#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Ohio State at Michigan • FINAL21-13 • 36-3Final Score: Ohio State 62-74 Michigan
Michigan 91.2%Ohio State 8.8%
71-87158.0Michigan -16.6Illinois at Purdue • FINAL28-9 • 30-9Final Score: Illinois 88-82 Purdue
Purdue 53.5%Illinois 46.5%
77-78154.5Purdue -1.2Auburn at Florida • FINAL21-16 • 27-8Final Score: Auburn 76-67 Florida
Florida 90.1%Auburn 9.9%
74-90164.8Florida -15.9St. John's at Xavier • FINAL30-6 • 15-18Final Score: St. John's 88-83 Xavier
St. John's 85.9%Xavier 14.1%
84-73157.7St. John's -11.2Wake Forest at Duke • FINAL18-17 • 35-3Final Score: Wake Forest 69-90 Duke
Duke 96.1%Wake Forest 3.9%
66-87152.7Duke -21.4Virginia Tech at Louisville • FINAL19-13 • 24-11Final Score: Virginia Tech 71-85 Louisville
Louisville 82.6%Virginia Tech 17.4%
74-85158.4Louisville -11.4Maryland at Michigan State • FINAL12-20 • 27-8Final Score: Maryland 48-91 Michigan State
Michigan State 96.7%Maryland 3.3%
62-85147.4Michigan State -22.5North Carolina at Virginia • FINAL24-9 • 30-6Final Score: North Carolina 85-80 Virginia
Virginia 71.5%North Carolina 28.5%
73-80152.4Virginia -6.9Ole Miss at Kentucky • FINAL15-20 • 22-14Final Score: Ole Miss 63-72 Kentucky
Kentucky 84.9%Ole Miss 15.1%
72-84156.3Kentucky -12.0Villanova at UConn • FINAL24-9 • 34-5Final Score: Villanova 67-75 UConn
UConn 84.7%Villanova 15.3%
67-79146.1UConn -11.6West Virginia at Arizona • FINAL21-14 • 36-3Final Score: West Virginia 53-88 Arizona
Arizona 95.8%West Virginia 4.2%
63-84146.8Arizona -20.3Iowa State at Oklahoma State • FINAL28-8 • 20-15Final Score: Iowa State 84-71 Oklahoma State
Iowa State 87.9%Oklahoma State 12.1%
86-74160.7Iowa State -12.0Utah at BYU • FINAL10-22 • 23-12Final Score: Utah 78-91 BYU
BYU 93.9%Utah 6.1%
71-89159.7BYU -18.5Northwestern at UCLA • FINAL15-19 • 24-12Final Score: Northwestern 64-71 UCLA
UCLA 79.5%Northwestern 20.5%
69-79147.9UCLA -9.4Houston at Texas Tech • FINAL29-7 • 23-11Final Score: Houston 86-90 Texas Tech
Houston 65.2%Texas Tech 34.8%
75-72147.5Houston -3.1LSU at Arkansas • FINAL15-17 • 28-9Final Score: LSU 81-85 Arkansas
Arkansas 89.9%LSU 10.1%
79-93171.3Arkansas -14.2Massachusetts at Buffalo • FINAL17-16 • 17-15Final Score: Massachusetts 68-67 Buffalo
Buffalo 57.7%Massachusetts 42.3%
79-81159.7Buffalo -2.6Chicago State at Saint Francis • FINAL7-25 • 7-24Final Score: Chicago State 60-81 Saint Francis
Saint Francis 53.3%Chicago State 46.7%
73-75148.4Saint Francis -2.1Long Island University at Stonehill • FINAL24-11 • 12-21Final Score: Long Island University 66-63 Stonehill
Long Island University 70.3%Stonehill 29.7%
72-68139.8Long Island University -3.5Wagner at Le Moyne • FINAL14-17 • 15-17Final Score: Wagner 67-69 Le Moyne
Le Moyne 63.2%Wagner 36.8%
71-75145.2Le Moyne -4.2Fairleigh Dickinson at Central Connecticut • FINAL11-21 • 18-12Final Score: Fairleigh Dickinson 76-66 Central Connecticut
Central Connecticut 76.7%Fairleigh Dickinson 23.3%
66-75140.8Central Connecticut -8.6Marquette at Butler • FINAL12-20 • 16-16Final Score: Marquette 76-87 Butler
Butler 63.5%Marquette 36.5%
76-81156.9Butler -4.9Akron at Ohio • FINAL29-6 • 15-17Final Score: Akron 86-65 Ohio
Akron 81.4%Ohio 18.6%
86-77163.4Akron -9.5Utah State at Colorado State • FINAL29-7 • 21-13Final Score: Utah State 65-61 Colorado State
