Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 18, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
St. John's at Villanova • FINAL30-6 • 24-9Final Score: St. John's 86-79 Villanova
St. John's 66.9%Villanova 33.1%
77-74151.3St. John's -3.6
Louisville at Pittsburgh • FINAL24-11 • 13-20Final Score: Louisville 100-59 Pittsburgh
Louisville 79.3%Pittsburgh 20.7%
80-71151.3Louisville -8.5
Gonzaga at Seattle U • FINAL31-4 • 21-14Final Score: Gonzaga 71-50 Seattle U
Gonzaga 90.7%Seattle U 9.3%
79-66145.6Gonzaga -13.2
BYU at Texas Tech • FINAL23-12 • 23-11Final Score: BYU 71-84 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 67.3%BYU 32.7%
77-82159.6Texas Tech -5.0
Arizona State at Houston • FINAL17-16 • 29-7Final Score: Arizona State 73-103 Houston
Houston 96.4%Arizona State 3.6%
63-85148.4Houston -21.9
Belmont at Southern Illinois • FINAL26-6 • 16-16Final Score: Belmont 73-68 Southern Illinois
Belmont 57.3%Southern Illinois 42.7%
77-75151.8Belmont -1.3
Wyoming at Fresno State • FINAL18-15 • 13-19Final Score: Wyoming 60-63 Fresno State
Wyoming 62.1%Fresno State 37.9%
75-74149.3Wyoming -1.7
The Citadel at VMI • FINAL11-22 • 5-26Final Score: The Citadel 82-68 VMI
The Citadel 55.4%VMI 44.6%
74-75149.0VMI -0.2
Long Island University at Fairleigh Dickinson • FINAL24-11 • 11-21Final Score: Long Island University 66-59 Fairleigh Dickinson
Long Island University 69.4%Fairleigh Dickinson 30.6%
72-69141.3Long Island University -3.7
Saint Mary's at Santa Clara • FINAL27-6 • 26-9Final Score: Saint Mary's 54-62 Santa Clara
Saint Mary's 53.4%Santa Clara 46.6%
75-75150.5Santa Clara -0.5
South Carolina Upstate at High Point • FINAL13-19 • 31-5Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 69-89 High Point
High Point 96.6%South Carolina Upstate 3.4%
67-90157.5High Point -22.5
Robert Morris at Northern Kentucky • FINAL22-11 • 20-14Final Score: Robert Morris 92-89 Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky 56.0%Robert Morris 44.0%
78-81158.2Northern Kentucky -3.0
Campbell at UNC Wilmington • FINAL15-18 • 27-7Final Score: Campbell 75-78 UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington 80.4%Campbell 19.6%
71-82152.6UNC Wilmington -10.7
Bellarmine at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL13-19 • 11-21Final Score: Bellarmine 69-89 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 63.0%Bellarmine 37.0%
81-86167.1Eastern Kentucky -4.8
Austin Peay at Lipscomb • FINAL22-9 • 18-13Final Score: Austin Peay 78-82 Lipscomb
Austin Peay 56.5%Lipscomb 43.5%
78-77155.4Austin Peay -1.0
New Mexico at San Diego State • FINAL26-11 • 22-10Final Score: New Mexico 79-83 San Diego State
San Diego State 52.7%New Mexico 47.3%
75-77152.3San Diego State -1.6
Long Beach State at Cal State Northridge • FINAL10-22 • 20-14Final Score: Long Beach State 87-80 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 81.8%Long Beach State 18.2%
75-85160.8Cal State Northridge -10.2
Cal State Fullerton at UC Riverside • FINAL18-16 • 10-22Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 72-81 UC Riverside
Cal State Fullerton 60.0%UC Riverside 40.0%
82-80161.6Cal State Fullerton -1.7
