#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Florida at Oklahoma • FINAL27-8 • 21-16Final Score: Florida 96-79 Oklahoma
Florida 81.0%Oklahoma 19.0%
86-78163.9Florida -8.8Virginia at Louisville • FINAL30-6 • 24-11Final Score: Virginia 79-70 Louisville
Louisville 57.7%Virginia 42.3%
76-80155.8Louisville -3.4Indiana at Michigan State • FINAL18-14 • 27-8Final Score: Indiana 60-81 Michigan State
Michigan State 85.8%Indiana 14.2%
69-81150.4Michigan State -11.8Georgetown at Creighton • FINAL13-18 • 15-18Final Score: Georgetown 83-86 Creighton
Creighton 60.1%Georgetown 39.9%
69-72141.3Creighton -3.6Wisconsin at Minnesota • FINAL24-11 • 15-18Final Score: Wisconsin 78-75 Minnesota
Wisconsin 74.1%Minnesota 25.9%
78-72149.8Wisconsin -5.3Texas A&M at Tennessee • FINAL20-12 • 25-12Final Score: Texas A&M 82-87 Tennessee
Tennessee 84.4%Texas A&M 15.6%
71-83154.2Tennessee -11.3UConn at Seton Hall • FINAL34-5 • 21-12Final Score: UConn 69-64 Seton Hall
UConn 72.1%Seton Hall 27.9%
71-67138.2UConn -4.6West Virginia at Houston • FINAL21-14 • 29-7Final Score: West Virginia 48-77 Houston
Houston 93.6%West Virginia 6.4%
60-77137.2Houston -17.3Alabama at Mississippi State • FINAL24-10 • 13-19Final Score: Alabama 97-82 Mississippi State
Alabama 90.6%Mississippi State 9.4%
93-80172.7Alabama -12.8Iowa State at Kansas • FINAL28-8 • 24-11Final Score: Iowa State 63-84 Kansas
Iowa State 73.9%Kansas 26.1%
76-71146.7Iowa State -5.5Iowa at Purdue • FINAL24-13 • 30-9Final Score: Iowa 72-79 Purdue
Purdue 81.9%Iowa 18.1%
69-79147.6Purdue -9.8Colorado State at Fresno State • FINAL21-13 • 13-19Final Score: Colorado State 69-79 Fresno State
Colorado State 60.2%Fresno State 39.8%
74-73147.6Colorado State -1.0UIC at Northern Iowa • FINAL19-16 • 23-13Final Score: UIC 69-61 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 72.9%UIC 27.1%
65-72137.8Northern Iowa -7.1George Mason at Loyola Chicago • FINAL23-10 • 9-24Final Score: George Mason 82-74 Loyola Chicago
George Mason 80.9%Loyola Chicago 19.1%
75-66141.8George Mason -9.0Dayton at Duquesne • FINAL25-12 • 18-15Final Score: Dayton 71-65 Duquesne
Dayton 62.6%Duquesne 37.4%
76-74150.0Dayton -1.5Miami at Notre Dame • FINAL26-9 • 13-17Final Score: Miami 81-69 Notre Dame
Miami 77.7%Notre Dame 22.3%
81-73154.1Miami -7.3Boston College at Clemson • FINAL11-20 • 24-10Final Score: Boston College 50-74 Clemson
Clemson 89.6%Boston College 10.4%
61-75136.0Clemson -14.6Massachusetts at Western Michigan • FINAL17-16 • 10-21Final Score: Massachusetts 85-82 Western Michigan
Massachusetts 61.3%Western Michigan 38.7%
81-79159.6Massachusetts -2.5Ohio at Toledo • FINAL15-17 • 19-15Final Score: Ohio 85-101 Toledo
Toledo 84.7%Ohio 15.3%
75-86160.7Toledo -11.5Central Michigan at Miami (OH) • FINAL10-21 • 32-2Final Score: Central Michigan 61-100 Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) 91.4%Central Michigan 8.6%