Utah State 65.4%Colorado State 34.6%
78-74151.9Utah State -3.8Drake at Indiana State • FINAL14-20 • 11-21Final Score: Drake 76-62 Indiana State
Indiana State 57.1%Drake 42.9%
74-77150.9Indiana State -2.8Alcorn State at Florida A&M • FINAL9-23 • 14-16Final Score: Alcorn State 58-66 Florida A&M
Florida A&M 84.0%Alcorn State 16.0%
67-79146.7Florida A&M -12.0Alabama A&M at Texas Southern • FINAL18-15 • 12-17Final Score: Alabama A&M 74-89 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 58.5%Alabama A&M 41.5%
72-75146.9Texas Southern -3.0North Dakota State at Oral Roberts • FINAL27-8 • 10-23Final Score: North Dakota State 86-58 Oral Roberts
North Dakota State 80.3%Oral Roberts 19.7%
81-72152.8North Dakota State -9.0The Citadel at East Tennessee State • FINAL11-22 • 23-11Final Score: The Citadel 55-84 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 95.0%The Citadel 5.0%
64-84148.7East Tennessee State -19.9Oklahoma at Missouri • FINAL21-16 • 20-13Final Score: Oklahoma 87-88 Missouri
Oklahoma 50.9%Missouri 49.1%
80-81161.4Missouri -1.3Nebraska at Minnesota • FINAL28-7 • 15-18Final Score: Nebraska 76-57 Minnesota
Nebraska 79.1%Minnesota 20.9%
74-66140.2Nebraska -7.7NC State at Pittsburgh • FINAL20-14 • 13-20Final Score: NC State 81-72 Pittsburgh
NC State 63.7%Pittsburgh 36.3%
78-75152.9NC State -3.3Clemson at Georgia Tech • FINAL24-10 • 11-20Final Score: Clemson 77-63 Georgia Tech
Clemson 81.0%Georgia Tech 19.0%
76-68144.2Clemson -8.1Niagara at Sacred Heart • FINAL8-22 • 14-19Final Score: Niagara 70-71 Sacred Heart
Sacred Heart 76.0%Niagara 24.0%
68-76143.7Sacred Heart -8.4Vermont at Bryant • FINAL22-12 • 9-22Final Score: Vermont 62-52 Bryant
Vermont 83.3%Bryant 16.7%
74-65139.1Vermont -8.7Georgetown at Providence • FINAL13-18 • 15-18Final Score: Georgetown 81-78 Providence
Providence 69.2%Georgetown 30.8%
73-79152.6Providence -5.6Quinnipiac at Marist • FINAL19-13 • 19-12Final Score: Quinnipiac 64-71 Marist
Marist 62.5%Quinnipiac 37.5%
68-72140.0Marist -4.8UMass Lowell at UMBC • FINAL15-18 • 24-8Final Score: UMass Lowell 56-79 UMBC
UMBC 90.1%UMass Lowell 9.9%
65-80145.7UMBC -14.9Mercer at Wofford • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: Mercer 77-80 Wofford
Mercer 53.1%Wofford 46.9%
81-80160.7Mercer -0.6Southern Miss at Coastal Carolina • FINAL19-16 • 19-13Final Score: Southern Miss 67-85 Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina 54.1%Southern Miss 45.9%
73-76148.6Coastal Carolina -2.4Georgia at Texas • FINAL22-11 • 21-15Final Score: Georgia 67-87 Texas
Texas 55.7%Georgia 44.3%
84-86169.6Texas -1.5Army at Navy • FINAL11-21 • 26-8Final Score: Army 56-84 Navy
Navy 93.9%Army 6.1%
63-82144.7Navy -18.5George Mason at Rhode Island • FINAL23-10 • 16-16Final Score: George Mason 65-74 Rhode Island
George Mason 53.4%Rhode Island 46.6%
69-70139.0Rhode Island -0.4Duquesne at Loyola Chicago • FINAL18-15 • 9-24Final Score: Duquesne 71-59 Loyola Chicago
Duquesne 68.2%Loyola Chicago 31.8%
77-72149.5Duquesne -5.1Temple at UTSA • FINAL16-16 • 5-25Final Score: Temple 70-64 UTSA
Temple 85.4%UTSA 14.6%
80-69148.9Temple -10.6American University at Holy Cross • FINAL16-16 • 11-22Final Score: American University 76-67 Holy Cross
American University 65.4%Holy Cross 34.6%
74-70144.3American University -3.6Boston University at Colgate • FINAL16-18 • 18-15Final Score: Boston University 79-80 Colgate
