#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
UConn at St. John's • FINAL34-5 • 30-6Final Score: UConn 72-81 St. John's
St. John's 62.7%UConn 37.3%
71-76147.3St. John's -4.4Oregon at Purdue • FINAL12-19 • 30-9Final Score: Oregon 64-68 Purdue
Purdue 96.1%Oregon 3.9%
65-85150.2Purdue -20.6Arkansas at Mississippi State • FINAL28-9 • 13-19Final Score: Arkansas 88-68 Mississippi State
Arkansas 90.4%Mississippi State 9.6%
92-79171.1Arkansas -13.1Alabama at Auburn • FINAL24-10 • 21-16Final Score: Alabama 96-92 Auburn
Alabama 51.5%Auburn 48.5%
87-87174.2Auburn -0.1Gonzaga at Oregon State • FINAL31-4 • 17-16Final Score: Gonzaga 81-61 Oregon State
Gonzaga 93.1%Oregon State 6.9%
83-66149.3Gonzaga -16.9Seton Hall at Creighton • FINAL21-12 • 15-18Final Score: Seton Hall 68-69 Creighton
Seton Hall 55.4%Creighton 44.6%
72-71143.4Seton Hall -1.0Wisconsin at Indiana • FINAL24-11 • 18-14Final Score: Wisconsin 77-78 Indiana
Wisconsin 54.8%Indiana 45.2%
79-79157.8Indiana -0.4Louisville at Wake Forest • FINAL24-11 • 18-17Final Score: Louisville 88-80 Wake Forest
Louisville 63.4%Wake Forest 36.6%
82-78159.9Louisville -3.9Baylor at Iowa State • FINAL16-17 • 28-8Final Score: Baylor 69-72 Iowa State
Iowa State 91.7%Baylor 8.3%
69-86155.0Iowa State -16.2Utah at Kansas • FINAL10-22 • 24-11Final Score: Utah 59-71 Kansas
Kansas 92.6%Utah 7.4%
67-84150.5Kansas -17.3Oklahoma State at Arizona • FINAL20-15 • 36-3Final Score: Oklahoma State 47-84 Arizona
Arizona 96.9%Oklahoma State 3.1%
71-94166.0Arizona -23.0Duke at North Carolina • FINAL35-3 • 24-9Final Score: Duke 68-71 North Carolina
Duke 79.1%North Carolina 20.9%
79-71149.8Duke -7.4Evansville at Valparaiso • FINAL7-25 • 18-15Final Score: Evansville 63-70 Valparaiso
Valparaiso 92.7%Evansville 7.3%
64-80143.8Valparaiso -16.4Murray State at Southern Illinois • FINAL20-13 • 16-16Final Score: Murray State 91-81 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 65.0%Murray State 35.0%
75-80155.6Southern Illinois -4.8Drake at Illinois State • FINAL14-20 • 23-13Final Score: Drake 76-86 Illinois State
Illinois State 80.0%Drake 20.0%
69-79147.7Illinois State -10.2Bradley at Northern Iowa • FINAL21-13 • 23-13Final Score: Bradley 49-61 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 77.6%Bradley 22.4%
66-75140.7Northern Iowa -8.6Dayton at VCU • FINAL25-12 • 28-8Final Score: Dayton 73-99 VCU
VCU 76.0%Dayton 24.0%
71-79149.6VCU -8.4Brown at Yale • FINAL9-18 • 23-7Final Score: Brown 69-81 Yale
Yale 96.6%Brown 3.4%
62-82144.2Yale -20.2Belmont at UIC • FINAL26-6 • 19-16Final Score: Belmont 68-62 UIC
Belmont 51.5%UIC 48.5%
77-77153.9Belmont -0.0Alcorn State at Arkansas-Pine Bluff • FINAL9-23 • 13-19Final Score: Alcorn State 77-84 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 82.9%Alcorn State 17.1%
72-83155.3Arkansas-Pine Bluff -11.5Texas Southern at Florida A&M • FINAL12-17 • 14-16Final Score: Texas Southern 62-57 Florida A&M
Florida A&M 58.7%Texas Southern 41.3%
72-75146.7Florida A&M -2.8Santa Clara at Washington State • FINAL26-9 • 12-20Final Score: Santa Clara 96-92 Washington State
Santa Clara 78.5%Washington State 21.5%
83-75157.8Santa Clara -8.0North Carolina Central at Norfolk State • FINAL14-18 • 15-17Final Score: North Carolina Central 68-75 Norfolk State
Norfolk State 80.0%North Carolina Central 20.0%
