Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 28, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Purdue at Indiana • FINAL30-9 • 18-14Final Score: Purdue 67-72 Indiana
Purdue 76.2%Indiana 23.8%
79-74153.6Purdue -5.2
Arkansas at Oklahoma • FINAL28-9 • 21-16Final Score: Arkansas 83-79 Oklahoma
Arkansas 57.3%Oklahoma 42.7%
87-85171.7Arkansas -1.4
Creighton at Marquette • FINAL15-18 • 12-20Final Score: Creighton 62-86 Marquette
Marquette 66.8%Creighton 33.2%
74-79153.0Marquette -4.8
Nebraska at Michigan • FINAL28-7 • 36-3Final Score: Nebraska 72-75 Michigan
Michigan 88.7%Nebraska 11.3%
69-83152.3Michigan -13.9
Providence at UConn • FINAL15-18 • 34-5Final Score: Providence 81-87 UConn
UConn 90.8%Providence 9.2%
71-87158.8UConn -15.9
Kentucky at Vanderbilt • FINAL22-14 • 27-9Final Score: Kentucky 55-80 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 74.4%Kentucky 25.6%
77-85161.6Vanderbilt -7.9
Missouri at Alabama • FINAL20-13 • 24-10Final Score: Missouri 64-90 Alabama
Alabama 86.8%Missouri 13.2%
79-91169.6Alabama -12.1
McNeese at SE Louisiana • FINAL27-6 • 9-21Final Score: McNeese 76-66 SE Louisiana
McNeese 93.2%SE Louisiana 6.8%
75-60135.3McNeese -15.2
Mississippi Valley State at Southern • FINAL3-30 • 17-17Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 69-80 Southern
Southern 97.1%Mississippi Valley State 2.9%
66-89155.0Southern -24.0
Incarnate Word at Houston Christian • FINAL12-19 • 12-20Final Score: Incarnate Word 75-81 Houston Christian
Incarnate Word 51.5%Houston Christian 48.5%
72-72144.0Houston Christian -0.1
Toledo at Akron • FINAL19-15 • 29-6Final Score: Toledo 81-91 Akron
Akron 78.4%Toledo 21.6%
77-87164.0Akron -10.3
Richmond at VCU • FINAL15-17 • 28-8Final Score: Richmond 69-77 VCU
VCU 90.3%Richmond 9.7%
70-84154.1VCU -14.5
Rhode Island at Dayton • FINAL16-16 • 25-12Final Score: Rhode Island 81-76 Dayton
Dayton 81.8%Rhode Island 18.2%
65-75140.4Dayton -9.5
Arizona State at UCF • FINAL17-16 • 21-12Final Score: Arizona State 76-79 UCF
UCF 76.7%Arizona State 23.3%
76-85160.5UCF -8.6
Virginia at Notre Dame • FINAL30-6 • 13-17Final Score: Virginia 100-97 Notre Dame
Virginia 83.6%Notre Dame 16.4%
81-71151.9Virginia -9.6
Syracuse at NC State • FINAL15-16 • 20-14Final Score: Syracuse 68-88 NC State
NC State 80.0%Syracuse 20.0%
74-83157.1NC State -9.7
Massachusetts at Miami (OH) • FINAL17-16 • 32-2Final Score: Massachusetts 84-86 Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) 82.3%Massachusetts 17.7%
77-89166.4Miami (OH) -11.7
Ohio at Kent State • FINAL15-17 • 24-10Final Score: Ohio 57-72 Kent State
Kent State 77.8%Ohio 22.2%
78-87164.7Kent State -9.4
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan • FINAL10-21 • 10-21Final Score: Eastern Michigan 65-100 Central Michigan
Central Michigan 64.0%Eastern Michigan 36.0%
72-76148.6Central Michigan -3.8
Buffalo at Bowling Green • FINAL17-15 • 18-14Final Score: Buffalo 89-78 Bowling Green
Bowling Green 74.4%Buffalo 25.6%
74-83156.6Bowling Green -9.2
Indiana State at UIC • FINAL11-21 • 19-16Final Score: Indiana State 74-76 UIC
UIC 86.8%Indiana State 13.2%
68-80148.4UIC -12.2
George Washington at Saint Louis • FINAL19-16 • 29-6Final Score: George Washington 76-79 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 78.2%George Washington 21.8%
75-85160.2Saint Louis -10.5
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech • FINAL11-20 • 19-13Final Score: Georgia Tech 65-71 Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech 90.2%Georgia Tech 9.8%
70-85155.0Virginia Tech -14.4
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois • FINAL10-21 • 9-21Final Score: Western Michigan 65-85 Northern Illinois
Western Michigan 73.2%Northern Illinois 26.8%
79-74152.9Western Michigan -4.2
Kansas State at West Virginia • FINAL12-20 • 21-14Final Score: Kansas State 54-59 West Virginia
West Virginia 82.6%Kansas State 17.4%
70-81150.4West Virginia -11.0
Saint Joseph's at Loyola Chicago • FINAL24-12 • 9-24Final Score: Saint Joseph's 85-64 Loyola Chicago
Saint Joseph's 72.3%Loyola Chicago 27.7%
75-69143.3Saint Joseph's -6.0
Boise State at San José State • FINAL20-12 • 9-24Final Score: Boise State 89-58 San José State
Boise State 80.9%San José State 19.1%
81-72153.3Boise State -8.6
Grand Canyon at Nevada • FINAL20-12 • 24-13Final Score: Grand Canyon 60-66 Nevada
Nevada 62.5%Grand Canyon 37.5%
72-75147.1Nevada -3.3
New Mexico at UNLV • FINAL26-11 • 18-16Final Score: New Mexico 89-61 UNLV
New Mexico 66.9%UNLV 33.1%
81-77157.9New Mexico -4.6
Lehigh at Army • FINAL18-17 • 11-21Final Score: Lehigh 64-67 Army
Lehigh 59.7%Army 40.3%
75-74149.5Lehigh -1.2
Baylor at Cincinnati • FINAL16-17 • 18-15Final Score: Baylor 57-67 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 69.0%Baylor 31.0%
73-78150.9Cincinnati -5.8
East Texas A&M at Lamar • FINAL11-21 • 12-19Final Score: East Texas A&M 61-82 Lamar
Lamar 75.8%East Texas A&M 24.2%
67-75141.9Lamar -8.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.