72-90161.5Miami (OH) -17.7Ball State at Akron • FINAL12-19 • 29-6Final Score: Ball State 77-87 Akron
Akron 96.2%Ball State 3.8%
65-86151.0Akron -21.6Valparaiso at Belmont • FINAL18-15 • 26-6Final Score: Valparaiso 74-78 Belmont
Belmont 86.2%Valparaiso 13.8%
70-83152.2Belmont -13.1Bradley at Evansville • FINAL21-13 • 7-25Final Score: Bradley 94-90 Evansville
Bradley 88.4%Evansville 11.6%
80-68148.4Bradley -11.5Western Illinois at Eastern Illinois • FINAL5-26 • 13-20Final Score: Western Illinois 55-57 Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois 88.8%Western Illinois 11.2%
63-77139.1Eastern Illinois -14.0Baylor at Oklahoma State • FINAL16-17 • 20-15Final Score: Baylor 94-79 Oklahoma State
Baylor 52.3%Oklahoma State 47.7%
84-84167.4Oklahoma State -0.1Oregon at Nebraska • FINAL12-19 • 28-7Final Score: Oregon 55-90 Nebraska
Nebraska 92.6%Oregon 7.4%
64-81144.5Nebraska -17.5Grand Canyon at New Mexico • FINAL20-12 • 26-11Final Score: Grand Canyon 64-87 New Mexico
New Mexico 72.0%Grand Canyon 28.0%
71-78149.7New Mexico -7.2Florida State at Syracuse • FINAL18-15 • 15-16Final Score: Florida State 86-94 Syracuse
Florida State 55.4%Syracuse 44.6%
78-79156.4Syracuse -0.7Air Force at San José State • FINAL3-29 • 9-24Final Score: Air Force 62-70 San José State
San José State 93.3%Air Force 6.7%
65-82147.0San José State -17.0Maryland at USC • FINAL12-20 • 18-14Final Score: Maryland 71-88 USC
USC 72.7%Maryland 27.3%
73-81153.2USC -8.1Saint Mary's at San Francisco • FINAL27-6 • 17-16Final Score: Saint Mary's 82-68 San Francisco
Saint Mary's 85.6%San Francisco 14.4%
78-68145.6Saint Mary's -10.1Boise State at UNLV • FINAL20-12 • 18-16Final Score: Boise State 85-89 UNLV
Boise State 55.9%UNLV 44.1%
79-78157.7Boise State -0.7VCU at Rhode Island • FINAL28-8 • 16-16Final Score: VCU 84-75 Rhode Island
VCU 75.6%Rhode Island 24.4%
76-70146.1VCU -5.7Army at Holy Cross • FINAL11-21 • 11-22Final Score: Army 75-82 Holy Cross
Holy Cross 65.3%Army 34.7%
71-76146.4Holy Cross -4.7Lehigh at Boston University • FINAL18-17 • 16-18Final Score: Lehigh 93-91 Boston University
Boston University 75.2%Lehigh 24.8%
71-79149.7Boston University -7.3Chattanooga at Wofford • FINAL13-19 • 19-13Final Score: Chattanooga 76-67 Wofford
Wofford 68.7%Chattanooga 31.3%
76-81156.8Wofford -5.6High Point at Winthrop • FINAL31-5 • 23-11Final Score: High Point 75-92 Winthrop
High Point 71.4%Winthrop 28.6%
85-80164.5High Point -5.4Butler at Xavier • FINAL16-16 • 15-18Final Score: Butler 75-89 Xavier
Xavier 53.8%Butler 46.2%
80-82161.9Xavier -1.4East Tennessee State at Western Carolina • FINAL23-11 • 15-16Final Score: East Tennessee State 68-72 Western Carolina
Western Carolina 50.5%East Tennessee State 49.5%
77-77153.7East Tennessee State -0.2THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.