70-80150.4Norfolk State -9.9Alabama A&M at Southern • FINAL18-15 • 17-17Final Score: Alabama A&M 68-81 Southern
Southern 68.0%Alabama A&M 32.0%
74-80153.3Southern -5.9Omaha at North Dakota State • FINAL16-17 • 27-8Final Score: Omaha 84-92 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 89.3%Omaha 10.7%
70-84153.9North Dakota State -14.8Harvard at Dartmouth • FINAL17-12 • 11-16Final Score: Harvard 71-58 Dartmouth
Harvard 67.9%Dartmouth 32.1%
74-71145.3Harvard -3.3Ole Miss at Texas • FINAL15-20 • 21-15Final Score: Ole Miss 68-79 Texas
Texas 81.3%Ole Miss 18.7%
74-85158.8Texas -10.5Temple at East Carolina • FINAL16-16 • 11-20Final Score: Temple 81-73 East Carolina
Temple 55.6%East Carolina 44.4%
75-73148.2Temple -1.5Lafayette at Army • FINAL11-21 • 11-21Final Score: Lafayette 63-60 Army
Army 54.9%Lafayette 45.1%
73-75147.9Army -2.6Nebraska at Rutgers • FINAL28-7 • 13-20Final Score: Nebraska 80-68 Rutgers
Nebraska 86.3%Rutgers 13.7%
78-67145.2Nebraska -11.8Villanova at Georgetown • FINAL24-9 • 13-18Final Score: Villanova 80-73 Georgetown
Villanova 59.2%Georgetown 40.8%
71-69140.0Villanova -1.7Syracuse at Virginia • FINAL15-16 • 30-6Final Score: Syracuse 59-72 Virginia
Virginia 91.4%Syracuse 8.6%
68-83150.9Virginia -15.6Drexel at Elon • FINAL17-16 • 14-18Final Score: Drexel 82-77 Elon
Elon 59.8%Drexel 40.2%
72-75146.4Elon -3.2Chicago State at New Haven • FINAL7-25 • 14-17Final Score: Chicago State 63-57 New Haven
New Haven 70.4%Chicago State 29.6%
64-71135.2New Haven -7.8Loyola Maryland at Boston University • FINAL12-20 • 16-18Final Score: Loyola Maryland 69-78 Boston University
Boston University 82.7%Loyola Maryland 17.3%
72-82153.2Boston University -9.9Wagner at Central Connecticut • FINAL14-17 • 18-12Final Score: Wagner 67-84 Central Connecticut
Central Connecticut 66.3%Wagner 33.7%
70-75144.5Central Connecticut -5.4Saint Francis at Le Moyne • FINAL7-24 • 15-17Final Score: Saint Francis 84-86 Le Moyne
Le Moyne 84.3%Saint Francis 15.7%
69-82151.1Le Moyne -12.2Missouri at South Carolina • FINAL20-13 • 13-19Final Score: Missouri 78-59 South Carolina
Missouri 62.1%South Carolina 37.9%
79-77155.8Missouri -2.0Middle Tennessee at Delaware • FINAL17-15 • 10-21Final Score: Middle Tennessee 88-89 Delaware
Middle Tennessee 71.4%Delaware 28.6%
75-70145.6Middle Tennessee -5.0Virginia Tech at NC State • FINAL19-13 • 20-14Final Score: Virginia Tech 73-82 NC State
NC State 68.5%Virginia Tech 31.5%
77-83160.0NC State -6.2Richmond at Rhode Island • FINAL15-17 • 16-16Final Score: Richmond 77-82 Rhode Island
Rhode Island 64.5%Richmond 35.5%
70-75144.8Rhode Island -4.7George Washington at Duquesne • FINAL19-16 • 18-15Final Score: George Washington 86-88 Duquesne
George Washington 62.4%Duquesne 37.6%
80-78157.6George Washington -2.1St. Bonaventure at Fordham • FINAL17-17 • 17-15Final Score: St. Bonaventure 70-67 Fordham
Fordham 55.7%St. Bonaventure 44.3%
70-73143.2Fordham -3.5North Texas at UTSA • FINAL19-14 • 5-25Final Score: North Texas 81-58 UTSA
North Texas 87.1%UTSA 12.9%
78-67144.8North Texas -11.7Kansas State at TCU • FINAL12-20 • 23-12Final Score: Kansas State 82-84 TCU
TCU 87.1%Kansas State 12.9%
73-86158.7TCU -13.0Lehigh at Holy Cross • FINAL18-17 • 11-22Final Score: Lehigh 67-76 Holy Cross
Lehigh 56.7%Holy Cross 43.3%
73-72144.7Lehigh -0.7Longwood at Winthrop • FINAL16-16 • 23-11Final Score: Longwood 74-79 Winthrop
Winthrop 82.3%Longwood 17.7%
