THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
UConn at St. John's • FINAL34-5 • 30-6Final Score: UConn 72-81 St. John's
St. John's 62.7%UConn 37.3%
71-76147.3St. John's -4.4
Oregon at Purdue • FINAL12-19 • 30-9Final Score: Oregon 64-68 Purdue
Purdue 96.1%Oregon 3.9%
65-85150.2Purdue -20.6
Arkansas at Mississippi State • FINAL28-9 • 13-19Final Score: Arkansas 88-68 Mississippi State
Arkansas 90.4%Mississippi State 9.6%
92-79171.1Arkansas -13.1
Alabama at Auburn • FINAL24-10 • 21-16Final Score: Alabama 96-92 Auburn
Alabama 51.5%Auburn 48.5%
87-87174.2Auburn -0.1
Gonzaga at Oregon State • FINAL31-4 • 17-16Final Score: Gonzaga 81-61 Oregon State
Gonzaga 93.1%Oregon State 6.9%
83-66149.3Gonzaga -16.9
Seton Hall at Creighton • FINAL21-12 • 15-18Final Score: Seton Hall 68-69 Creighton
Seton Hall 55.4%Creighton 44.6%
72-71143.4Seton Hall -1.0
Wisconsin at Indiana • FINAL24-11 • 18-14Final Score: Wisconsin 77-78 Indiana
Wisconsin 54.8%Indiana 45.2%
79-79157.8Indiana -0.4
Louisville at Wake Forest • FINAL24-11 • 18-17Final Score: Louisville 88-80 Wake Forest
Louisville 63.4%Wake Forest 36.6%
82-78159.9Louisville -3.9
Baylor at Iowa State • FINAL16-17 • 28-8Final Score: Baylor 69-72 Iowa State
Iowa State 91.7%Baylor 8.3%
69-86155.0Iowa State -16.2
Utah at Kansas • FINAL10-22 • 24-11Final Score: Utah 59-71 Kansas
Kansas 92.6%Utah 7.4%
67-84150.5Kansas -17.3
Oklahoma State at Arizona • FINAL20-15 • 36-3Final Score: Oklahoma State 47-84 Arizona
Arizona 96.9%Oklahoma State 3.1%
71-94166.0Arizona -23.0
Duke at North Carolina • FINAL35-3 • 24-9Final Score: Duke 68-71 North Carolina
Duke 79.1%North Carolina 20.9%
79-71149.8Duke -7.4
Evansville at Valparaiso • FINAL7-25 • 18-15Final Score: Evansville 63-70 Valparaiso
Valparaiso 92.7%Evansville 7.3%
64-80143.8Valparaiso -16.4
Murray State at Southern Illinois • FINAL20-13 • 16-16Final Score: Murray State 91-81 Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 65.0%Murray State 35.0%
75-80155.6Southern Illinois -4.8
Drake at Illinois State • FINAL14-20 • 23-13Final Score: Drake 76-86 Illinois State
Illinois State 80.0%Drake 20.0%
69-79147.7Illinois State -10.2
Bradley at Northern Iowa • FINAL21-13 • 23-13Final Score: Bradley 49-61 Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 77.6%Bradley 22.4%
66-75140.7Northern Iowa -8.6
Dayton at VCU • FINAL25-12 • 28-8Final Score: Dayton 73-99 VCU
VCU 76.0%Dayton 24.0%
71-79149.6VCU -8.4
Brown at Yale • FINAL9-18 • 23-7Final Score: Brown 69-81 Yale
Yale 96.6%Brown 3.4%
62-82144.2Yale -20.2
Belmont at UIC • FINAL26-6 • 19-16Final Score: Belmont 68-62 UIC
Belmont 51.5%UIC 48.5%
77-77153.9Belmont -0.0
Alcorn State at Arkansas-Pine Bluff • FINAL9-23 • 13-19Final Score: Alcorn State 77-84 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 82.9%Alcorn State 17.1%
72-83155.3Arkansas-Pine Bluff -11.5
Texas Southern at Florida A&M • FINAL12-17 • 14-16Final Score: Texas Southern 62-57 Florida A&M
Florida A&M 58.7%Texas Southern 41.3%
72-75146.7Florida A&M -2.8
Santa Clara at Washington State • FINAL26-9 • 12-20Final Score: Santa Clara 96-92 Washington State
Santa Clara 78.5%Washington State 21.5%
83-75157.8Santa Clara -8.0
North Carolina Central at Norfolk State • FINAL14-18 • 15-17Final Score: North Carolina Central 68-75 Norfolk State
Norfolk State 80.0%North Carolina Central 20.0%
70-80150.4Norfolk State -9.9
