#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Tennessee at Georgia • FINAL25-12 • 22-11Final Score: Tennessee 86-85 Georgia
Georgia 50.2%Tennessee 49.8%
81-82162.8Georgia -1.6Butler at St. John's • FINAL16-16 • 30-6Final Score: Butler 70-92 St. John's
St. John's 92.2%Butler 7.8%
70-87156.5St. John's -16.7Minnesota at Wisconsin • FINAL15-18 • 24-11Final Score: Minnesota 63-67 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 88.8%Minnesota 11.2%
68-82149.8Wisconsin -13.5Texas at Auburn • FINAL21-15 • 21-16Final Score: Texas 82-88 Auburn
Auburn 69.4%Texas 30.6%
80-85164.9Auburn -5.0Houston at TCU • FINAL29-7 • 23-12Final Score: Houston 79-70 TCU
Houston 78.7%TCU 21.3%
76-69145.3Houston -7.1Florida at South Carolina • FINAL27-8 • 13-19Final Score: Florida 95-48 South Carolina
Florida 95.3%South Carolina 4.7%
88-70158.3Florida -17.7UCLA at Oregon • FINAL24-12 • 12-19Final Score: UCLA 73-57 Oregon
UCLA 74.3%Oregon 25.7%
77-71147.6UCLA -5.6Bucknell at Lafayette • FINAL10-23 • 11-21Final Score: Bucknell 79-81 Lafayette
Lafayette 72.0%Bucknell 28.0%
69-76144.3Lafayette -6.8Seattle U at Washington State • FINAL21-14 • 12-20Final Score: Seattle U 58-70 Washington State
Washington State 55.2%Seattle U 44.8%
73-74147.7Washington State -1.0South Dakota State at Omaha • FINAL14-18 • 16-17Final Score: South Dakota State 71-80 Omaha
South Dakota State 51.5%Omaha 48.5%
76-76152.5Omaha -0.4Old Dominion at Arkansas State • FINAL12-21 • 20-12Final Score: Old Dominion 75-71 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 84.3%Old Dominion 15.7%
74-86160.8Arkansas State -12.0Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois • FINAL23-13 • 16-16Final Score: Northern Iowa 50-65 Southern Illinois
Northern Iowa 55.1%Southern Illinois 44.9%
68-68135.8Northern Iowa -0.2La Salle at Fordham • FINAL9-23 • 17-15Final Score: La Salle 58-64 Fordham
Fordham 81.9%La Salle 18.1%
63-74137.2Fordham -11.6St. Bonaventure at Duquesne • FINAL17-17 • 18-15Final Score: St. Bonaventure 87-79 Duquesne
Duquesne 56.8%St. Bonaventure 43.2%
76-79154.7Duquesne -3.3Davidson at George Mason • FINAL20-14 • 23-10Final Score: Davidson 52-60 George Mason
George Mason 71.8%Davidson 28.2%
67-73140.2George Mason -6.6Rice at East Carolina • FINAL13-18 • 11-20Final Score: Rice 83-77 East Carolina
East Carolina 60.3%Rice 39.7%
74-76150.5East Carolina -2.4Charlotte at Temple • FINAL17-17 • 16-16Final Score: Charlotte 80-76 Temple
Temple 66.5%Charlotte 33.5%
71-77147.3Temple -5.8USC at Iowa • FINAL18-14 • 24-13Final Score: USC 72-73 Iowa
Iowa 90.7%USC 9.3%
68-82150.6Iowa -14.4Holy Cross at Colgate • FINAL11-22 • 18-15Final Score: Holy Cross 74-79 Colgate
Colgate 84.9%Holy Cross 15.1%
68-79147.3Colgate -11.7California at Florida State • FINAL22-12 • 18-15Final Score: California 61-63 Florida State
Florida State 68.0%California 32.0%
77-81158.0Florida State -4.6American University at Loyola Maryland • FINAL16-16 • 12-20Final Score: American University 68-77 Loyola Maryland
American University 57.8%Loyola Maryland 42.2%
76-75151.0American University -1.4Navy at Boston University • FINAL26-8 • 16-18Final Score: Navy 58-50 Boston University
Navy 55.4%Boston University 44.6%
73-72144.7Navy -1.7Oakland at Purdue Fort Wayne • FINAL16-16 • 17-15Final Score: Oakland 74-65 Purdue Fort Wayne
Oakland 62.6%Purdue Fort Wayne 37.4%
83-81164.1Oakland -1.1IU Indianapolis at Robert Morris • FINAL7-25 • 22-11Final Score: IU Indianapolis 58-74 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 91.8%IU Indianapolis 8.2%
74-91165.1Robert Morris -16.2Mississippi State at LSU • FINAL13-19 • 15-17Final Score: Mississippi State 80-66 LSU
LSU 82.9%Mississippi State 17.1%
76-88164.1LSU -11.2West Georgia at Bellarmine • FINAL15-17 • 13-19Final Score: West Georgia 74-77 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 65.8%West Georgia 34.2%
79-84163.4Bellarmine -4.6Central Arkansas at Queens University • FINAL22-12 • 21-14Final Score: Central Arkansas 100-90 Queens University
Queens University 56.3%Central Arkansas 43.7%
83-84166.7Queens University -1.3Austin Peay at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL22-9 • 11-21Final Score: Austin Peay 90-82 Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay 63.9%Eastern Kentucky 36.1%
