans 60.5%SE Louisiana 39.5%
71-71141.9New Orleans -0.9Alcorn State at Alabama State • FINAL9-23 • 10-22Final Score: Alcorn State 66-81 Alabama State
Alabama State 81.8%Alcorn State 18.2%
70-81150.5Alabama State -11.2Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Prairie View A&M • FINAL13-19 • 19-18Final Score: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 61-73 Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M 69.7%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 30.3%
77-84160.1Prairie View A&M -7.0South Carolina State at Coppin State • FINAL10-22 • 7-24Final Score: South Carolina State 74-72 Coppin State
Coppin State 51.6%South Carolina State 48.4%
73-74147.0Coppin State -1.1Houston Christian at Lamar • FINAL12-20 • 12-19Final Score: Houston Christian 56-64 Lamar
Lamar 73.5%Houston Christian 26.5%
65-73138.5Lamar -8.3Navy at American University • FINAL26-8 • 16-16Final Score: Navy 51-65 American University
Navy 61.0%American University 39.0%
72-70142.6Navy -2.0Incarnate Word at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL12-19 • 28-6Final Score: Incarnate Word 46-56 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 90.3%Incarnate Word 9.7%
66-81146.5Stephen F. Austin -15.2UT Rio Grande Valley at Northwestern State • FINAL19-14 • 10-21Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 63-64 Northwestern State
UT Rio Grande Valley 75.1%Northwestern State 24.9%
73-67140.1UT Rio Grande Valley -6.2Nicholls at McNeese • FINAL14-19 • 27-6Final Score: Nicholls 68-94 McNeese
McNeese 95.6%Nicholls 4.4%
63-83145.5McNeese -20.4Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at East Texas A&M • FINAL18-15 • 11-21Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 61-50 East Texas A&M
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 65.4%East Texas A&M 34.6%
73-69142.5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -3.6Mississippi Valley State at Texas Southern • FINAL3-30 • 12-17Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 51-84 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 95.6%Mississippi Valley State 4.4%
64-85148.6Texas Southern -21.0Jackson State at Alabama A&M • FINAL12-21 • 18-15Final Score: Jackson State 91-100 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 85.8%Jackson State 14.2%
69-82151.1Alabama A&M -13.5Marquette at St. John's • FINAL12-20 • 30-6Final Score: Marquette 68-92 St. John's
St. John's 92.5%Marquette 7.5%
68-85152.8St. John's -17.5Villanova at Providence • FINAL24-9 • 15-18Final Score: Villanova 88-82 Providence
Villanova 51.8%Providence 48.2%
82-81162.9Villanova -0.2Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan • FINAL9-21 • 10-21Final Score: Northern Illinois 59-77 Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan 89.0%Northern Illinois 11.0%
67-80146.7Eastern Michigan -13.4Kent State at Buffalo • FINAL24-10 • 17-15Final Score: Kent State 87-81 Buffalo
Kent State 51.2%Buffalo 48.8%
82-82163.4Buffalo -0.3THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.