Alabama A&M at Southern • FINAL18-15 • 17-17Final Score: Alabama A&M 68-81 Southern
Southern 68.0%Alabama A&M 32.0%
74-80153.3Southern -5.9
Omaha at North Dakota State • FINAL16-17 • 27-8Final Score: Omaha 84-92 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 89.3%Omaha 10.7%
70-84153.9North Dakota State -14.8
Harvard at Dartmouth • FINAL17-12 • 11-16Final Score: Harvard 71-58 Dartmouth
Harvard 67.9%Dartmouth 32.1%
74-71145.3Harvard -3.3
Ole Miss at Texas • FINAL15-20 • 21-15Final Score: Ole Miss 68-79 Texas
Texas 81.3%Ole Miss 18.7%
74-85158.8Texas -10.5
Temple at East Carolina • FINAL16-16 • 11-20Final Score: Temple 81-73 East Carolina
Temple 55.6%East Carolina 44.4%
75-73148.2Temple -1.5
Lafayette at Army • FINAL11-21 • 11-21Final Score: Lafayette 63-60 Army
Army 54.9%Lafayette 45.1%
73-75147.9Army -2.6
Nebraska at Rutgers • FINAL28-7 • 13-20Final Score: Nebraska 80-68 Rutgers
Nebraska 86.3%Rutgers 13.7%
78-67145.2Nebraska -11.8
Villanova at Georgetown • FINAL24-9 • 13-18Final Score: Villanova 80-73 Georgetown
Villanova 59.2%Georgetown 40.8%
71-69140.0Villanova -1.7
Syracuse at Virginia • FINAL15-16 • 30-6Final Score: Syracuse 59-72 Virginia
Virginia 91.4%Syracuse 8.6%
68-83150.9Virginia -15.6
Drexel at Elon • FINAL17-16 • 14-18Final Score: Drexel 82-77 Elon
Elon 59.8%Drexel 40.2%
72-75146.4Elon -3.2
Chicago State at New Haven • FINAL7-25 • 14-17Final Score: Chicago State 63-57 New Haven
New Haven 70.4%Chicago State 29.6%
64-71135.2New Haven -7.8
Loyola Maryland at Boston University • FINAL12-20 • 16-18Final Score: Loyola Maryland 69-78 Boston University
Boston University 82.7%Loyola Maryland 17.3%
72-82153.2Boston University -9.9
Wagner at Central Connecticut • FINAL14-17 • 18-12Final Score: Wagner 67-84 Central Connecticut
Central Connecticut 66.3%Wagner 33.7%
70-75144.5Central Connecticut -5.4
Saint Francis at Le Moyne • FINAL7-24 • 15-17Final Score: Saint Francis 84-86 Le Moyne
Le Moyne 84.3%Saint Francis 15.7%
69-82151.1Le Moyne -12.2
Missouri at South Carolina • FINAL20-13 • 13-19Final Score: Missouri 78-59 South Carolina
Missouri 62.1%South Carolina 37.9%
79-77155.8Missouri -2.0
Middle Tennessee at Delaware • FINAL17-15 • 10-21Final Score: Middle Tennessee 88-89 Delaware
Middle Tennessee 71.4%Delaware 28.6%
75-70145.6Middle Tennessee -5.0
Virginia Tech at NC State • FINAL19-13 • 20-14Final Score: Virginia Tech 73-82 NC State
NC State 68.5%Virginia Tech 31.5%
77-83160.0NC State -6.2
Richmond at Rhode Island • FINAL15-17 • 16-16Final Score: Richmond 77-82 Rhode Island
Rhode Island 64.5%Richmond 35.5%
70-75144.8Rhode Island -4.7
George Washington at Duquesne • FINAL19-16 • 18-15Final Score: George Washington 86-88 Duquesne
George Washington 62.4%Duquesne 37.6%
80-78157.6George Washington -2.1
St. Bonaventure at Fordham • FINAL17-17 • 17-15Final Score: St. Bonaventure 70-67 Fordham
Fordham 55.7%St. Bonaventure 44.3%
70-73143.2Fordham -3.5
North Texas at UTSA • FINAL19-14 • 5-25Final Score: North Texas 81-58 UTSA
North Texas 87.1%UTSA 12.9%
78-67144.8North Texas -11.7
Kansas State at TCU • FINAL12-20 • 23-12Final Score: Kansas State 82-84 TCU
TCU 87.1%Kansas State 12.9%
73-86158.7TCU -13.0
Lehigh at Holy Cross • FINAL18-17 • 11-22Final Score: Lehigh 67-76 Holy Cross
Lehigh 56.7%Holy Cross 43.3%
73-72144.7Lehigh -0.7
Longwood at Winthrop • FINAL16-16 • 23-11Final Score: Longwood 74-79 Winthrop
Winthrop 82.3%Longwood 17.7%