Colgate 58.5%Boston University 41.5%
74-78152.3Colgate -3.6South Carolina Upstate at Gardner-Webb • FINAL13-19 • 4-29Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 65-67 Gardner-Webb
South Carolina Upstate 80.0%Gardner-Webb 20.0%
81-72153.1South Carolina Upstate -9.9Miami at Syracuse • FINAL26-9 • 15-16Final Score: Miami 85-76 Syracuse
Miami 72.6%Syracuse 27.4%
79-74153.1Miami -5.2Brown at Princeton • FINAL9-18 • 9-20Final Score: Brown 53-63 Princeton
Princeton 71.3%Brown 28.7%
68-73140.2Princeton -5.2Columbia at Dartmouth • FINAL16-12 • 11-16Final Score: Columbia 79-69 Dartmouth
Columbia 66.2%Dartmouth 33.8%
78-75152.6Columbia -3.4St. Thomas-Minnesota at South Dakota • FINAL24-10 • 16-16Final Score: St. Thomas-Minnesota 90-78 South Dakota
St. Thomas-Minnesota 78.1%South Dakota 21.9%
84-76160.2St. Thomas-Minnesota -7.4Milwaukee at Youngstown State • FINAL12-20 • 14-17Final Score: Milwaukee 65-64 Youngstown State
Youngstown State 66.5%Milwaukee 33.5%
73-80153.1Youngstown State -6.4Green Bay at Robert Morris • FINAL18-15 • 22-11Final Score: Green Bay 71-67 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 75.4%Green Bay 24.6%
72-80151.6Robert Morris -8.6Northern Illinois at Ball State • FINAL9-21 • 12-19Final Score: Northern Illinois 53-58 Ball State
Ball State 86.5%Northern Illinois 13.5%
65-77142.2Ball State -12.1Cornell at Harvard • FINAL15-13 • 17-12Final Score: Cornell 86-79 Harvard
Harvard 53.0%Cornell 47.0%
77-79156.7Harvard -2.1Yale at Pennsylvania • FINAL23-7 • 18-12Final Score: Yale 77-60 Pennsylvania
Yale 70.8%Pennsylvania 29.2%
77-73150.2Yale -4.6Binghamton at Maine • FINAL8-22 • 8-24Final Score: Binghamton 63-79 Maine
Maine 70.4%Binghamton 29.6%
63-69132.5Maine -6.4UAlbany at New Hampshire • FINAL11-20 • 9-21Final Score: UAlbany 72-80 New Hampshire
UAlbany 59.2%New Hampshire 40.8%
71-70141.6UAlbany -1.2Towson at North Carolina A&T • FINAL19-15 • 11-19Final Score: Towson 73-80 North Carolina A&T
Towson 70.1%North Carolina A&T 29.9%
75-70144.6Towson -4.4Hofstra at William & Mary • FINAL24-11 • 20-12Final Score: Hofstra 82-89 William & Mary
Hofstra 52.6%William & Mary 47.4%
77-77153.9William & Mary -0.3Northeastern at Drexel • FINAL8-23 • 17-16Final Score: Northeastern 78-83 Drexel
Drexel 75.6%Northeastern 24.4%
69-78146.2Drexel -9.1Arkansas State at Georgia State • FINAL20-12 • 10-22Final Score: Arkansas State 81-82 Georgia State
Arkansas State 83.0%Georgia State 17.0%
82-73155.1Arkansas State -8.7Bellarmine at North Florida • FINAL13-19 • 7-25Final Score: Bellarmine 114-117 North Florida
Bellarmine 61.0%North Florida 39.0%
86-84170.6Bellarmine -2.0Florida International at New Mexico State • FINAL15-17 • 16-16Final Score: Florida International 81-78 New Mexico State
New Mexico State 64.5%Florida International 35.5%
75-80155.5New Mexico State -4.7UNC Wilmington at Hampton • FINAL27-7 • 13-19Final Score: UNC Wilmington 75-67 Hampton
UNC Wilmington 78.1%Hampton 21.9%
75-68142.7UNC Wilmington -6.7Richmond at George Washington • FINAL15-17 • 19-16Final Score: Richmond 69-85 George Washington
George Washington 82.9%Richmond 17.1%
73-83155.8George Washington -10.8UCF at Colorado • FINAL21-12 • 17-16Final Score: UCF 95-86 Colorado
Colorado 50.5%UCF 49.5%