83-80162.6Austin Peay -3.6Jacksonville State at Florida International • FINAL15-17 • 15-17Final Score: Jacksonville State 78-74 Florida International
Florida International 60.3%Jacksonville State 39.7%
74-78151.7Florida International -3.4Western Kentucky at Kennesaw State • FINAL18-14 • 21-14Final Score: Western Kentucky 69-72 Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 62.7%Western Kentucky 37.3%
78-83160.9Kennesaw State -4.9Evansville at Drake • FINAL7-25 • 14-20Final Score: Evansville 78-82 Drake
Drake 89.6%Evansville 10.4%
67-81147.9Drake -14.4Xavier at Seton Hall • FINAL15-18 • 21-12Final Score: Xavier 68-86 Seton Hall
Seton Hall 79.5%Xavier 20.5%
69-79148.4Seton Hall -10.4Belmont at Valparaiso • FINAL26-6 • 18-15Final Score: Belmont 78-77 Valparaiso
Belmont 69.4%Valparaiso 30.6%
79-74152.2Belmont -4.9North Texas at Tulsa • FINAL19-14 • 30-8Final Score: North Texas 66-82 Tulsa
Tulsa 87.1%North Texas 12.9%
69-81150.0Tulsa -12.9UAB at UTSA • FINAL20-12 • 5-25Final Score: UAB 83-73 UTSA
UAB 91.9%UTSA 8.1%
84-70154.0UAB -14.8Denver at Kansas City • FINAL15-17 • 4-27Final Score: Denver 69-61 Kansas City
Denver 89.1%Kansas City 10.9%
88-76164.0Denver -11.8Marshall at Texas State • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: Marshall 68-72 Texas State
Texas State 55.5%Marshall 44.5%
76-78154.3Texas State -2.3Sam Houston at Missouri State • FINAL22-12 • 16-18Final Score: Sam Houston 80-71 Missouri State
Sam Houston 51.2%Missouri State 48.8%
78-78155.7Sam Houston -0.2DePaul at Georgetown • FINAL16-16 • 13-18Final Score: DePaul 61-70 Georgetown
Georgetown 70.2%DePaul 29.8%
65-70134.8Georgetown -5.5Wyoming at Utah State • FINAL18-15 • 29-7Final Score: Wyoming 62-94 Utah State
Utah State 82.9%Wyoming 17.1%
71-83153.7Utah State -11.4Illinois State at Murray State • FINAL23-13 • 20-13Final Score: Illinois State 70-65 Murray State
Murray State 60.6%Illinois State 39.4%
77-79155.8Murray State -2.8San Diego at Pepperdine • FINAL12-21 • 9-23Final Score: San Diego 92-88 Pepperdine
Pepperdine 58.2%San Diego 41.8%
76-78154.6Pepperdine -2.2South Florida at Tulane • FINAL25-9 • 18-15Final Score: South Florida 97-83 Tulane
South Florida 90.2%Tulane 9.8%
86-73158.7South Florida -13.4Stanford at Miami • FINAL20-13 • 26-9Final Score: Stanford 70-79 Miami
Miami 77.0%Stanford 23.0%
72-81153.1Miami -9.5Delaware at New Mexico State • FINAL10-21 • 16-16Final Score: Delaware 73-64 New Mexico State
New Mexico State 85.7%Delaware 14.3%
66-79145.0New Mexico State -12.7Louisiana Tech at UTEP • FINAL20-14 • 11-20Final Score: Louisiana Tech 69-59 UTEP
Louisiana Tech 53.7%UTEP 46.3%
69-68137.5Louisiana Tech -0.9Portland at Pacific • FINAL15-19 • 18-15Final Score: Portland 51-74 Pacific
Pacific 78.2%Portland 21.8%
69-79148.6Pacific -10.0Oregon State at Loyola Marymount • FINAL17-16 • 15-17Final Score: Oregon State 72-69 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 66.0%Oregon State 34.0%
70-76146.8Loyola Marymount -6.2Colorado State at San Diego State • FINAL21-13 • 22-10Final Score: Colorado State 50-73 San Diego State
San Diego State 73.7%Colorado State 26.3%
71-79149.4San Diego State -8.3San Francisco at Santa Clara • FINAL17-16 • 26-9Final Score: San Francisco 73-88 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 89.6%San Francisco 10.4%
70-84154.2Santa Clara -14.7Bryant at Binghamton • FINAL9-22 • 8-22Final Score: Bryant 60-63 Binghamton
Binghamton 57.9%Bryant 42.1%
67-70136.5Binghamton -2.8Samford at Furman • FINAL18-14 • 22-13Final Score: Samford 73-78 Furman
Furman 61.9%Samford 38.1%
74-79152.8Furman -4.9UMass Lowell at New Hampshire • FINAL15-18 • 9-21Final Score: UMass Lowell 61-66 New Hampshire
UMass Lowell 64.2%New Hampshire 35.8%
75-73148.8UMass Lowell -1.9Wofford at Chattanooga • FINAL19-13 • 13-19Final Score: Wofford 81-55 Chattanooga
Chattanooga 55.7%Wofford 44.3%
77-80156.8Chattanooga -2.6Gardner-Webb at UNC Asheville • FINAL4-29 • 15-17Final Score: Gardner-Webb 50-69 UNC Asheville
UNC Asheville 94.3%Gardner-Webb 5.7%
66-86152.0UNC Asheville -20.0NJIT at UAlbany • FINAL16-17 • 11-20Final Score: NJIT 77-68 UAlbany
UAlbany 70.8%NJIT 29.2%
66-73139.4UAlbany -7.0THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.