74-85158.8Winthrop -10.5
Gardner-Webb at Presbyterian • FINAL4-29 • 15-18Final Score: Gardner-Webb 62-68 Presbyterian
Presbyterian 93.9%Gardner-Webb 6.1%
66-85150.8Presbyterian -19.5
Charleston Southern at South Carolina Upstate • FINAL15-17 • 13-19Final Score: Charleston Southern 94-100 South Carolina Upstate
South Carolina Upstate 51.9%Charleston Southern 48.1%
79-80159.1South Carolina Upstate -1.3
Butler at Marquette • FINAL16-16 • 12-20Final Score: Butler 55-70 Marquette
Marquette 61.4%Butler 38.6%
77-80156.9Marquette -3.3
Miami at Boston College • FINAL26-9 • 11-20Final Score: Miami 74-68 Boston College
Miami 85.4%Boston College 14.6%
78-68146.2Miami -10.3
Cornell at Columbia • FINAL15-13 • 16-12Final Score: Cornell 88-67 Columbia
Columbia 51.0%Cornell 49.0%
81-83164.4Columbia -2.3
Denver at North Dakota • FINAL15-17 • 18-17Final Score: Denver 98-79 North Dakota
Denver 52.3%North Dakota 47.7%
81-83164.2North Dakota -1.3
Cleveland State at IU Indianapolis • FINAL11-22 • 7-25Final Score: Cleveland State 74-82 IU Indianapolis
IU Indianapolis 67.3%Cleveland State 32.7%
85-91175.5IU Indianapolis -5.6
Detroit Mercy at Green Bay • FINAL17-15 • 18-15Final Score: Detroit Mercy 63-76 Green Bay
Green Bay 68.7%Detroit Mercy 31.3%
75-80154.7Green Bay -5.3
Siena at Saint Peter's • FINAL23-12 • 17-12Final Score: Siena 65-70 Saint Peter's
Siena 54.8%Saint Peter's 45.2%
68-68136.7Saint Peter's -0.1
Niagara at Quinnipiac • FINAL8-22 • 19-13Final Score: Niagara 55-56 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 90.0%Niagara 10.0%
63-78141.2Quinnipiac -15.0
Sacred Heart at Manhattan • FINAL14-19 • 12-20Final Score: Sacred Heart 68-80 Manhattan
Manhattan 56.3%Sacred Heart 43.7%
77-78154.9Manhattan -1.9
Princeton at Pennsylvania • FINAL9-20 • 18-12Final Score: Princeton 60-61 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 82.6%Princeton 17.4%
68-78146.2Pennsylvania -10.4
New Hampshire at Vermont • FINAL9-21 • 22-12Final Score: New Hampshire 57-80 Vermont
Vermont 93.3%New Hampshire 6.7%
63-80143.2Vermont -16.6
Campbell at North Carolina A&T • FINAL15-18 • 11-19Final Score: Campbell 79-71 North Carolina A&T
Campbell 62.9%North Carolina A&T 37.1%
80-78158.0Campbell -1.7
The Citadel at Chattanooga • FINAL11-22 • 13-19Final Score: The Citadel 78-71 Chattanooga
Chattanooga 84.0%The Citadel 16.0%
70-82151.9Chattanooga -11.5
Jacksonville at West Georgia • FINAL12-20 • 15-17Final Score: Jacksonville 73-87 West Georgia
West Georgia 62.5%Jacksonville 37.5%
75-79153.7West Georgia -3.4
Florida Gulf Coast at Bellarmine • FINAL16-18 • 13-19Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 65-81 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 52.4%Florida Gulf Coast 47.6%
81-81161.9Bellarmine -0.8
Missouri State at Liberty • FINAL16-18 • 26-8Final Score: Missouri State 76-79 Liberty
Liberty 69.0%Missouri State 31.0%
72-78150.1Liberty -6.6
William & Mary at Hampton • FINAL20-12 • 13-19Final Score: William & Mary 74-77 Hampton
William & Mary 66.2%Hampton 33.8%
78-75152.8William & Mary -2.9
La Salle at Saint Louis • FINAL9-23 • 29-6Final Score: La Salle 58-82 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 96.6%La Salle 3.4%
64-88151.1Saint Louis -24.1
North Florida at Queens University • FINAL7-25 • 21-14Final Score: North Florida 72-91 Queens University
Queens University 90.2%North Florida 9.8%
80-95174.4Queens University -14.9
