THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Missouri at Illinois • FINAL20-13 • 28-9Final Score: Missouri 48-91 Illinois
Illinois 93.5%Missouri 6.5%
69-87156.1Illinois -17.5
Central Michigan at Wisconsin • FINAL10-21 • 24-11Final Score: Central Michigan 61-88 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 94.2%Central Michigan 5.8%
70-88157.8Wisconsin -18.5
Davidson at Kansas • FINAL20-14 • 24-11Final Score: Davidson 61-90 Kansas
Kansas 81.9%Davidson 18.1%
66-76142.1Kansas -10.4
Utah Tech at Creighton • FINAL19-15 • 15-18Final Score: Utah Tech 69-92 Creighton
Creighton 70.6%Utah Tech 29.4%
74-80153.4Creighton -5.8
East Carolina at North Carolina • FINAL11-20 • 24-9Final Score: East Carolina 51-99 North Carolina
North Carolina 94.5%East Carolina 5.5%
66-86152.2North Carolina -19.4
Eastern Washington at BYU • FINAL14-19 • 23-12Final Score: Eastern Washington 81-109 BYU
BYU 85.8%Eastern Washington 14.2%
74-88162.0BYU -13.5
Bethune-Cookman at Arizona • FINAL17-15 • 36-3Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 71-107 Arizona
Arizona 98.9%Bethune-Cookman 1.1%
64-93156.9Arizona -29.4
Harvard at St. John's • FINAL17-12 • 30-6Final Score: Harvard 59-85 St. John's
St. John's 92.3%Harvard 7.7%
64-80143.9St. John's -16.5
Bellarmine at Kentucky • FINAL13-19 • 22-14Final Score: Bellarmine 85-99 Kentucky
Kentucky 93.3%Bellarmine 6.7%
72-90162.5Kentucky -17.9
UC Riverside at UCLA • FINAL10-22 • 24-12Final Score: UC Riverside 65-97 UCLA
UCLA 95.0%UC Riverside 5.0%
66-85151.4UCLA -18.8
UT Arlington at Oral Roberts • FINAL18-14 • 10-23Final Score: UT Arlington 69-57 Oral Roberts
UT Arlington 58.9%Oral Roberts 41.1%
73-71144.1UT Arlington -2.6
North Dakota State at UTEP • FINAL27-8 • 11-20Final Score: North Dakota State 66-76 UTEP
North Dakota State 75.4%UTEP 24.6%
77-70147.1North Dakota State -6.9
Prairie View A&M at LSU • FINAL19-18 • 15-17Final Score: Prairie View A&M 90-104 LSU
LSU 87.1%Prairie View A&M 12.9%
75-87161.2LSU -12.2
Princeton at Temple • FINAL9-20 • 16-16Final Score: Princeton 61-65 Temple
Temple 79.1%Princeton 20.9%
67-76142.8Temple -9.4
Eastern Michigan at Wright State • FINAL10-21 • 23-12Final Score: Eastern Michigan 64-70 Wright State
Wright State 88.4%Eastern Michigan 11.6%
69-82151.0Wright State -13.5
Jacksonville at Florida State • FINAL12-20 • 18-15Final Score: Jacksonville 63-87 Florida State
Florida State 89.9%Jacksonville 10.1%
71-84155.0Florida State -13.5
Coastal Carolina at Saint Joseph's • FINAL19-13 • 24-12Final Score: Coastal Carolina 68-62 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 75.8%Coastal Carolina 24.2%
69-77145.4Saint Joseph's -7.8
Bryant at High Point • FINAL9-22 • 31-5Final Score: Bryant 47-93 High Point
High Point 98.8%Bryant 1.2%
61-90150.6High Point -29.5
Mississippi Valley State at West Virginia • FINAL3-30 • 21-14Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 51-86 West Virginia
West Virginia 99.0%Mississippi Valley State 1.0%
55-87141.9West Virginia -32.1
Stonehill at Syracuse • FINAL12-21 • 15-16Final Score: Stonehill 48-77 Syracuse
