Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
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MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 15, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Auburn at Missouri • FINAL21-16 • 20-13Final Score: Auburn 74-84 Missouri
Auburn 57.3%Missouri 42.7%
81-81162.2Missouri -0.1
Michigan at Washington • FINAL36-3 • 16-17Final Score: Michigan 82-72 Washington
Michigan 89.5%Washington 10.5%
85-72157.1Michigan -13.1
Illinois at Northwestern • FINAL28-9 • 15-19Final Score: Illinois 79-68 Northwestern
Illinois 86.3%Northwestern 13.7%
81-70150.2Illinois -11.0
Kentucky at LSU • FINAL22-14 • 15-17Final Score: Kentucky 75-74 LSU
Kentucky 63.9%LSU 36.1%
82-79161.2Kentucky -2.4
UCLA at Penn State • FINAL24-12 • 12-20Final Score: UCLA 71-60 Penn State
UCLA 85.8%Penn State 14.2%
81-71152.8UCLA -10.1
Utah at Texas Tech • FINAL10-22 • 23-11Final Score: Utah 74-88 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 95.0%Utah 5.0%
68-88156.1Texas Tech -19.4
South Carolina at Arkansas • FINAL13-19 • 28-9Final Score: South Carolina 74-108 Arkansas
Arkansas 94.6%South Carolina 5.4%
74-92166.0Arkansas -18.5
North Carolina at Stanford • FINAL24-9 • 20-13Final Score: North Carolina 90-95 Stanford
North Carolina 54.0%Stanford 46.0%
76-76152.2North Carolina -0.8
Arizona State at Arizona • FINAL17-16 • 36-3Final Score: Arizona State 82-89 Arizona
Arizona 97.7%Arizona State 2.3%
67-92158.3Arizona -25.0
Duke at California • FINAL35-3 • 22-12Final Score: Duke 71-56 California
Duke 90.9%California 9.1%
82-68149.9Duke -13.1
TCU at BYU • FINAL23-12 • 23-12Final Score: TCU 70-76 BYU
BYU 72.7%TCU 27.3%
75-82157.2BYU -7.2
Vanderbilt at Texas • FINAL27-9 • 21-15Final Score: Vanderbilt 64-80 Texas
Vanderbilt 57.5%Texas 42.5%
83-81164.2Vanderbilt -1.3
Ole Miss at Georgia • FINAL15-20 • 22-11Final Score: Ole Miss 97-95 Georgia
Georgia 85.1%Ole Miss 14.9%
76-89165.1Georgia -13.0
Virginia Tech at SMU • FINAL19-13 • 20-14Final Score: Virginia Tech 76-77 SMU
SMU 74.0%Virginia Tech 26.0%
77-84161.6SMU -7.3
Davidson at George Washington • FINAL20-14 • 19-16Final Score: Davidson 84-79 George Washington
George Washington 78.0%Davidson 22.0%
70-79149.1George Washington -9.0
Illinois State at Indiana State • FINAL23-13 • 11-21Final Score: Illinois State 89-94 Indiana State
Illinois State 64.4%Indiana State 35.6%
75-72146.6Illinois State -3.3
St. Bonaventure at Saint Joseph's • FINAL17-17 • 24-12Final Score: St. Bonaventure 64-68 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 61.7%St. Bonaventure 38.3%
72-76148.4Saint Joseph's -4.2
La Salle at Richmond • FINAL9-23 • 15-17Final Score: La Salle 53-74 Richmond
Richmond 81.8%La Salle 18.2%
68-79146.8Richmond -11.0
East Carolina at South Florida • FINAL11-20 • 25-9Final Score: East Carolina 71-82 South Florida
South Florida 96.2%East Carolina 3.8%
69-91159.4South Florida -22.3
Tulsa at Charlotte • FINAL30-8 • 17-17Final Score: Tulsa 86-74 Charlotte
Tulsa 77.2%Charlotte 22.8%
82-74155.9Tulsa -7.6
Colorado at Cincinnati • FINAL17-16 • 18-15Final Score: Colorado 68-77 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 81.6%Colorado 18.4%
