#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
UC Irvine at North Dakota State • FINAL23-12 • 27-8Final Score: UC Irvine 74-73 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 64.0%UC Irvine 36.0%
73-77149.9North Dakota State -4.3Nicholls at Pacific • FINAL14-19 • 18-15Final Score: Nicholls 82-95 Pacific
Pacific 76.5%Nicholls 23.5%
68-77145.0Pacific -9.2Idaho at Cal Poly • FINAL21-15 • 14-19Final Score: Idaho 83-80 Cal Poly
Idaho 55.9%Cal Poly 44.1%
82-81162.9Idaho -1.5North Dakota at Nebraska • FINAL18-17 • 28-7Final Score: North Dakota 55-78 Nebraska
Nebraska 95.7%North Dakota 4.3%
65-85150.1Nebraska -20.4Norfolk State at UTEP • FINAL15-17 • 11-20Final Score: Norfolk State 72-71 UTEP
UTEP 64.3%Norfolk State 35.7%
72-75146.9UTEP -3.8Abilene Christian at Texas Southern • FINAL14-19 • 12-17Final Score: Abilene Christian 75-68 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 58.2%Abilene Christian 41.8%
72-74145.8Texas Southern -2.8New Haven at Fordham • FINAL14-17 • 17-15Final Score: New Haven 47-65 Fordham
Fordham 85.0%New Haven 15.0%
59-72131.1Fordham -12.1West Georgia at Georgia • FINAL15-17 • 22-11Final Score: West Georgia 74-103 Georgia
Georgia 94.2%West Georgia 5.8%
74-94167.8Georgia -19.4Sacred Heart at Towson • FINAL14-19 • 19-15Final Score: Sacred Heart 47-72 Towson
Towson 86.9%Sacred Heart 13.1%
66-78143.8Towson -12.4NJIT at Butler • FINAL16-17 • 16-16Final Score: NJIT 52-101 Butler
Butler 89.0%NJIT 11.0%
68-82150.1Butler -14.0Denver at Tulsa • FINAL15-17 • 30-8Final Score: Denver 85-90 Tulsa
Tulsa 90.5%Denver 9.5%
75-92167.1Tulsa -16.3Seattle U at UTSA • FINAL21-14 • 5-25Final Score: Seattle U 71-68 UTSA
Seattle U 86.0%UTSA 14.0%
79-67145.5Seattle U -11.7South Carolina State at South Carolina • FINAL10-22 • 13-19Final Score: South Carolina State 70-95 South Carolina
South Carolina 92.3%South Carolina State 7.7%
67-84150.5South Carolina -17.0SIU Edwardsville at Western Illinois • FINAL19-13 • 5-26Final Score: SIU Edwardsville 66-61 Western Illinois
SIU Edwardsville 88.4%Western Illinois 11.6%
75-63137.9SIU Edwardsville -12.7Portland at UC Santa Barbara • FINAL15-19 • 18-14Final Score: Portland 61-79 UC Santa Barbara
UC Santa Barbara 81.4%Portland 18.6%
72-82154.0UC Santa Barbara -11.0Siena at Indiana • FINAL23-12 • 18-14Final Score: Siena 60-81 Indiana
Indiana 73.1%Siena 26.9%
68-75143.5Indiana -7.1American University at Virginia • FINAL16-16 • 30-6Final Score: American University 51-95 Virginia
Virginia 94.3%American University 5.7%
66-84149.1Virginia -18.1Coppin State at Georgetown • FINAL7-24 • 13-18Final Score: Coppin State 67-97 Georgetown
Georgetown 96.4%Coppin State 3.6%
58-80138.7Georgetown -22.2THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.