Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 9, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Rutgers at Illinois • FINAL13-20 • 28-9Final Score: Rutgers 55-81 Illinois
Illinois 98.1%Rutgers 1.9%
62-88150.6Illinois -26.0
Santa Clara at Gonzaga • FINAL26-9 • 31-4Final Score: Santa Clara 77-89 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 85.7%Santa Clara 14.3%
72-84155.9Gonzaga -12.5
Miami (OH) at Toledo • FINAL32-2 • 19-15Final Score: Miami (OH) 87-73 Toledo
Toledo 57.4%Miami (OH) 42.6%
83-83166.1Toledo -0.8
Pepperdine at San Diego • FINAL9-23 • 12-21Final Score: Pepperdine 63-83 San Diego
San Diego 66.5%Pepperdine 33.5%
74-80154.6San Diego -6.0
Stonehill at Central Connecticut • FINAL12-21 • 18-12Final Score: Stonehill 69-76 Central Connecticut
Central Connecticut 77.4%Stonehill 22.6%
66-74139.5Central Connecticut -8.4
Saint Francis at Wagner • FINAL7-24 • 14-17Final Score: Saint Francis 71-69 Wagner
Wagner 83.8%Saint Francis 16.2%
69-81149.1Wagner -12.1
Mercyhurst at Long Island University • FINAL17-17 • 24-11Final Score: Mercyhurst 58-60 Long Island University
Long Island University 73.7%Mercyhurst 26.3%
67-74140.9Long Island University -6.7
New Haven at Le Moyne • FINAL14-17 • 15-17Final Score: New Haven 47-73 Le Moyne
Le Moyne 72.0%New Haven 28.0%
66-72137.7Le Moyne -6.6
New Hampshire at NJIT • FINAL9-21 • 16-17Final Score: New Hampshire 76-80 NJIT
NJIT 73.3%New Hampshire 26.7%
68-74142.0NJIT -6.4
Binghamton at Vermont • FINAL8-22 • 22-12Final Score: Binghamton 59-60 Vermont
Vermont 94.3%Binghamton 5.7%
61-79139.3Vermont -18.2
UNC Wilmington at Northeastern • FINAL27-7 • 8-23Final Score: UNC Wilmington 87-78 Northeastern
UNC Wilmington 82.2%Northeastern 17.8%
81-71152.0UNC Wilmington -9.5
Elon at North Carolina A&T • FINAL14-18 • 11-19Final Score: Elon 69-64 North Carolina A&T
North Carolina A&T 52.4%Elon 47.6%
78-79157.6North Carolina A&T -1.2
Hampton at Campbell • FINAL13-19 • 15-18Final Score: Hampton 72-86 Campbell
Campbell 80.0%Hampton 20.0%
71-79150.2Campbell -8.3
William & Mary at Monmouth • FINAL20-12 • 19-15Final Score: William & Mary 70-81 Monmouth
Monmouth 58.2%William & Mary 41.8%
76-79154.6Monmouth -2.5
Stony Brook at Drexel • FINAL17-15 • 17-16Final Score: Stony Brook 37-56 Drexel
Drexel 62.2%Stony Brook 37.8%
67-71138.4Drexel -4.2
App State at Georgia State • FINAL19-13 • 10-22Final Score: App State 52-50 Georgia State
App State 76.8%Georgia State 23.2%
74-68141.5App State -6.5
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina • FINAL12-21 • 19-13Final Score: Old Dominion 70-66 Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina 61.4%Old Dominion 38.6%
74-78152.0Coastal Carolina -4.8
West Georgia at North Florida • FINAL15-17 • 7-25Final Score: West Georgia 85-73 North Florida
West Georgia 57.5%North Florida 42.5%
84-83166.9West Georgia -1.5
Queens University at Jacksonville • FINAL21-14 • 12-20Final Score: Queens University 77-51 Jacksonville
Queens University 59.7%Jacksonville 40.3%
81-80160.9Queens University -0.5
North Alabama at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL9-21 • 11-21Final Score: North Alabama 80-88 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 83.8%North Alabama 16.2%
73-84157.7Eastern Kentucky -11.3
Lipscomb at Stetson • FINAL18-13 • 12-21Final Score: Lipscomb 83-91 Stetson
Lipscomb 59.2%Stetson 40.8%
79-76154.4Lipscomb -2.6
Central Arkansas at Bellarmine • FINAL22-12 • 13-19Final Score: Central Arkansas 78-84 Bellarmine
Central Arkansas 62.4%Bellarmine 37.6%
83-80163.0Central Arkansas -3.4
Austin Peay at Florida Gulf Coast • FINAL22-9 • 16-18Final Score: Austin Peay 82-71 Florida Gulf Coast
Austin Peay 54.5%Florida Gulf Coast 45.5%
79-78157.4Austin Peay -1.0
Liberty at Louisiana Tech • FINAL26-8 • 20-14Final Score: Liberty 72-56 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 53.3%Liberty 46.7%
70-72141.6Louisiana Tech -2.1
UT Martin at Morehead State • FINAL22-11 • 20-13Final Score: UT Martin 76-68 Morehead State
Morehead State 55.7%UT Martin 44.3%
70-71141.3Morehead State -0.6
Delaware at Sam Houston • FINAL10-21 • 22-12Final Score: Delaware 60-72 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 91.2%Delaware 8.8%
68-84151.3Sam Houston -16.2
Denver at South Dakota State • FINAL15-17 • 14-18Final Score: Denver 79-87 South Dakota State
South Dakota State 63.8%Denver 36.2%
78-83160.7South Dakota State -5.5
North Dakota State at Kansas City • FINAL27-8 • 4-27Final Score: North Dakota State 97-73 Kansas City