81-82163.8Colorado -0.9Saint Peter's at Merrimack • FINAL17-12 • 23-11Final Score: Saint Peter's 59-67 Merrimack
Merrimack 76.9%Saint Peter's 23.1%
64-72135.9Merrimack -7.4Oakland at Detroit Mercy • FINAL16-16 • 17-15Final Score: Oakland 95-87 Detroit Mercy
Detroit Mercy 50.8%Oakland 49.2%
81-83163.7Detroit Mercy -1.4Texas State at James Madison • FINAL19-13 • 18-15Final Score: Texas State 57-82 James Madison
James Madison 69.7%Texas State 30.3%
71-77147.8James Madison -5.3Troy at Georgia Southern • FINAL22-12 • 21-16Final Score: Troy 83-78 Georgia Southern
Troy 51.2%Georgia Southern 48.8%
80-80160.0Troy -0.3Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville • FINAL11-21 • 12-20Final Score: Eastern Kentucky 76-81 Jacksonville
Jacksonville 58.5%Eastern Kentucky 41.5%
77-80157.4Jacksonville -3.5Kent State at Eastern Michigan • FINAL24-10 • 10-21Final Score: Kent State 76-75 Eastern Michigan
Kent State 67.9%Eastern Michigan 32.1%
80-77156.9Kent State -3.8VMI at Western Carolina • FINAL5-26 • 15-16Final Score: VMI 58-88 Western Carolina
Western Carolina 96.0%VMI 4.0%
67-87154.0Western Carolina -19.5South Carolina at Texas A&M • FINAL13-19 • 20-12Final Score: South Carolina 69-92 Texas A&M
Texas A&M 83.2%South Carolina 16.8%
72-84156.1Texas A&M -11.2Eastern Illinois at Morehead State • FINAL13-20 • 20-13Final Score: Eastern Illinois 68-73 Morehead State
Morehead State 79.1%Eastern Illinois 20.9%
68-76144.2Morehead State -8.6Western Kentucky at Sam Houston • FINAL18-14 • 22-12Final Score: Western Kentucky 58-73 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 63.8%Western Kentucky 36.2%
77-83160.0Sam Houston -5.3Murray State at Northern Iowa • FINAL20-13 • 23-13Final Score: Murray State 76-81 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 79.1%Murray State 20.9%
70-79148.2Northern Iowa -9.1San José State at Wyoming • FINAL9-24 • 18-15Final Score: San José State 62-66 Wyoming
Wyoming 88.9%San José State 11.1%
69-83152.2Wyoming -14.7Memphis at Wichita State • FINAL13-19 • 24-12Final Score: Memphis 59-74 Wichita State
Wichita State 90.2%Memphis 9.8%
69-83152.5Wichita State -14.4Charleston Southern at Longwood • FINAL15-17 • 16-16Final Score: Charleston Southern 79-81 Longwood
Longwood 61.1%Charleston Southern 38.9%
79-83161.5Longwood -3.7San Diego State at UNLV • FINAL22-10 • 18-16Final Score: San Diego State 82-71 UNLV
San Diego State 57.5%UNLV 42.5%
79-77155.7San Diego State -2.1Florida State at SMU • FINAL18-15 • 20-14Final Score: Florida State 80-83 SMU
SMU 71.8%Florida State 28.2%
79-86164.6SMU -7.4Air Force at Boise State • FINAL3-29 • 20-12Final Score: Air Force 54-96 Boise State
Boise State 99.0%Air Force 1.0%
59-89147.6Boise State -29.8North Dakota at Denver • FINAL18-17 • 15-17Final Score: North Dakota 93-86 Denver
Denver 75.2%North Dakota 24.8%
79-86164.2Denver -6.9Elon at Charleston • FINAL14-18 • 21-11Final Score: Elon 70-80 Charleston
Charleston 80.7%Elon 19.3%
73-82155.0Charleston -9.1Monmouth at Campbell • FINAL19-15 • 15-18Final Score: Monmouth 88-73 Campbell
Campbell 59.5%Monmouth 40.5%
75-77152.1Campbell -2.8Missouri State at UTEP • FINAL16-18 • 11-20Final Score: Missouri State 62-57 UTEP
Missouri State 55.9%UTEP 44.1%
73-73146.0Missouri State -0.4Delaware State at North Carolina Central • FINAL8-22 • 14-18Final Score: Delaware State 0-0 North Carolina Central
