#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Kansas at Kansas State • FINAL24-11 • 12-20Final Score: Kansas 86-62 Kansas State
Kansas 76.0%Kansas State 24.0%
81-74155.3Kansas -6.6San Francisco at Gonzaga • FINAL17-16 • 31-4Final Score: San Francisco 66-68 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 96.9%San Francisco 3.1%
64-87150.9Gonzaga -23.1Tennessee at Alabama • FINAL25-12 • 24-10Final Score: Tennessee 79-73 Alabama
Alabama 64.8%Tennessee 35.2%
81-85165.6Alabama -4.0USC at Wisconsin • FINAL18-14 • 24-11Final Score: USC 73-71 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 91.0%USC 9.0%
74-88161.7Wisconsin -14.5Santa Clara at San Diego • FINAL26-9 • 12-21Final Score: Santa Clara 85-73 San Diego
Santa Clara 90.8%San Diego 9.2%
85-72157.0Santa Clara -13.4Grand Canyon at Fresno State • FINAL20-12 • 13-19Final Score: Grand Canyon 68-57 Fresno State
Grand Canyon 71.2%Fresno State 28.8%
75-71145.8Grand Canyon -4.6Lafayette at Lehigh • FINAL11-21 • 18-17Final Score: Lafayette 59-64 Lehigh
Lehigh 75.0%Lafayette 25.0%
69-77146.1Lehigh -7.9Seattle U at Pacific • FINAL21-14 • 18-15Final Score: Seattle U 54-56 Pacific
Pacific 57.7%Seattle U 42.3%
69-72140.3Pacific -2.8UC Santa Barbara at Long Beach State • FINAL18-14 • 10-22Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 74-71 Long Beach State
UC Santa Barbara 65.4%Long Beach State 34.6%
79-75154.0UC Santa Barbara -3.5Canisius at Fairfield • FINAL10-21 • 21-13Final Score: Canisius 55-61 Fairfield
Fairfield 91.0%Canisius 9.0%
62-77139.0Fairfield -15.2Manhattan at Iona • FINAL12-20 • 18-14Final Score: Manhattan 57-66 Iona
Iona 79.5%Manhattan 20.5%
71-81152.0Iona -10.0Cal State Fullerton at Cal Poly • FINAL18-16 • 14-19Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 93-78 Cal Poly
Cal Poly 54.6%Cal State Fullerton 45.4%
85-87171.9Cal Poly -1.6UIC at Bradley • FINAL19-16 • 21-13Final Score: UIC 85-70 Bradley
Bradley 56.3%UIC 43.7%
74-76150.1Bradley -2.6Nevada at New Mexico • FINAL24-13 • 26-11Final Score: Nevada 73-80 New Mexico
New Mexico 72.0%Nevada 28.0%
72-80151.8New Mexico -7.9Saint Mary's at Portland • FINAL27-6 • 15-19Final Score: Saint Mary's 75-69 Portland
Saint Mary's 93.2%Portland 6.8%
82-67148.8Saint Mary's -15.6California at Stanford • FINAL22-12 • 20-13Final Score: California 78-66 Stanford
Stanford 69.2%California 30.8%
74-79152.2Stanford -5.0Omaha at Kansas City • FINAL16-17 • 4-27Final Score: Omaha 77-60 Kansas City
Omaha 83.0%Kansas City 17.0%
83-73155.7Omaha -9.5Northern Colorado at Northern Arizona • FINAL20-12 • 10-22Final Score: Northern Colorado 77-81 Northern Arizona
Northern Colorado 79.6%Northern Arizona 20.4%
82-74156.2Northern Colorado -7.7Weber State at Montana State • FINAL16-16 • 18-14Final Score: Weber State 88-91 Montana State
Montana State 70.8%Weber State 29.2%
75-82156.9Montana State -6.6Utah Valley at California Baptist • FINAL25-9 • 25-9Final Score: Utah Valley 71-78 California Baptist
California Baptist 60.3%Utah Valley 39.7%
71-74145.1California Baptist -2.2Southern Utah at Utah Tech • FINAL10-22 • 19-15Final Score: Southern Utah 91-102 Utah Tech
Utah Tech 77.8%Southern Utah 22.2%
74-83156.7Utah Tech -9.2Cincinnati at Arizona State • FINAL18-15 • 17-16Final Score: Cincinnati 68-82 Arizona State
Cincinnati 65.9%Arizona State 34.1%
76-73149.0Cincinnati -3.6UC Irvine at UC San Diego • FINAL23-12 • 23-11Final Score: UC Irvine 61-59 UC San Diego
UC Irvine 51.2%UC San Diego 48.8%
73-74147.0UC San Diego -0.3Cal State Northridge at Hawai'i • FINAL20-14 • 24-9Final Score: Cal State Northridge 68-89 Hawai'i
Hawai'i 73.1%Cal State Northridge 26.9%
75-84159.1Hawai'i -8.6Florida Atlantic at South Florida • FINAL18-15 • 25-9Final Score: Florida Atlantic 75-89 South Florida
South Florida 91.9%Florida Atlantic 8.1%
73-89162.0South Florida -15.6Saint Francis at New Haven • FINAL7-24 • 14-17Final Score: Saint Francis 0-0 New Haven
New Haven 77.6%Saint Francis 22.4%
66-76141.6New Haven -9.7Chicago State at Mercyhurst • FINAL7-25 • 17-17Final Score: Chicago State 59-61 Mercyhurst
Mercyhurst 82.6%Chicago State 17.4%
63-75138.6Mercyhurst -12.1Purdue Fort Wayne at IU Indianapolis • FINAL17-15 • 7-25Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 0-0 IU Indianapolis
IU Indianapolis 51.0%Purdue Fort Wayne 49.0%
84-84168.7IU Indianapolis -0.3Oregon at Washington • FINAL12-19 • 16-17Final Score: Oregon 57-72 Washington
Washington 80.6%Oregon 19.4%
70-80149.2Washington -10.1Southern Illinois at Evansville • FINAL16-16 • 7-25Final Score: Southern Illinois 0-0 Evansville
Southern Illinois 88.6%Evansville 11.4%
78-66143.3Southern Illinois -11.7THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.