THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Saint Joseph's at VCU • FINAL24-12 • 28-8Final Score: Saint Joseph's 72-79 VCU
VCU 87.9%Saint Joseph's 12.1%
68-81149.5VCU -13.1
Bethune-Cookman at Arkansas-Pine Bluff • FINAL17-15 • 13-19Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 87-82 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Bethune-Cookman 52.6%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 47.4%
79-79158.6Arkansas-Pine Bluff -0.3
Prairie View A&M at Alcorn State • FINAL19-18 • 9-23Final Score: Prairie View A&M 75-76 Alcorn State
Prairie View A&M 70.8%Alcorn State 29.2%
80-73153.1Prairie View A&M -6.2
Sacred Heart at Rider • FINAL14-19 • 4-25Final Score: Sacred Heart 105-85 Rider
Sacred Heart 70.8%Rider 29.2%
76-71146.4Sacred Heart -5.2
Providence at Marquette • FINAL15-18 • 12-20Final Score: Providence 104-105 Marquette
Marquette 57.4%Providence 42.6%
81-84164.5Marquette -2.7
Fairfield at Siena • FINAL21-13 • 23-12Final Score: Fairfield 77-85 Siena
Siena 71.5%Fairfield 28.5%
67-74140.7Siena -6.6
Mount St. Mary's at Niagara • FINAL15-17 • 8-22Final Score: Mount St. Mary's 68-58 Niagara
Mount St. Mary's 56.2%Niagara 43.8%
68-67135.5Mount St. Mary's -0.8
Merrimack at Marist • FINAL23-11 • 19-12Final Score: Merrimack 68-55 Marist
Marist 55.2%Merrimack 44.8%
64-68132.5Marist -3.8
Pennsylvania at Harvard • FINAL18-12 • 17-12Final Score: Pennsylvania 63-64 Harvard
Harvard 61.7%Pennsylvania 38.3%
70-74143.9Harvard -4.4
Stonehill at Saint Francis • FINAL12-21 • 7-24Final Score: Stonehill 61-63 Saint Francis
Stonehill 51.8%Saint Francis 48.2%
72-72144.0Stonehill -0.9
Long Island University at Le Moyne • FINAL24-11 • 15-17Final Score: Long Island University 77-83 Le Moyne
Long Island University 56.7%Le Moyne 43.3%
74-73146.8Long Island University -0.4
Wagner at Fairleigh Dickinson • FINAL14-17 • 11-21Final Score: Wagner 61-68 Fairleigh Dickinson
Wagner 50.1%Fairleigh Dickinson 49.9%
69-70139.8Fairleigh Dickinson -0.9
Vermont at UAlbany • FINAL22-12 • 11-20Final Score: Vermont 68-75 UAlbany
Vermont 67.7%UAlbany 32.3%
72-69140.3Vermont -3.2
New Hampshire at Maine • FINAL9-21 • 8-24Final Score: New Hampshire 65-48 Maine
Maine 66.5%New Hampshire 33.5%
66-70136.1Maine -4.9
UMBC at Binghamton • FINAL24-8 • 8-22Final Score: UMBC 78-60 Binghamton
UMBC 92.2%Binghamton 7.8%
76-62137.4UMBC -14.2
Bryant at NJIT • FINAL9-22 • 16-17Final Score: Bryant 55-79 NJIT
NJIT 73.1%Bryant 26.9%
66-72138.1NJIT -6.7
East Texas A&M at Incarnate Word • FINAL11-21 • 12-19Final Score: East Texas A&M 80-58 Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word 76.9%East Texas A&M 23.1%
70-78147.5Incarnate Word -8.5
Northeastern at Monmouth • FINAL8-23 • 19-15Final Score: Northeastern 68-81 Monmouth
Monmouth 85.4%Northeastern 14.6%
70-82151.5Monmouth -12.3
Drexel at Towson • FINAL17-16 • 19-15Final Score: Drexel 58-59 Towson
Towson 79.3%Drexel 20.7%
63-71133.8Towson -8.7
Iona at Saint Peter's • FINAL18-14 • 17-12Final Score: Iona 63-77 Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's 64.0%Iona 36.0%
69-74143.4Saint Peter's -4.9
Cornell at Brown • FINAL15-13 • 9-18Final Score: Cornell 89-67 Brown
Cornell 78.5%Brown 21.5%
82-77159.3Cornell -5.5
Columbia at Yale • FINAL16-12 • 23-7Final Score: Columbia 74-91 Yale
Yale 88.2%Columbia 11.8%
68-81149.0Yale -12.4
Manhattan at Quinnipiac • FINAL12-20 • 19-13Final Score: Manhattan 92-98 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 86.0%Manhattan 14.0%
70-83152.2Quinnipiac -13.0
Central Connecticut at Mercyhurst • FINAL18-12 • 17-17Final Score: Central Connecticut 61-79 Mercyhurst
Mercyhurst 65.3%Central Connecticut 34.7%
68-73140.5Mercyhurst -4.7
George Washington at George Mason • FINAL19-16 • 23-10Final Score: George Washington 64-69 George Mason
George Mason 54.4%George Washington 45.6%
74-76149.8George Mason -1.8
Princeton at Dartmouth • FINAL9-20 • 11-16Final Score: Princeton 69-71 Dartmouth
Dartmouth 56.6%Princeton 43.4%
72-75147.6Dartmouth -3.2
McNeese at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL27-6 • 18-15Final Score: McNeese 69-53 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
McNeese 81.7%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 18.3%
74-67141.2McNeese -7.7
Alabama A&M at Alabama State • FINAL18-15 • 10-22Final Score: Alabama A&M 73-69 Alabama State
Alabama State 50.8%Alabama A&M 49.2%
74-75148.8Alabama State -1.0
Washington State at San Francisco • FINAL12-20 • 17-16Final Score: Washington State 80-85 San Francisco
San Francisco 66.0%Washington State 34.0%
74-79152.9San Francisco -5.6
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.