74-85158.8Winthrop -10.5Gardner-Webb at Presbyterian • FINAL4-29 • 15-18Final Score: Gardner-Webb 62-68 Presbyterian
Presbyterian 93.9%Gardner-Webb 6.1%
66-85150.8Presbyterian -19.5Charleston Southern at South Carolina Upstate • FINAL15-17 • 13-19Final Score: Charleston Southern 94-100 South Carolina Upstate
South Carolina Upstate 51.9%Charleston Southern 48.1%
79-80159.1South Carolina Upstate -1.3Butler at Marquette • FINAL16-16 • 12-20Final Score: Butler 55-70 Marquette
Marquette 61.4%Butler 38.6%
77-80156.9Marquette -3.3Miami at Boston College • FINAL26-9 • 11-20Final Score: Miami 74-68 Boston College
Miami 85.4%Boston College 14.6%
78-68146.2Miami -10.3Cornell at Columbia • FINAL15-13 • 16-12Final Score: Cornell 88-67 Columbia
Columbia 51.0%Cornell 49.0%
81-83164.4Columbia -2.3Denver at North Dakota • FINAL15-17 • 18-17Final Score: Denver 98-79 North Dakota
Denver 52.3%North Dakota 47.7%
81-83164.2North Dakota -1.3Cleveland State at IU Indianapolis • FINAL11-22 • 7-25Final Score: Cleveland State 74-82 IU Indianapolis
IU Indianapolis 67.3%Cleveland State 32.7%
85-91175.5IU Indianapolis -5.6Detroit Mercy at Green Bay • FINAL17-15 • 18-15Final Score: Detroit Mercy 63-76 Green Bay
Green Bay 68.7%Detroit Mercy 31.3%
75-80154.7Green Bay -5.3Siena at Saint Peter's • FINAL23-12 • 17-12Final Score: Siena 65-70 Saint Peter's
Siena 54.8%Saint Peter's 45.2%
68-68136.7Saint Peter's -0.1Niagara at Quinnipiac • FINAL8-22 • 19-13Final Score: Niagara 55-56 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 90.0%Niagara 10.0%
63-78141.2Quinnipiac -15.0Sacred Heart at Manhattan • FINAL14-19 • 12-20Final Score: Sacred Heart 68-80 Manhattan
Manhattan 56.3%Sacred Heart 43.7%
77-78154.9Manhattan -1.9Princeton at Pennsylvania • FINAL9-20 • 18-12Final Score: Princeton 60-61 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 82.6%Princeton 17.4%
68-78146.2Pennsylvania -10.4New Hampshire at Vermont • FINAL9-21 • 22-12Final Score: New Hampshire 57-80 Vermont
Vermont 93.3%New Hampshire 6.7%
63-80143.2Vermont -16.6Campbell at North Carolina A&T • FINAL15-18 • 11-19Final Score: Campbell 79-71 North Carolina A&T
Campbell 62.9%North Carolina A&T 37.1%
80-78158.0Campbell -1.7The Citadel at Chattanooga • FINAL11-22 • 13-19Final Score: The Citadel 78-71 Chattanooga
Chattanooga 84.0%The Citadel 16.0%
70-82151.9Chattanooga -11.5Jacksonville at West Georgia • FINAL12-20 • 15-17Final Score: Jacksonville 73-87 West Georgia
West Georgia 62.5%Jacksonville 37.5%
75-79153.7West Georgia -3.4Florida Gulf Coast at Bellarmine • FINAL16-18 • 13-19Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 65-81 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 52.4%Florida Gulf Coast 47.6%
81-81161.9Bellarmine -0.8Missouri State at Liberty • FINAL16-18 • 26-8Final Score: Missouri State 76-79 Liberty
Liberty 69.0%Missouri State 31.0%
72-78150.1Liberty -6.6William & Mary at Hampton • FINAL20-12 • 13-19Final Score: William & Mary 74-77 Hampton
William & Mary 66.2%Hampton 33.8%
78-75152.8William & Mary -2.9La Salle at Saint Louis • FINAL9-23 • 29-6Final Score: La Salle 58-82 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 96.6%La Salle 3.4%
64-88151.1Saint Louis -24.1North Florida at Queens University • FINAL7-25 • 21-14Final Score: North Florida 72-91 Queens University
Queens University 90.2%North Florida 9.8%