Florida International at Western Kentucky • FINAL15-17 • 18-14Final Score: Florida International 70-80 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 74.8%Florida International 25.2%
77-84160.8Western Kentucky -7.1
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech • FINAL22-12 • 20-14Final Score: Sam Houston 78-87 Louisiana Tech
Sam Houston 53.4%Louisiana Tech 46.6%
73-74147.0Louisiana Tech -0.3
Mercyhurst at Fairleigh Dickinson • FINAL17-17 • 11-21Final Score: Mercyhurst 52-55 Fairleigh Dickinson
Mercyhurst 57.3%Fairleigh Dickinson 42.7%
68-67135.8Mercyhurst -1.1
Oklahoma at Vanderbilt • FINAL21-16 • 27-9Final Score: Oklahoma 92-91 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 78.0%Oklahoma 22.0%
78-87165.1Vanderbilt -9.8
SMU at Pittsburgh • FINAL20-14 • 13-20Final Score: SMU 86-67 Pittsburgh
SMU 69.6%Pittsburgh 30.4%
79-75154.4SMU -4.4
Saint Joseph's at George Mason • FINAL24-12 • 23-10Final Score: Saint Joseph's 52-60 George Mason
George Mason 72.9%Saint Joseph's 27.1%
68-75142.4George Mason -7.1
UC Riverside at Cal State Northridge • FINAL10-22 • 20-14Final Score: UC Riverside 74-88 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 81.6%UC Riverside 18.4%
74-85159.5Cal State Northridge -10.6
Maryland Eastern Shore at Morgan State • FINAL9-23 • 14-16Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 71-79 Morgan State
Morgan State 73.7%Maryland Eastern Shore 26.3%
69-76144.8Morgan State -6.8
DePaul at Providence • FINAL16-16 • 15-18Final Score: DePaul 72-90 Providence
Providence 76.0%DePaul 24.0%
75-82157.2Providence -7.1
Florida State at Notre Dame • FINAL18-15 • 13-17Final Score: Florida State 82-79 Notre Dame
Florida State 62.1%Notre Dame 37.9%
80-78157.5Florida State -1.5
American University at Navy • FINAL16-16 • 26-8Final Score: American University 73-82 Navy
Navy 81.3%American University 18.7%
66-76142.6Navy -10.2
Stonehill at Long Island University • FINAL12-21 • 24-11Final Score: Stonehill 54-61 Long Island University
Long Island University 86.8%Stonehill 13.2%
64-76139.8Long Island University -11.7
Maine at Bryant • FINAL8-24 • 9-22Final Score: Maine 67-73 Bryant
Bryant 58.5%Maine 41.5%
65-68132.3Bryant -3.1
Binghamton at NJIT • FINAL8-22 • 16-17Final Score: Binghamton 64-73 NJIT
NJIT 76.7%Binghamton 23.3%
65-73138.4NJIT -8.0
Towson at Hofstra • FINAL19-15 • 24-11Final Score: Towson 49-71 Hofstra
Hofstra 75.0%Towson 25.0%
65-73138.1Hofstra -8.1
Northeastern at Stony Brook • FINAL8-23 • 17-15Final Score: Northeastern 55-69 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 75.8%Northeastern 24.2%
71-80151.0Stony Brook -9.0
Western Carolina at Wofford • FINAL15-16 • 19-13Final Score: Western Carolina 66-77 Wofford
Western Carolina 50.1%Wofford 49.9%
79-80159.2Wofford -1.5
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Nicholls • FINAL18-15 • 14-19Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 83-76 Nicholls
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 51.5%Nicholls 48.5%
72-72144.1Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -0.4
SIU Edwardsville at Little Rock • FINAL19-13 • 12-20Final Score: SIU Edwardsville 71-61 Little Rock
SIU Edwardsville 50.4%Little Rock 49.6%
70-69139.7SIU Edwardsville -0.7
Eastern Illinois at Tennessee Tech • FINAL13-20 • 13-18Final Score: Eastern Illinois 60-54 Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech 72.4%Eastern Illinois 27.6%