Omaha at Oral Roberts • FINAL16-17 • 10-23Final Score: Omaha 73-62 Oral Roberts
Oral Roberts 55.2%Omaha 44.8%
76-78154.1Oral Roberts -1.7
Ole Miss at Mississippi State • FINAL15-20 • 13-19Final Score: Ole Miss 68-67 Mississippi State
Ole Miss 60.5%Mississippi State 39.5%
80-79159.1Ole Miss -1.5
Abilene Christian at Southern Utah • FINAL14-19 • 10-22Final Score: Abilene Christian 52-74 Southern Utah
Southern Utah 57.7%Abilene Christian 42.3%
74-77151.1Southern Utah -2.5
Portland at Loyola Marymount • FINAL15-19 • 15-17Final Score: Portland 71-58 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 78.8%Portland 21.2%
71-81151.5Loyola Marymount -9.7
Hawai'i at UC Santa Barbara • FINAL24-9 • 18-14Final Score: Hawai'i 62-77 UC Santa Barbara
UC Santa Barbara 54.4%Hawai'i 45.6%
76-77152.5UC Santa Barbara -1.0
Montana at Montana State • FINAL18-16 • 18-14Final Score: Montana 67-76 Montana State
Montana State 80.6%Montana 19.4%
72-81152.9Montana State -9.3
Idaho at Weber State • FINAL21-15 • 16-16Final Score: Idaho 75-67 Weber State
Weber State 54.4%Idaho 45.6%
78-80157.6Weber State -2.1
Tarleton State at Utah Tech • FINAL14-18 • 19-15Final Score: Tarleton State 71-75 Utah Tech
Utah Tech 69.2%Tarleton State 30.8%
73-79151.8Utah Tech -5.5
Kansas State at Oklahoma State • FINAL12-20 • 20-15Final Score: Kansas State 83-84 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State 77.2%Kansas State 22.8%
81-89169.7Oklahoma State -8.3
Northern Colorado at Sacramento State • FINAL20-12 • 10-21Final Score: Northern Colorado 89-93 Sacramento State
Northern Colorado 66.4%Sacramento State 33.6%
84-80163.6Northern Colorado -4.2
Florida Atlantic at Temple • FINAL18-15 • 16-16Final Score: Florida Atlantic 79-73 Temple
Temple 60.6%Florida Atlantic 39.4%
74-77150.7Temple -3.0
Penn State at Maryland • FINAL12-20 • 12-20Final Score: Penn State 73-96 Maryland
Maryland 67.0%Penn State 33.0%
73-78151.1Maryland -5.2
American University at Army • FINAL16-16 • 11-21Final Score: American University 78-67 Army
American University 68.2%Army 31.8%
77-73149.2American University -4.2
Wichita State at South Florida • FINAL24-12 • 25-9Final Score: Wichita State 86-85 South Florida
South Florida 75.6%Wichita State 24.4%
75-84159.4South Florida -8.5
Charlotte at East Carolina • FINAL17-17 • 11-20Final Score: Charlotte 73-70 East Carolina
Charlotte 51.2%East Carolina 48.8%
75-75150.1East Carolina -0.2
Oakland at Green Bay • FINAL16-16 • 18-15Final Score: Oakland 88-63 Green Bay
Green Bay 57.7%Oakland 42.3%
79-82160.8Green Bay -2.6
Milwaukee at Purdue Fort Wayne • FINAL12-20 • 17-15Final Score: Milwaukee 82-100 Purdue Fort Wayne
Purdue Fort Wayne 57.9%Milwaukee 42.1%
77-81158.9Purdue Fort Wayne -4.1
Tulsa at UAB • FINAL30-8 • 20-12Final Score: Tulsa 99-77 UAB
Tulsa 59.2%UAB 40.8%
80-79159.3Tulsa -1.7
North Texas at Tulane • FINAL19-14 • 18-15Final Score: North Texas 71-63 Tulane
North Texas 59.2%Tulane 40.8%
73-71143.4North Texas -2.0
UTSA at Memphis • FINAL5-25 • 13-19Final Score: UTSA 69-95 Memphis
Memphis 92.0%UTSA 8.0%
68-85153.3Memphis -16.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.