North Carolina Central 79.9%Delaware State 20.1%
64-73136.3North Carolina Central -9.0Winthrop at Presbyterian • FINAL23-11 • 15-18Final Score: Winthrop 82-72 Presbyterian
Winthrop 63.7%Presbyterian 36.3%
79-75154.2Winthrop -3.3High Point at Radford • FINAL31-5 • 16-16Final Score: High Point 93-83 Radford
High Point 86.3%Radford 13.7%
88-77165.1High Point -11.7Coppin State at Norfolk State • FINAL7-24 • 15-17Final Score: Coppin State 76-103 Norfolk State
Norfolk State 91.9%Coppin State 8.1%
66-84149.5Norfolk State -17.7UT Rio Grande Valley at Houston Christian • FINAL19-14 • 12-20Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 68-51 Houston Christian
UT Rio Grande Valley 78.7%Houston Christian 21.3%
75-67142.4UT Rio Grande Valley -7.6Nicholls at SE Louisiana • FINAL14-19 • 9-21Final Score: Nicholls 61-67 SE Louisiana
Nicholls 50.9%SE Louisiana 49.1%
69-70138.2SE Louisiana -1.1East Texas A&M at Northwestern State • FINAL11-21 • 10-21Final Score: East Texas A&M 0-0 Northwestern State
Northwestern State 69.7%East Texas A&M 30.3%
67-73139.7Northwestern State -5.9Queens University at West Georgia • FINAL21-14 • 15-17Final Score: Queens University 66-74 West Georgia
Queens University 59.7%West Georgia 40.3%
84-83167.1Queens University -1.1Western Illinois at Southern Indiana • FINAL5-26 • 7-22Final Score: Western Illinois 64-96 Southern Indiana
Southern Indiana 85.6%Western Illinois 14.4%
63-76138.9Southern Indiana -12.2Tennessee State at Lindenwood • FINAL23-10 • 18-15Final Score: Tennessee State 96-86 Lindenwood
Tennessee State 61.0%Lindenwood 39.0%
78-77155.2Tennessee State -0.7VCU at Davidson • FINAL28-8 • 20-14Final Score: VCU 75-69 Davidson
VCU 71.2%Davidson 28.8%
76-71147.3VCU -4.5Seton Hall at DePaul • FINAL21-12 • 16-16Final Score: Seton Hall 60-67 DePaul
Seton Hall 61.3%DePaul 38.7%
69-67136.7Seton Hall -1.9Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Incarnate Word • FINAL18-15 • 12-19Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 79-71 Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word 51.3%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 48.7%
72-73144.7Incarnate Word -0.7Bucknell at Loyola Maryland • FINAL10-23 • 12-20Final Score: Bucknell 62-67 Loyola Maryland
Loyola Maryland 74.6%Bucknell 25.4%
71-79149.5Loyola Maryland -8.1Bowling Green at Toledo • FINAL18-14 • 19-15Final Score: Bowling Green 72-73 Toledo
Toledo 72.4%Bowling Green 27.6%
77-82158.5Toledo -4.8Rider at Mount St. Mary's • FINAL4-25 • 15-17Final Score: Rider 61-71 Mount St. Mary's
Mount St. Mary's 88.2%Rider 11.8%
62-76138.1Mount St. Mary's -13.9UC Riverside at UC Davis • FINAL10-22 • 19-14Final Score: UC Riverside 66-74 UC Davis
UC Davis 78.8%UC Riverside 21.2%
72-82154.2UC Davis -9.8New Orleans at McNeese • FINAL16-18 • 27-6Final Score: New Orleans 63-82 McNeese
McNeese 93.7%New Orleans 6.3%
65-84149.3McNeese -18.4Portland State at Idaho • FINAL20-11 • 21-15Final Score: Portland State 69-66 Idaho
Idaho 69.9%Portland State 30.1%
73-78150.4Idaho -5.3Sacramento State at Eastern Washington • FINAL10-21 • 14-19Final Score: Sacramento State 67-75 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 82.4%Sacramento State 17.6%