71-81152.2Cincinnati -10.5
South Carolina Upstate at Charleston Southern • FINAL13-19 • 15-17Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 86-81 Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern 72.0%South Carolina Upstate 28.0%
76-83159.1Charleston Southern -6.9
UNC Asheville at Presbyterian • FINAL15-17 • 15-18Final Score: UNC Asheville 70-71 Presbyterian
Presbyterian 60.9%UNC Asheville 39.1%
71-75146.3Presbyterian -3.6
Radford at Gardner-Webb • FINAL16-16 • 4-29Final Score: Radford 89-80 Gardner-Webb
Radford 86.6%Gardner-Webb 13.4%
87-74160.6Radford -12.4
Iona at Rider • FINAL18-14 • 4-25Final Score: Iona 68-72 Rider
Iona 81.4%Rider 18.6%
76-67143.6Iona -8.8
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech • FINAL13-20 • 11-20Final Score: Pittsburgh 89-66 Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh 60.0%Georgia Tech 40.0%
75-74148.1Pittsburgh -0.9
Saint Peter's at Quinnipiac • FINAL17-12 • 19-13Final Score: Saint Peter's 74-70 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 71.1%Saint Peter's 28.9%
69-75143.6Quinnipiac -6.3
Colgate at Loyola Maryland • FINAL18-15 • 12-20Final Score: Colgate 86-80 Loyola Maryland
Colgate 59.4%Loyola Maryland 40.6%
78-76154.0Colgate -1.2
Sacred Heart at Siena • FINAL14-19 • 23-12Final Score: Sacred Heart 86-80 Siena
Siena 86.6%Sacred Heart 13.4%
66-78144.3Siena -12.5
Niagara at Canisius • FINAL8-22 • 10-21Final Score: Niagara 59-54 Canisius
Canisius 57.4%Niagara 42.6%
65-68132.5Canisius -3.2
Manhattan at Fairfield • FINAL12-20 • 21-13Final Score: Manhattan 62-98 Fairfield
Fairfield 84.7%Manhattan 15.3%
69-82151.2Fairfield -12.2
Furman at Samford • FINAL22-13 • 18-14Final Score: Furman 77-73 Samford
Samford 63.0%Furman 37.0%
75-78152.8Samford -3.3
Southern Miss at Troy • FINAL19-16 • 22-12Final Score: Southern Miss 65-91 Troy
Troy 72.7%Southern Miss 27.3%
72-80152.6Troy -7.7
Coastal Carolina at Marshall • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: Coastal Carolina 85-83 Marshall
Marshall 74.8%Coastal Carolina 25.2%
74-81155.1Marshall -7.5
Florida International at Kennesaw State • FINAL15-17 • 21-14Final Score: Florida International 86-89 Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 75.0%Florida International 25.0%
78-85162.9Kennesaw State -7.9
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State • FINAL22-12 • 15-17Final Score: Sam Houston 77-62 Jacksonville State
Sam Houston 50.9%Jacksonville State 49.1%
75-76150.9Jacksonville State -0.6
Lafayette at Bucknell • FINAL11-21 • 10-23Final Score: Lafayette 69-76 Bucknell
Bucknell 51.9%Lafayette 48.1%
71-73144.3Bucknell -1.4
UAB at Tulane • FINAL20-12 • 18-15Final Score: UAB 82-69 Tulane
UAB 71.0%Tulane 29.0%
79-74152.6UAB -5.0
Missouri State at Western Kentucky • FINAL16-18 • 18-14Final Score: Missouri State 72-87 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 73.3%Missouri State 26.7%
74-81154.6Western Kentucky -7.2
Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech • FINAL17-15 • 20-14Final Score: Middle Tennessee 58-59 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 56.6%Middle Tennessee 43.4%