68-75142.8Tennessee Tech -6.5
UT Arlington at Utah Valley • FINAL18-14 • 25-9Final Score: UT Arlington 60-81 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 82.7%UT Arlington 17.3%
66-77142.8Utah Valley -11.2
Grand Canyon at UNLV • FINAL20-12 • 18-16Final Score: Grand Canyon 78-80 UNLV
Grand Canyon 56.7%UNLV 43.3%
77-76153.1Grand Canyon -1.5
Delaware State at Coppin State • FINAL8-22 • 7-24Final Score: Delaware State 47-65 Coppin State
Coppin State 58.5%Delaware State 41.5%
67-68135.5Coppin State -1.2
Robert Morris at Youngstown State • FINAL22-11 • 14-17Final Score: Robert Morris 72-66 Youngstown State
Robert Morris 63.7%Youngstown State 36.3%
75-74149.1Robert Morris -1.8
Houston Christian at SE Louisiana • FINAL12-20 • 9-21Final Score: Houston Christian 47-55 SE Louisiana
SE Louisiana 60.3%Houston Christian 39.7%
65-69133.3SE Louisiana -4.0
Western Illinois at Tennessee State • FINAL5-26 • 23-10Final Score: Western Illinois 56-83 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 97.8%Western Illinois 2.2%
63-87149.8Tennessee State -24.6
Morehead State at UT Martin • FINAL20-13 • 22-11Final Score: Morehead State 61-55 UT Martin
UT Martin 68.7%Morehead State 31.3%
67-74141.3UT Martin -7.6
Southern Indiana at Southeast Missouri State • FINAL7-22 • 20-13Final Score: Southern Indiana 65-90 Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State 89.1%Southern Indiana 10.9%
64-77141.1Southeast Missouri State -13.8
Colgate at Bucknell • FINAL18-15 • 10-23Final Score: Colgate 78-59 Bucknell
Colgate 72.1%Bucknell 27.9%
77-72148.7Colgate -5.2
Alabama State at Grambling • FINAL10-22 • 14-19Final Score: Alabama State 47-57 Grambling
Grambling 70.8%Alabama State 29.2%
69-77146.3Grambling -7.4
Milwaukee at Northern Kentucky • FINAL12-20 • 20-14Final Score: Milwaukee 62-67 Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky 81.6%Milwaukee 18.4%
75-87162.2Northern Kentucky -11.2
Cal Poly at UC Davis • FINAL14-19 • 19-14Final Score: Cal Poly 58-67 UC Davis
UC Davis 67.3%Cal Poly 32.7%
79-85164.3UC Davis -6.6
Incarnate Word at McNeese • FINAL12-19 • 27-6Final Score: Incarnate Word 64-81 McNeese
McNeese 95.1%Incarnate Word 4.9%
63-83146.0McNeese -19.3
Stetson at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL12-21 • 11-21Final Score: Stetson 88-100 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 74.6%Stetson 25.4%
77-85161.6Eastern Kentucky -8.2
North Alabama at Austin Peay • FINAL9-21 • 22-9Final Score: North Alabama 62-91 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 93.9%North Alabama 6.1%
67-86153.2Austin Peay -19.0
Central Arkansas at Lipscomb • FINAL22-12 • 18-13Final Score: Central Arkansas 86-78 Lipscomb
Central Arkansas 54.3%Lipscomb 45.7%
78-78155.8Central Arkansas -0.1
Prairie View A&M at Bethune-Cookman • FINAL19-18 • 17-15Final Score: Prairie View A&M 76-82 Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 69.0%Prairie View A&M 31.0%
76-81156.4Bethune-Cookman -4.9
Jackson State at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL12-21 • 3-30Final Score: Jackson State 97-81 Mississippi Valley State
Jackson State 71.9%Mississippi Valley State 28.1%
79-74152.8Jackson State -4.5
South Dakota at South Dakota State • FINAL16-16 • 14-18Final Score: South Dakota 68-67 South Dakota State
South Dakota State 76.0%South Dakota 24.0%
74-83157.1South Dakota State -8.5