80-95174.4Queens University -14.9Florida International at Western Kentucky • FINAL15-17 • 18-14Final Score: Florida International 70-80 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 74.8%Florida International 25.2%
77-84160.8Western Kentucky -7.1Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech • FINAL22-12 • 20-14Final Score: Sam Houston 78-87 Louisiana Tech
Sam Houston 53.4%Louisiana Tech 46.6%
73-74147.0Louisiana Tech -0.3Mercyhurst at Fairleigh Dickinson • FINAL17-17 • 11-21Final Score: Mercyhurst 52-55 Fairleigh Dickinson
Mercyhurst 57.3%Fairleigh Dickinson 42.7%
68-67135.8Mercyhurst -1.1Oklahoma at Vanderbilt • FINAL21-16 • 27-9Final Score: Oklahoma 92-91 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 78.0%Oklahoma 22.0%
78-87165.1Vanderbilt -9.8SMU at Pittsburgh • FINAL20-14 • 13-20Final Score: SMU 86-67 Pittsburgh
SMU 69.6%Pittsburgh 30.4%
79-75154.4SMU -4.4Saint Joseph's at George Mason • FINAL24-12 • 23-10Final Score: Saint Joseph's 52-60 George Mason
George Mason 72.9%Saint Joseph's 27.1%
68-75142.4George Mason -7.1UC Riverside at Cal State Northridge • FINAL10-22 • 20-14Final Score: UC Riverside 74-88 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 81.6%UC Riverside 18.4%
74-85159.5Cal State Northridge -10.6Maryland Eastern Shore at Morgan State • FINAL9-23 • 14-16Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 71-79 Morgan State
Morgan State 73.7%Maryland Eastern Shore 26.3%
69-76144.8Morgan State -6.8DePaul at Providence • FINAL16-16 • 15-18Final Score: DePaul 72-90 Providence
Providence 76.0%DePaul 24.0%
75-82157.2Providence -7.1Florida State at Notre Dame • FINAL18-15 • 13-17Final Score: Florida State 82-79 Notre Dame
Florida State 62.1%Notre Dame 37.9%
80-78157.5Florida State -1.5American University at Navy • FINAL16-16 • 26-8Final Score: American University 73-82 Navy
Navy 81.3%American University 18.7%
66-76142.6Navy -10.2Stonehill at Long Island University • FINAL12-21 • 24-11Final Score: Stonehill 54-61 Long Island University
Long Island University 86.8%Stonehill 13.2%
64-76139.8Long Island University -11.7Maine at Bryant • FINAL8-24 • 9-22Final Score: Maine 67-73 Bryant
Bryant 58.5%Maine 41.5%
65-68132.3Bryant -3.1Binghamton at NJIT • FINAL8-22 • 16-17Final Score: Binghamton 64-73 NJIT
NJIT 76.7%Binghamton 23.3%
65-73138.4NJIT -8.0Towson at Hofstra • FINAL19-15 • 24-11Final Score: Towson 49-71 Hofstra
Hofstra 75.0%Towson 25.0%
65-73138.1Hofstra -8.1Northeastern at Stony Brook • FINAL8-23 • 17-15Final Score: Northeastern 55-69 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 75.8%Northeastern 24.2%
71-80151.0Stony Brook -9.0Western Carolina at Wofford • FINAL15-16 • 19-13Final Score: Western Carolina 66-77 Wofford
Western Carolina 50.1%Wofford 49.9%
79-80159.2Wofford -1.5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Nicholls • FINAL18-15 • 14-19Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 83-76 Nicholls
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 51.5%Nicholls 48.5%
72-72144.1Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -0.4SIU Edwardsville at Little Rock • FINAL19-13 • 12-20Final Score: SIU Edwardsville 71-61 Little Rock
SIU Edwardsville 50.4%Little Rock 49.6%
70-69139.7SIU Edwardsville -0.7Eastern Illinois at Tennessee Tech • FINAL13-20 • 13-18Final Score: Eastern Illinois 60-54 Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech 72.4%Eastern Illinois 27.6%
