#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Saint Joseph's at VCU • FINAL24-12 • 28-8Final Score: Saint Joseph's 72-79 VCU
VCU 87.9%Saint Joseph's 12.1%
68-81149.5VCU -13.1Bethune-Cookman at Arkansas-Pine Bluff • FINAL17-15 • 13-19Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 87-82 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Bethune-Cookman 52.6%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 47.4%
79-79158.6Arkansas-Pine Bluff -0.3Prairie View A&M at Alcorn State • FINAL19-18 • 9-23Final Score: Prairie View A&M 75-76 Alcorn State
Prairie View A&M 70.8%Alcorn State 29.2%
80-73153.1Prairie View A&M -6.2Sacred Heart at Rider • FINAL14-19 • 4-25Final Score: Sacred Heart 105-85 Rider
Sacred Heart 70.8%Rider 29.2%
76-71146.4Sacred Heart -5.2Providence at Marquette • FINAL15-18 • 12-20Final Score: Providence 104-105 Marquette
Marquette 57.4%Providence 42.6%
81-84164.5Marquette -2.7Fairfield at Siena • FINAL21-13 • 23-12Final Score: Fairfield 77-85 Siena
Siena 71.5%Fairfield 28.5%
67-74140.7Siena -6.6Mount St. Mary's at Niagara • FINAL15-17 • 8-22Final Score: Mount St. Mary's 68-58 Niagara
Mount St. Mary's 56.2%Niagara 43.8%
68-67135.5Mount St. Mary's -0.8Merrimack at Marist • FINAL23-11 • 19-12Final Score: Merrimack 68-55 Marist
Marist 55.2%Merrimack 44.8%
64-68132.5Marist -3.8Pennsylvania at Harvard • FINAL18-12 • 17-12Final Score: Pennsylvania 63-64 Harvard
Harvard 61.7%Pennsylvania 38.3%
70-74143.9Harvard -4.4Stonehill at Saint Francis • FINAL12-21 • 7-24Final Score: Stonehill 61-63 Saint Francis
Stonehill 51.8%Saint Francis 48.2%
72-72144.0Stonehill -0.9Long Island University at Le Moyne • FINAL24-11 • 15-17Final Score: Long Island University 77-83 Le Moyne
Long Island University 56.7%Le Moyne 43.3%
74-73146.8Long Island University -0.4Wagner at Fairleigh Dickinson • FINAL14-17 • 11-21Final Score: Wagner 61-68 Fairleigh Dickinson
Wagner 50.1%Fairleigh Dickinson 49.9%
69-70139.8Fairleigh Dickinson -0.9Vermont at UAlbany • FINAL22-12 • 11-20Final Score: Vermont 68-75 UAlbany
Vermont 67.7%UAlbany 32.3%
72-69140.3Vermont -3.2New Hampshire at Maine • FINAL9-21 • 8-24Final Score: New Hampshire 65-48 Maine
Maine 66.5%New Hampshire 33.5%
66-70136.1Maine -4.9UMBC at Binghamton • FINAL24-8 • 8-22Final Score: UMBC 78-60 Binghamton
UMBC 92.2%Binghamton 7.8%
76-62137.4UMBC -14.2Bryant at NJIT • FINAL9-22 • 16-17Final Score: Bryant 55-79 NJIT
NJIT 73.1%Bryant 26.9%
66-72138.1NJIT -6.7East Texas A&M at Incarnate Word • FINAL11-21 • 12-19Final Score: East Texas A&M 80-58 Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word 76.9%East Texas A&M 23.1%
70-78147.5Incarnate Word -8.5Northeastern at Monmouth • FINAL8-23 • 19-15Final Score: Northeastern 68-81 Monmouth
Monmouth 85.4%Northeastern 14.6%
70-82151.5Monmouth -12.3Drexel at Towson • FINAL17-16 • 19-15Final Score: Drexel 58-59 Towson
Towson 79.3%Drexel 20.7%
63-71133.8Towson -8.7Iona at Saint Peter's • FINAL18-14 • 17-12Final Score: Iona 63-77 Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's 64.0%Iona 36.0%
69-74143.4Saint Peter's -4.9Cornell at Brown • FINAL15-13 • 9-18Final Score: Cornell 89-67 Brown
Cornell 78.5%Brown 21.5%
82-77159.3Cornell -5.5Columbia at Yale • FINAL16-12 • 23-7Final Score: Columbia 74-91 Yale
Yale 88.2%Columbia 11.8%
68-81149.0Yale -12.4Manhattan at Quinnipiac • FINAL12-20 • 19-13Final Score: Manhattan 92-98 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 86.0%Manhattan 14.0%
70-83152.2Quinnipiac -13.0Central Connecticut at Mercyhurst • FINAL18-12 • 17-17Final Score: Central Connecticut 61-79 Mercyhurst
Mercyhurst 65.3%Central Connecticut 34.7%
68-73140.5Mercyhurst -4.7George Washington at George Mason • FINAL19-16 • 23-10Final Score: George Washington 64-69 George Mason
George Mason 54.4%George Washington 45.6%
74-76149.8George Mason -1.8Princeton at Dartmouth • FINAL9-20 • 11-16Final Score: Princeton 69-71 Dartmouth
Dartmouth 56.6%Princeton 43.4%
72-75147.6Dartmouth -3.2McNeese at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL27-6 • 18-15Final Score: McNeese 69-53 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
McNeese 81.7%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 18.3%
74-67141.2McNeese -7.7Alabama A&M at Alabama State • FINAL18-15 • 10-22Final Score: Alabama A&M 73-69 Alabama State
Alabama State 50.8%Alabama A&M 49.2%
74-75148.8Alabama State -1.0Washington State at San Francisco • FINAL12-20 • 17-16Final Score: Washington State 80-85 San Francisco
San Francisco 66.0%Washington State 34.0%
74-79152.9San Francisco -5.6THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.