North Dakota State 96.1%Kansas City 3.9%
87-67154.4North Dakota State -20.2
North Dakota at Omaha • FINAL18-17 • 16-17Final Score: North Dakota 79-90 Omaha
Omaha 64.5%North Dakota 35.5%
76-80155.9Omaha -4.6
Texas State at Southern Miss • FINAL19-13 • 19-16Final Score: Texas State 70-80 Southern Miss
Southern Miss 63.8%Texas State 36.2%
72-76147.9Southern Miss -4.1
Weber State at Northern Arizona • FINAL16-16 • 10-22Final Score: Weber State 78-65 Northern Arizona
Weber State 72.6%Northern Arizona 27.4%
81-75156.0Weber State -5.5
Southern Utah at Utah Valley • FINAL10-22 • 25-9Final Score: Southern Utah 72-89 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 92.9%Southern Utah 7.1%
68-87154.9Utah Valley -18.3
Abilene Christian at Tarleton State • FINAL14-19 • 14-18Final Score: Abilene Christian 84-80 Tarleton State
Tarleton State 68.0%Abilene Christian 32.0%
70-76146.2Tarleton State -6.2
UL Monroe at Louisiana • FINAL4-28 • 11-22Final Score: UL Monroe 79-85 Louisiana
Louisiana 79.7%UL Monroe 20.3%
68-78146.0Louisiana -10.2
Tennessee State at Western Illinois • FINAL23-10 • 5-26Final Score: Tennessee State 90-68 Western Illinois
Tennessee State 94.1%Western Illinois 5.9%
83-67149.8Tennessee State -16.4
Southeast Missouri State at Southern Indiana • FINAL20-13 • 7-22Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 84-76 Southern Indiana
Southeast Missouri State 74.7%Southern Indiana 25.3%
73-68141.1Southeast Missouri State -5.7
Little Rock at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL12-20 • 19-13Final Score: Little Rock 73-70 SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville 73.7%Little Rock 26.3%
65-74139.7SIU Edwardsville -8.9
Tennessee Tech at Eastern Illinois • FINAL13-18 • 13-20Final Score: Tennessee Tech 61-71 Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois 51.3%Tennessee Tech 48.7%
71-72142.8Eastern Illinois -1.7
UC Davis at UC Santa Barbara • FINAL19-14 • 18-14Final Score: UC Davis 93-86 UC Santa Barbara
UC Santa Barbara 69.9%UC Davis 30.1%
74-80153.9UC Santa Barbara -6.3
Idaho State at Northern Colorado • FINAL13-20 • 20-12Final Score: Idaho State 72-85 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 79.9%Idaho State 20.1%
74-84158.0Northern Colorado -10.0
Montana at Idaho • FINAL18-16 • 21-15Final Score: Montana 79-73 Idaho
Idaho 79.9%Montana 20.1%
72-81153.5Idaho -8.9
Montana State at Eastern Washington • FINAL18-14 • 14-19Final Score: Montana State 68-64 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 59.0%Montana State 41.0%
77-79156.0Eastern Washington -1.5
Middle Tennessee at UTEP • FINAL17-15 • 11-20Final Score: Middle Tennessee 80-83 UTEP
Middle Tennessee 59.7%UTEP 40.3%
74-72145.7Middle Tennessee -1.7
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State • FINAL18-14 • 16-16Final Score: Western Kentucky 64-80 New Mexico State
New Mexico State 50.5%Western Kentucky 49.5%
76-78153.5New Mexico State -1.7
UC Riverside at Cal State Bakersfield • FINAL10-22 • 8-24Final Score: UC Riverside 66-67 Cal State Bakersfield
UC Riverside 62.1%Cal State Bakersfield 37.9%
79-77155.8UC Riverside -2.1
Seattle U at Oregon State • FINAL21-14 • 17-16Final Score: Seattle U 55-68 Oregon State
Oregon State 54.6%Seattle U 45.4%
71-71142.5Oregon State -0.5
Pacific at Portland • FINAL18-15 • 15-19Final Score: Pacific 89-90 Portland
Pacific 56.5%Portland 43.5%
75-73148.6Pacific -1.8
Cal Poly at Cal State Northridge • FINAL14-19 • 20-14Final Score: Cal Poly 90-95 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 71.1%Cal Poly 28.9%
81-89169.7Cal State Northridge -7.3
Long Beach State at UC Irvine • FINAL10-22 • 23-12Final Score: Long Beach State 64-74 UC Irvine
UC Irvine 92.0%Long Beach State 8.0%
67-84151.2UC Irvine -16.9
Cal State Fullerton at UC San Diego • FINAL18-16 • 23-11Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 88-71 UC San Diego
UC San Diego 72.2%Cal State Fullerton 27.8%
75-83158.5UC San Diego -7.6
Utah Tech at California Baptist • FINAL19-15 • 25-9Final Score: Utah Tech 72-84 California Baptist
California Baptist 85.0%Utah Tech 15.0%
68-79146.9California Baptist -11.4
Ohio State at Oregon • FINAL21-13 • 12-19Final Score: Ohio State 72-62 Oregon
Ohio State 77.4%Oregon 22.6%
78-72150.0Ohio State -6.6
San Francisco at Loyola Marymount • FINAL17-16 • 15-17Final Score: San Francisco 82-84 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 61.9%San Francisco 38.1%
72-76148.4Loyola Marymount -4.2
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.