68-75142.8Tennessee Tech -6.5UT Arlington at Utah Valley • FINAL18-14 • 25-9Final Score: UT Arlington 60-81 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 82.7%UT Arlington 17.3%
66-77142.8Utah Valley -11.2Grand Canyon at UNLV • FINAL20-12 • 18-16Final Score: Grand Canyon 78-80 UNLV
Grand Canyon 56.7%UNLV 43.3%
77-76153.1Grand Canyon -1.5Delaware State at Coppin State • FINAL8-22 • 7-24Final Score: Delaware State 47-65 Coppin State
Coppin State 58.5%Delaware State 41.5%
67-68135.5Coppin State -1.2Robert Morris at Youngstown State • FINAL22-11 • 14-17Final Score: Robert Morris 72-66 Youngstown State
Robert Morris 63.7%Youngstown State 36.3%
75-74149.1Robert Morris -1.8Houston Christian at SE Louisiana • FINAL12-20 • 9-21Final Score: Houston Christian 47-55 SE Louisiana
SE Louisiana 60.3%Houston Christian 39.7%
65-69133.3SE Louisiana -4.0Western Illinois at Tennessee State • FINAL5-26 • 23-10Final Score: Western Illinois 56-83 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 97.8%Western Illinois 2.2%
63-87149.8Tennessee State -24.6Morehead State at UT Martin • FINAL20-13 • 22-11Final Score: Morehead State 61-55 UT Martin
UT Martin 68.7%Morehead State 31.3%
67-74141.3UT Martin -7.6Southern Indiana at Southeast Missouri State • FINAL7-22 • 20-13Final Score: Southern Indiana 65-90 Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State 89.1%Southern Indiana 10.9%
64-77141.1Southeast Missouri State -13.8Colgate at Bucknell • FINAL18-15 • 10-23Final Score: Colgate 78-59 Bucknell
Colgate 72.1%Bucknell 27.9%
77-72148.7Colgate -5.2Alabama State at Grambling • FINAL10-22 • 14-19Final Score: Alabama State 47-57 Grambling
Grambling 70.8%Alabama State 29.2%
69-77146.3Grambling -7.4Milwaukee at Northern Kentucky • FINAL12-20 • 20-14Final Score: Milwaukee 62-67 Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky 81.6%Milwaukee 18.4%
75-87162.2Northern Kentucky -11.2Cal Poly at UC Davis • FINAL14-19 • 19-14Final Score: Cal Poly 58-67 UC Davis
UC Davis 67.3%Cal Poly 32.7%
79-85164.3UC Davis -6.6Incarnate Word at McNeese • FINAL12-19 • 27-6Final Score: Incarnate Word 64-81 McNeese
McNeese 95.1%Incarnate Word 4.9%
63-83146.0McNeese -19.3Stetson at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL12-21 • 11-21Final Score: Stetson 88-100 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 74.6%Stetson 25.4%
77-85161.6Eastern Kentucky -8.2North Alabama at Austin Peay • FINAL9-21 • 22-9Final Score: North Alabama 62-91 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 93.9%North Alabama 6.1%
67-86153.2Austin Peay -19.0Central Arkansas at Lipscomb • FINAL22-12 • 18-13Final Score: Central Arkansas 86-78 Lipscomb
Central Arkansas 54.3%Lipscomb 45.7%
78-78155.8Central Arkansas -0.1Prairie View A&M at Bethune-Cookman • FINAL19-18 • 17-15Final Score: Prairie View A&M 76-82 Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 69.0%Prairie View A&M 31.0%
76-81156.4Bethune-Cookman -4.9Jackson State at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL12-21 • 3-30Final Score: Jackson State 97-81 Mississippi Valley State
Jackson State 71.9%Mississippi Valley State 28.1%
79-74152.8Jackson State -4.5South Dakota at South Dakota State • FINAL16-16 • 14-18Final Score: South Dakota 68-67 South Dakota State
South Dakota State 76.0%South Dakota 24.0%