76-86162.5Eastern Washington -9.9Tennessee Tech at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL13-18 • 19-13Final Score: Tennessee Tech 58-62 SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville 73.7%Tennessee Tech 26.3%
67-75141.6SIU Edwardsville -8.6Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State • FINAL17-15 • 15-17Final Score: Middle Tennessee 58-75 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 59.0%Middle Tennessee 41.0%
71-74145.3Jacksonville State -3.6Jackson State at Bethune-Cookman • FINAL12-21 • 17-15Final Score: Jackson State 48-85 Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 88.2%Jackson State 11.8%
71-85156.0Bethune-Cookman -14.5Alabama State at Prairie View A&M • FINAL10-22 • 19-18Final Score: Alabama State 95-80 Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M 71.3%Alabama State 28.7%
74-81155.1Prairie View A&M -7.3Pepperdine at Washington State • FINAL9-23 • 12-20Final Score: Pepperdine 79-95 Washington State
Washington State 84.3%Pepperdine 15.7%
72-83155.4Washington State -11.5Morgan State at Howard • FINAL14-16 • 24-11Final Score: Morgan State 78-77 Howard
Howard 93.7%Morgan State 6.3%
67-85152.3Howard -18.2Dayton at Saint Joseph's • FINAL25-12 • 24-12Final Score: Dayton 74-81 Saint Joseph's
Dayton 57.8%Saint Joseph's 42.2%
72-72143.8Dayton -0.6TCU at Baylor • FINAL23-12 • 16-17Final Score: TCU 97-90 Baylor
Baylor 60.3%TCU 39.7%
77-80156.5Baylor -3.4Boston College at Notre Dame • FINAL11-20 • 13-17Final Score: Boston College 64-68 Notre Dame
Notre Dame 73.5%Boston College 26.5%
69-76144.9Notre Dame -7.0Central Michigan at Western Michigan • FINAL10-21 • 10-21Final Score: Central Michigan 65-77 Western Michigan
Western Michigan 59.3%Central Michigan 40.7%
76-79154.8Western Michigan -3.4Idaho State at Montana • FINAL13-20 • 18-16Final Score: Idaho State 60-69 Montana
Montana 61.1%Idaho State 38.9%
74-79153.7Montana -4.9Vanderbilt at Mississippi State • FINAL27-9 • 13-19Final Score: Vanderbilt 88-56 Mississippi State
Vanderbilt 90.0%Mississippi State 10.0%
89-76164.6Vanderbilt -13.3Delaware at Liberty • FINAL10-21 • 26-8Final Score: Delaware 51-67 Liberty
Liberty 88.8%Delaware 11.2%
66-80145.7Liberty -14.5Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Southern • FINAL13-19 • 17-17Final Score: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 75-74 Southern
Southern 76.0%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 24.0%
77-85161.9Southern -8.8Northern Kentucky at Wright State • FINAL20-14 • 23-12Final Score: Northern Kentucky 80-88 Wright State
Wright State 70.4%Northern Kentucky 29.6%
78-84161.2Wright State -6.0Stephen F. Austin at Lamar • FINAL28-6 • 12-19Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 88-81 Lamar
Stephen F. Austin 78.1%Lamar 21.9%
74-67140.9Stephen F. Austin -6.8Chattanooga at Samford • FINAL13-19 • 18-14Final Score: Chattanooga 64-75 Samford
Samford 80.6%Chattanooga 19.4%
73-82155.8Samford -9.0Tulane at Charlotte • FINAL18-15 • 17-17Final Score: Tulane 70-73 Charlotte
Charlotte 74.4%Tulane 25.6%
71-78149.4Charlotte -7.4Illinois State at Belmont • FINAL23-13 • 26-6Final Score: Illinois State 69-80 Belmont
Belmont 79.3%Illinois State 20.7%
72-81152.1Belmont -9.0Tulsa at Rice • FINAL30-8 • 13-18Final Score: Tulsa 87-81 Rice
Tulsa 84.4%Rice 15.6%
83-73156.4Tulsa -9.8THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.