Mercer at Samford • FINAL19-13 • 18-14Final Score: Mercer 49-69 Samford
Samford 62.5%Mercer 37.5%
78-81159.7Samford -2.8
Lamar at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL12-19 • 28-6Final Score: Lamar 74-84 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 90.8%Lamar 9.2%
63-78140.9Stephen F. Austin -15.0
UT Rio Grande Valley at New Orleans • FINAL19-14 • 16-18Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 95-76 New Orleans
UT Rio Grande Valley 61.3%New Orleans 38.7%
77-74151.2UT Rio Grande Valley -2.7
Northwestern State at East Texas A&M • FINAL10-21 • 11-21Final Score: Northwestern State 48-52 East Texas A&M
East Texas A&M 54.6%Northwestern State 45.4%
69-71139.7East Texas A&M -2.3
Northern Colorado at Idaho State • FINAL20-12 • 13-20Final Score: Northern Colorado 69-61 Idaho State
Northern Colorado 58.9%Idaho State 41.1%
80-78158.0Northern Colorado -1.8
Idaho at Montana • FINAL21-15 • 18-16Final Score: Idaho 68-73 Montana
Idaho 58.9%Montana 41.1%
77-76153.5Idaho -0.7
Georgia at LSU • FINAL22-11 • 15-17Final Score: Georgia 83-71 LSU
Georgia 64.4%LSU 35.6%
87-83170.2Georgia -3.4
South Carolina State at Howard • FINAL10-22 • 24-11Final Score: South Carolina State 57-85 Howard
Howard 96.9%South Carolina State 3.1%
62-86147.6Howard -23.6
East Tennessee State at VMI • FINAL23-11 • 5-26Final Score: East Tennessee State 87-70 VMI
East Tennessee State 93.4%VMI 6.6%
82-66148.4East Tennessee State -15.6
Akron at Troy • FINAL29-6 • 22-12Final Score: Akron 69-79 Troy
Akron 68.9%Troy 31.1%
83-78160.8Akron -4.2
Western Michigan at Texas State • FINAL10-21 • 19-13Final Score: Western Michigan 61-77 Texas State
Texas State 77.6%Western Michigan 22.4%
71-80151.3Texas State -9.3
Kent State at Southern Miss • FINAL24-10 • 19-16Final Score: Kent State 65-66 Southern Miss
Kent State 50.6%Southern Miss 49.4%
80-80159.6Southern Miss -0.4
Buffalo at South Alabama • FINAL17-15 • 21-12Final Score: Buffalo 69-81 South Alabama
South Alabama 66.8%Buffalo 33.2%
73-78151.1South Alabama -5.5
Miami (OH) at Marshall • FINAL32-2 • 19-13Final Score: Miami (OH) 90-74 Marshall
Miami (OH) 61.3%Marshall 38.7%
85-82167.1Miami (OH) -3.1
Ball State at UL Monroe • FINAL12-19 • 4-28Final Score: Ball State 73-68 UL Monroe
Ball State 65.7%UL Monroe 34.3%
76-72147.8Ball State -4.3
Central Michigan at Louisiana • FINAL10-21 • 11-22Final Score: Central Michigan 80-85 Louisiana
Central Michigan 52.3%Louisiana 47.7%
71-72142.3Louisiana -0.8
Toledo at James Madison • FINAL19-15 • 18-15Final Score: Toledo 71-73 James Madison
Toledo 55.4%James Madison 44.6%
78-78155.6Toledo -0.5
Northern Illinois at Georgia State • FINAL9-21 • 10-22Final Score: Northern Illinois 75-74 Georgia State
Georgia State 83.1%Northern Illinois 16.9%
68-79147.3Georgia State -10.4
Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina • FINAL17-16 • 19-13Final Score: Massachusetts 91-94 Coastal Carolina
Massachusetts 50.4%Coastal Carolina 49.6%
77-78154.4Coastal Carolina -1.0
Bowling Green at Arkansas State • FINAL18-14 • 20-12Final Score: Bowling Green 54-91 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 69.9%Bowling Green 30.1%
78-82160.0Arkansas State -4.7
Eastern Michigan at App State • FINAL10-21 • 19-13Final Score: Eastern Michigan 60-65 App State
App State 84.7%Eastern Michigan 15.3%
65-76141.0App State -11.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.