#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Loyola Maryland at Lehigh • FINAL12-20 • 18-17Final Score: Loyola Maryland 81-88 Lehigh
Lehigh 72.4%Loyola Maryland 27.6%
72-79151.3Lehigh -6.6Stephen F. Austin at Nicholls • FINAL28-6 • 14-19Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 79-62 Nicholls
Stephen F. Austin 79.1%Nicholls 20.9%
77-69146.0Stephen F. Austin -8.1Montana State at Northern Colorado • FINAL18-14 • 20-12Final Score: Montana State 73-68 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 62.7%Montana State 37.3%
77-81157.2Northern Colorado -3.9Montana at Northern Arizona • FINAL18-16 • 10-22Final Score: Montana 98-72 Northern Arizona
Montana 60.8%Northern Arizona 39.2%
77-75152.0Montana -2.7New Haven at Chicago State • FINAL14-17 • 7-25Final Score: New Haven 62-56 Chicago State
Chicago State 53.8%New Haven 46.2%
67-68135.2Chicago State -0.4SE Louisiana at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL9-21 • 19-14Final Score: SE Louisiana 65-68 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 91.8%SE Louisiana 8.2%
61-76137.1UT Rio Grande Valley -15.9Florida A&M at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL14-16 • 3-30Final Score: Florida A&M 62-48 Mississippi Valley State
Florida A&M 87.1%Mississippi Valley State 12.9%
79-68146.7Florida A&M -11.6Texas Southern at Jackson State • FINAL12-17 • 12-21Final Score: Texas Southern 89-94 Jackson State
Texas Southern 64.9%Jackson State 35.1%
79-74152.7Texas Southern -4.3Northwestern State at Houston Christian • FINAL10-21 • 12-20Final Score: Northwestern State 80-82 Houston Christian
Houston Christian 57.7%Northwestern State 42.3%
67-69136.2Houston Christian -2.7Lamar at New Orleans • FINAL12-19 • 16-18Final Score: Lamar 76-89 New Orleans
New Orleans 69.9%Lamar 30.1%
71-76147.2New Orleans -4.8North Carolina A&T at Hampton • FINAL11-19 • 13-19Final Score: North Carolina A&T 61-82 Hampton
Hampton 66.0%North Carolina A&T 34.0%
71-77147.9Hampton -5.7Toledo at Massachusetts • FINAL19-15 • 17-16Final Score: Toledo 82-84 Massachusetts
Toledo 57.5%Massachusetts 42.5%
81-81161.7Toledo -0.2Minnesota at Ohio State • FINAL15-18 • 21-13Final Score: Minnesota 74-82 Ohio State
Ohio State 88.8%Minnesota 11.2%
66-79145.6Ohio State -13.2Akron at Buffalo • FINAL29-6 • 17-15Final Score: Akron 82-63 Buffalo
Akron 78.3%Buffalo 21.7%
85-77162.0Akron -8.0THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.