#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Syracuse at North Carolina • FINAL15-16 • 24-9Final Score: Syracuse 77-87 North Carolina
North Carolina 87.6%Syracuse 12.4%
70-82152.1North Carolina -12.8Kansas at Texas Tech • FINAL24-11 • 23-11Final Score: Kansas 64-61 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 71.8%Kansas 28.2%
72-78150.4Texas Tech -6.2Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State • FINAL13-18 • 23-10Final Score: Tennessee Tech 90-85 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 85.6%Tennessee Tech 14.4%
71-83153.5Tennessee State -12.3Grambling at Alcorn State • FINAL14-19 • 9-23Final Score: Grambling 74-50 Alcorn State
Grambling 70.3%Alcorn State 29.7%
75-69144.4Grambling -6.3Florida A&M at Alabama State • FINAL14-16 • 10-22Final Score: Florida A&M 66-79 Alabama State
Alabama State 58.7%Florida A&M 41.3%
73-76148.6Alabama State -3.3Boston University at Holy Cross • FINAL16-18 • 11-22Final Score: Boston University 72-64 Holy Cross
Boston University 70.5%Holy Cross 29.5%
75-71146.4Boston University -3.9SE Louisiana at Lamar • FINAL9-21 • 12-19Final Score: SE Louisiana 54-73 Lamar
Lamar 75.2%SE Louisiana 24.8%
62-71133.3Lamar -8.4McNeese at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL27-6 • 28-6Final Score: McNeese 60-67 Stephen F. Austin
McNeese 55.6%Stephen F. Austin 44.4%
71-72143.0Stephen F. Austin -0.0Houston Christian at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL12-20 • 19-14Final Score: Houston Christian 57-74 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 91.1%Houston Christian 8.9%
63-79142.4UT Rio Grande Valley -15.8Nicholls at Northwestern State • FINAL14-19 • 10-21Final Score: Nicholls 61-58 Northwestern State
Northwestern State 56.3%Nicholls 43.7%
69-72141.2Northwestern State -2.6New Orleans at East Texas A&M • FINAL16-18 • 11-21Final Score: New Orleans 94-85 East Texas A&M
New Orleans 61.3%East Texas A&M 38.7%
76-75150.7New Orleans -1.2Bethune-Cookman at Alabama A&M • FINAL17-15 • 18-15Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 80-62 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 57.4%Bethune-Cookman 42.6%
73-77150.1Alabama A&M -3.2Southern at Jackson State • FINAL17-17 • 12-21Final Score: Southern 96-91 Jackson State
Southern 73.7%Jackson State 26.3%
83-76159.3Southern -7.2Incarnate Word at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL12-19 • 18-15Final Score: Incarnate Word 71-69 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 72.4%Incarnate Word 27.6%
69-76144.7Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -7.5Weber State at Sacramento State • FINAL16-16 • 10-21Final Score: Weber State 90-104 Sacramento State
Weber State 57.3%Sacramento State 42.7%
83-81163.4Weber State -1.9Idaho State at Portland State • FINAL13-20 • 20-11Final Score: Idaho State 65-88 Portland State
Portland State 72.9%Idaho State 27.1%
71-80150.6Portland State -8.5Miami (OH) at Buffalo • FINAL32-2 • 17-15Final Score: Miami (OH) 73-71 Buffalo
Miami (OH) 67.2%Buffalo 32.8%
85-80164.0Miami (OH) -5.0Akron at Eastern Michigan • FINAL29-6 • 10-21Final Score: Akron 66-64 Eastern Michigan
Akron 87.9%Eastern Michigan 12.1%
84-72155.6Akron -12.1Canisius at Niagara • FINAL10-21 • 8-22Final Score: Canisius 56-65 Niagara
Niagara 67.3%Canisius 32.7%
64-69132.5Niagara -5.0THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.