Syracuse 89.1%Stonehill 10.9%
64-78141.9Syracuse -13.3
Northeastern at Rhode Island • FINAL8-23 • 16-16Final Score: Northeastern 77-85 Rhode Island
Rhode Island 83.7%Northeastern 16.3%
68-80147.9Rhode Island -12.1
Canisius at Duquesne • FINAL10-21 • 18-15Final Score: Canisius 59-103 Duquesne
Duquesne 91.5%Canisius 8.5%
64-80143.7Duquesne -15.9
Rider at VCU • FINAL4-25 • 28-8Final Score: Rider 79-100 VCU
VCU 99.0%Rider 1.0%
59-88147.0VCU -29.8
Fairleigh Dickinson at Boston College • FINAL11-21 • 11-20Final Score: Fairleigh Dickinson 61-72 Boston College
Boston College 78.0%Fairleigh Dickinson 22.0%
64-73136.7Boston College -8.4
Alabama State at Memphis • FINAL10-22 • 13-19Final Score: Alabama State 67-88 Memphis
Memphis 83.2%Alabama State 16.8%
71-82153.3Memphis -11.1
IU Indianapolis at Grand Canyon • FINAL7-25 • 20-12Final Score: IU Indianapolis 78-91 Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon 94.3%IU Indianapolis 5.7%
71-90161.7Grand Canyon -19.0
Maryland Eastern Shore at Texas • FINAL9-23 • 21-15Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 71-94 Texas
Texas 97.7%Maryland Eastern Shore 2.3%
62-86148.2Texas -23.5
UC Irvine at Norfolk State • FINAL23-12 • 15-17Final Score: UC Irvine 89-70 Norfolk State
UC Irvine 75.6%Norfolk State 24.4%
78-72149.6UC Irvine -6.4
Stetson at Oklahoma • FINAL12-21 • 21-16Final Score: Stetson 54-107 Oklahoma
Oklahoma 95.1%Stetson 4.9%
71-90160.5Oklahoma -19.3
San Diego at Washington • FINAL12-21 • 16-17Final Score: San Diego 56-86 Washington
Washington 92.0%San Diego 8.0%
69-85153.9Washington -15.6
Sacramento State at Cal State Northridge • FINAL10-21 • 20-14Final Score: Sacramento State 88-100 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 78.4%Sacramento State 21.6%
78-87165.1Cal State Northridge -9.6
Northern Iowa at Saint Mary's • FINAL23-13 • 27-6Final Score: Northern Iowa 58-63 Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's 83.1%Northern Iowa 16.9%
62-73135.3Saint Mary's -10.9
Green Bay at Campbell • FINAL18-15 • 15-18Final Score: Green Bay 79-102 Campbell
Campbell 63.2%Green Bay 36.8%
76-80156.1Campbell -4.5
Binghamton at Army • FINAL8-22 • 11-21Final Score: Binghamton 85-95 Army
Army 73.1%Binghamton 26.9%
68-76144.0Army -7.2
Grambling at Ohio State • FINAL14-19 • 21-13Final Score: Grambling 63-89 Ohio State
Ohio State 95.6%Grambling 4.4%
65-83147.6Ohio State -18.6
Florida Atlantic at UCF • FINAL18-15 • 21-12Final Score: Florida Atlantic 80-85 UCF
UCF 75.4%Florida Atlantic 24.6%
76-83159.5UCF -6.9
Lindenwood at Missouri State • FINAL18-15 • 16-18Final Score: Lindenwood 65-70 Missouri State
Missouri State 72.9%Lindenwood 27.1%
73-79151.7Missouri State -5.4
Idaho at Cal State Bakersfield • FINAL21-15 • 8-24Final Score: Idaho 63-64 Cal State Bakersfield
Idaho 86.2%Cal State Bakersfield 13.8%
83-72155.7Idaho -11.0
Morgan State at Loyola Marymount • FINAL14-16 • 15-17Final Score: Morgan State 56-83 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 87.3%Morgan State 12.7%
69-83151.9Loyola Marymount -13.2
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.