THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Loyola Maryland at Lehigh • FINAL12-20 • 18-17Final Score: Loyola Maryland 81-88 Lehigh
Lehigh 72.4%Loyola Maryland 27.6%
72-79151.3Lehigh -6.6
Stephen F. Austin at Nicholls • FINAL28-6 • 14-19Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 79-62 Nicholls
Stephen F. Austin 79.1%Nicholls 20.9%
77-69146.0Stephen F. Austin -8.1
Montana State at Northern Colorado • FINAL18-14 • 20-12Final Score: Montana State 73-68 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 62.7%Montana State 37.3%
77-81157.2Northern Colorado -3.9
Montana at Northern Arizona • FINAL18-16 • 10-22Final Score: Montana 98-72 Northern Arizona
Montana 60.8%Northern Arizona 39.2%
77-75152.0Montana -2.7
New Haven at Chicago State • FINAL14-17 • 7-25Final Score: New Haven 62-56 Chicago State
Chicago State 53.8%New Haven 46.2%
67-68135.2Chicago State -0.4
SE Louisiana at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL9-21 • 19-14Final Score: SE Louisiana 65-68 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 91.8%SE Louisiana 8.2%
61-76137.1UT Rio Grande Valley -15.9
Florida A&M at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL14-16 • 3-30Final Score: Florida A&M 62-48 Mississippi Valley State
Florida A&M 87.1%Mississippi Valley State 12.9%
79-68146.7Florida A&M -11.6
Texas Southern at Jackson State • FINAL12-17 • 12-21Final Score: Texas Southern 89-94 Jackson State
Texas Southern 64.9%Jackson State 35.1%
79-74152.7Texas Southern -4.3
Northwestern State at Houston Christian • FINAL10-21 • 12-20Final Score: Northwestern State 80-82 Houston Christian
Houston Christian 57.7%Northwestern State 42.3%
67-69136.2Houston Christian -2.7
Lamar at New Orleans • FINAL12-19 • 16-18Final Score: Lamar 76-89 New Orleans
New Orleans 69.9%Lamar 30.1%
71-76147.2New Orleans -4.8
North Carolina A&T at Hampton • FINAL11-19 • 13-19Final Score: North Carolina A&T 61-82 Hampton
Hampton 66.0%North Carolina A&T 34.0%
71-77147.9Hampton -5.7
Toledo at Massachusetts • FINAL19-15 • 17-16Final Score: Toledo 82-84 Massachusetts
Toledo 57.5%Massachusetts 42.5%
81-81161.7Toledo -0.2
Minnesota at Ohio State • FINAL15-18 • 21-13Final Score: Minnesota 74-82 Ohio State
Ohio State 88.8%Minnesota 11.2%
66-79145.6Ohio State -13.2
Akron at Buffalo • FINAL29-6 • 17-15Final Score: Akron 82-63 Buffalo
Akron 78.3%Buffalo 21.7%
85-77162.0Akron -8.0
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.