74-83157.1South Dakota State -8.5Mercer at Samford • FINAL19-13 • 18-14Final Score: Mercer 49-69 Samford
Samford 62.5%Mercer 37.5%
78-81159.7Samford -2.8Lamar at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL12-19 • 28-6Final Score: Lamar 74-84 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 90.8%Lamar 9.2%
63-78140.9Stephen F. Austin -15.0UT Rio Grande Valley at New Orleans • FINAL19-14 • 16-18Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 95-76 New Orleans
UT Rio Grande Valley 61.3%New Orleans 38.7%
77-74151.2UT Rio Grande Valley -2.7Northwestern State at East Texas A&M • FINAL10-21 • 11-21Final Score: Northwestern State 48-52 East Texas A&M
East Texas A&M 54.6%Northwestern State 45.4%
69-71139.7East Texas A&M -2.3Northern Colorado at Idaho State • FINAL20-12 • 13-20Final Score: Northern Colorado 69-61 Idaho State
Northern Colorado 58.9%Idaho State 41.1%
80-78158.0Northern Colorado -1.8Idaho at Montana • FINAL21-15 • 18-16Final Score: Idaho 68-73 Montana
Idaho 58.9%Montana 41.1%
77-76153.5Idaho -0.7Georgia at LSU • FINAL22-11 • 15-17Final Score: Georgia 83-71 LSU
Georgia 64.4%LSU 35.6%
87-83170.2Georgia -3.4South Carolina State at Howard • FINAL10-22 • 24-11Final Score: South Carolina State 57-85 Howard
Howard 96.9%South Carolina State 3.1%
62-86147.6Howard -23.6East Tennessee State at VMI • FINAL23-11 • 5-26Final Score: East Tennessee State 87-70 VMI
East Tennessee State 93.4%VMI 6.6%
82-66148.4East Tennessee State -15.6Akron at Troy • FINAL29-6 • 22-12Final Score: Akron 69-79 Troy
Akron 68.9%Troy 31.1%
83-78160.8Akron -4.2Western Michigan at Texas State • FINAL10-21 • 19-13Final Score: Western Michigan 61-77 Texas State
Texas State 77.6%Western Michigan 22.4%
71-80151.3Texas State -9.3Kent State at Southern Miss • FINAL24-10 • 19-16Final Score: Kent State 65-66 Southern Miss
Kent State 50.6%Southern Miss 49.4%
80-80159.6Southern Miss -0.4Buffalo at South Alabama • FINAL17-15 • 21-12Final Score: Buffalo 69-81 South Alabama
South Alabama 66.8%Buffalo 33.2%
73-78151.1South Alabama -5.5Miami (OH) at Marshall • FINAL32-2 • 19-13Final Score: Miami (OH) 90-74 Marshall
Miami (OH) 61.3%Marshall 38.7%
85-82167.1Miami (OH) -3.1Ball State at UL Monroe • FINAL12-19 • 4-28Final Score: Ball State 73-68 UL Monroe
Ball State 65.7%UL Monroe 34.3%
76-72147.8Ball State -4.3Central Michigan at Louisiana • FINAL10-21 • 11-22Final Score: Central Michigan 80-85 Louisiana
Central Michigan 52.3%Louisiana 47.7%
71-72142.3Louisiana -0.8Toledo at James Madison • FINAL19-15 • 18-15Final Score: Toledo 71-73 James Madison
Toledo 55.4%James Madison 44.6%
78-78155.6Toledo -0.5Northern Illinois at Georgia State • FINAL9-21 • 10-22Final Score: Northern Illinois 75-74 Georgia State
Georgia State 83.1%Northern Illinois 16.9%
68-79147.3Georgia State -10.4Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina • FINAL17-16 • 19-13Final Score: Massachusetts 91-94 Coastal Carolina
Massachusetts 50.4%Coastal Carolina 49.6%
77-78154.4Coastal Carolina -1.0Bowling Green at Arkansas State • FINAL18-14 • 20-12Final Score: Bowling Green 54-91 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 69.9%Bowling Green 30.1%
78-82160.0Arkansas State -4.7Eastern Michigan at App State • FINAL10-21 • 19-13Final Score: Eastern Michigan 60-65 App State
App State 84.7%Eastern Michigan 15.3%
65-76141.0App State -11.7THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.