69-72141.4Louisiana Tech -3.4
San Diego State at Wyoming • FINAL22-10 • 18-15Final Score: San Diego State 74-57 Wyoming
Wyoming 51.6%San Diego State 48.4%
75-76151.1Wyoming -0.6
Drake at Southern Illinois • FINAL14-20 • 16-16Final Score: Drake 76-73 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 80.6%Drake 19.4%
69-79147.4Southern Illinois -9.6
Fordham at Saint Louis • FINAL17-15 • 29-6Final Score: Fordham 56-78 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 91.2%Fordham 8.8%
65-82147.3Saint Louis -16.6
Rice at UTSA • FINAL13-18 • 5-25Final Score: Rice 89-73 UTSA
Rice 75.4%UTSA 24.6%
79-72151.3Rice -6.7
Temple at Memphis • FINAL16-16 • 13-19Final Score: Temple 53-55 Memphis
Memphis 54.1%Temple 45.9%
74-76150.0Memphis -2.0
UCF at Kansas State • FINAL21-12 • 12-20Final Score: UCF 82-73 Kansas State
UCF 64.7%Kansas State 35.3%
84-81164.7UCF -2.6
South Dakota State at North Dakota State • FINAL14-18 • 27-8Final Score: South Dakota State 65-76 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 82.6%South Dakota State 17.4%
70-81151.3North Dakota State -11.1
Louisiana at Texas State • FINAL11-22 • 19-13Final Score: Louisiana 54-59 Texas State
Texas State 84.7%Louisiana 15.3%
64-75139.0Texas State -11.9
Portland at Pepperdine • FINAL15-19 • 9-23Final Score: Portland 63-67 Pepperdine
Pepperdine 50.2%Portland 49.8%
77-78154.9Pepperdine -0.8
Oral Roberts at Denver • FINAL10-23 • 15-17Final Score: Oral Roberts 87-98 Denver
Denver 79.0%Oral Roberts 21.0%
77-86162.3Denver -8.8
Nevada at Utah State • FINAL24-13 • 29-7Final Score: Nevada 62-71 Utah State
Utah State 76.3%Nevada 23.7%
72-81152.3Utah State -9.2
Pacific at Santa Clara • FINAL18-15 • 26-9Final Score: Pacific 69-85 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 90.1%Pacific 9.9%
68-82150.2Santa Clara -14.3
Loyola Marymount at Oregon State • FINAL15-17 • 17-16Final Score: Loyola Marymount 70-76 Oregon State
Oregon State 58.7%Loyola Marymount 41.3%
72-74146.8Oregon State -2.0
NJIT at UMass Lowell • FINAL16-17 • 15-18Final Score: NJIT 73-64 UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell 75.0%NJIT 25.0%
69-77146.6UMass Lowell -7.8
UMBC at Bryant • FINAL24-8 • 9-22Final Score: UMBC 74-79 Bryant
UMBC 90.7%Bryant 9.3%
75-62137.2UMBC -13.0
Mercer at VMI • FINAL19-13 • 5-26Final Score: Mercer 77-67 VMI
Mercer 90.7%VMI 9.3%
84-71155.4Mercer -13.5
New Mexico State at Liberty • FINAL16-16 • 26-8Final Score: New Mexico State 71-73 Liberty
Liberty 68.7%New Mexico State 31.3%
72-78149.2Liberty -5.9
Robert Morris at IU Indianapolis • FINAL22-11 • 7-25Final Score: Robert Morris 93-96 IU Indianapolis
Robert Morris 80.2%IU Indianapolis 19.8%
87-79165.1Robert Morris -8.0
Binghamton at UAlbany • FINAL8-22 • 11-20Final Score: Binghamton 53-69 UAlbany
UAlbany 82.7%Binghamton 17.3%
63-74137.7UAlbany -10.9
James Madison at App State • FINAL18-15 • 19-13Final Score: James Madison 65-80 App State
App State 67.3%James Madison 32.7%
69-75143.5App State -6.3
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.