THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Tennessee at Georgia • FINAL25-12 • 22-11Final Score: Tennessee 86-85 Georgia
Georgia 50.2%Tennessee 49.8%
81-82162.8Georgia -1.6
Butler at St. John's • FINAL16-16 • 30-6Final Score: Butler 70-92 St. John's
St. John's 92.2%Butler 7.8%
70-87156.5St. John's -16.7
Minnesota at Wisconsin • FINAL15-18 • 24-11Final Score: Minnesota 63-67 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 88.8%Minnesota 11.2%
68-82149.8Wisconsin -13.5
Texas at Auburn • FINAL21-15 • 21-16Final Score: Texas 82-88 Auburn
Auburn 69.4%Texas 30.6%
80-85164.9Auburn -5.0
Houston at TCU • FINAL29-7 • 23-12Final Score: Houston 79-70 TCU
Houston 78.7%TCU 21.3%
76-69145.3Houston -7.1
Florida at South Carolina • FINAL27-8 • 13-19Final Score: Florida 95-48 South Carolina
Florida 95.3%South Carolina 4.7%
88-70158.3Florida -17.7
UCLA at Oregon • FINAL24-12 • 12-19Final Score: UCLA 73-57 Oregon
UCLA 74.3%Oregon 25.7%
77-71147.6UCLA -5.6
Bucknell at Lafayette • FINAL10-23 • 11-21Final Score: Bucknell 79-81 Lafayette
Lafayette 72.0%Bucknell 28.0%
69-76144.3Lafayette -6.8
Seattle U at Washington State • FINAL21-14 • 12-20Final Score: Seattle U 58-70 Washington State
Washington State 55.2%Seattle U 44.8%
73-74147.7Washington State -1.0
South Dakota State at Omaha • FINAL14-18 • 16-17Final Score: South Dakota State 71-80 Omaha
South Dakota State 51.5%Omaha 48.5%
76-76152.5Omaha -0.4
Old Dominion at Arkansas State • FINAL12-21 • 20-12Final Score: Old Dominion 75-71 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 84.3%Old Dominion 15.7%
74-86160.8Arkansas State -12.0
Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois • FINAL23-13 • 16-16Final Score: Northern Iowa 50-65 Southern Illinois
Northern Iowa 55.1%Southern Illinois 44.9%
68-68135.8Northern Iowa -0.2
La Salle at Fordham • FINAL9-23 • 17-15Final Score: La Salle 58-64 Fordham
Fordham 81.9%La Salle 18.1%
63-74137.2Fordham -11.6
St. Bonaventure at Duquesne • FINAL17-17 • 18-15Final Score: St. Bonaventure 87-79 Duquesne
Duquesne 56.8%St. Bonaventure 43.2%
76-79154.7Duquesne -3.3
Davidson at George Mason • FINAL20-14 • 23-10Final Score: Davidson 52-60 George Mason
George Mason 71.8%Davidson 28.2%
67-73140.2George Mason -6.6
Rice at East Carolina • FINAL13-18 • 11-20Final Score: Rice 83-77 East Carolina
East Carolina 60.3%Rice 39.7%
74-76150.5East Carolina -2.4
Charlotte at Temple • FINAL17-17 • 16-16Final Score: Charlotte 80-76 Temple
Temple 66.5%Charlotte 33.5%
71-77147.3Temple -5.8
USC at Iowa • FINAL18-14 • 24-13Final Score: USC 72-73 Iowa
Iowa 90.7%USC 9.3%
68-82150.6Iowa -14.4
Holy Cross at Colgate • FINAL11-22 • 18-15Final Score: Holy Cross 74-79 Colgate
Colgate 84.9%Holy Cross 15.1%
68-79147.3Colgate -11.7
California at Florida State • FINAL22-12 • 18-15Final Score: California 61-63 Florida State
Florida State 68.0%California 32.0%
77-81158.0Florida State -4.6
American University at Loyola Maryland • FINAL16-16 • 12-20Final Score: American University 68-77 Loyola Maryland
American University 57.8%Loyola Maryland 42.2%
76-75151.0American University -1.4
Navy at Boston University • FINAL26-8 • 16-18Final Score: Navy 58-50 Boston University
Navy 55.4%Boston University 44.6%
73-72144.7Navy -1.7
Oakland at Purdue Fort Wayne • FINAL16-16 • 17-15Final Score: Oakland 74-65 Purdue Fort Wayne
Oakland 62.6%Purdue Fort Wayne 37.4%
83-81164.1Oakland -1.1
IU Indianapolis at Robert Morris • FINAL7-25 • 22-11Final Score: IU Indianapolis 58-74 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 91.8%IU Indianapolis 8.2%
74-91165.1Robert Morris -16.2
Mississippi State at LSU • FINAL13-19 • 15-17Final Score: Mississippi State 80-66 LSU
LSU 82.9%Mississippi State 17.1%
76-88164.1LSU -11.2
West Georgia at Bellarmine • FINAL15-17 • 13-19Final Score: West Georgia 74-77 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 65.8%West Georgia 34.2%
79-84163.4Bellarmine -4.6
Central Arkansas at Queens University • FINAL22-12 • 21-14Final Score: Central Arkansas 100-90 Queens University
Queens University 56.3%Central Arkansas 43.7%
83-84166.7Queens University -1.3
Austin Peay at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL22-9 • 11-21Final Score: Austin Peay 90-82 Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay 63.9%Eastern Kentucky 36.1%
83-80162.6Austin Peay -3.6
Jacksonville State at Florida International • FINAL15-17 • 15-17Final Score: Jacksonville State 78-74 Florida International
Florida International 60.3%Jacksonville State 39.7%
74-78151.7Florida International -3.4
Western Kentucky at Kennesaw State • FINAL18-14 • 21-14Final Score: Western Kentucky 69-72 Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 62.7%Western Kentucky 37.3%
78-83160.9Kennesaw State -4.9
Evansville at Drake • FINAL7-25 • 14-20Final Score: Evansville 78-82 Drake
Drake 89.6%Evansville 10.4%
67-81147.9Drake -14.4
Xavier at Seton Hall • FINAL15-18 • 21-12Final Score: Xavier 68-86 Seton Hall
Seton Hall 79.5%Xavier 20.5%
69-79148.4Seton Hall -10.4
Belmont at Valparaiso • FINAL26-6 • 18-15Final Score: Belmont 78-77 Valparaiso
Belmont 69.4%Valparaiso 30.6%
79-74152.2Belmont -4.9
North Texas at Tulsa • FINAL19-14 • 30-8Final Score: North Texas 66-82 Tulsa
Tulsa 87.1%North Texas 12.9%
69-81150.0Tulsa -12.9
UAB at UTSA • FINAL20-12 • 5-25Final Score: UAB 83-73 UTSA
UAB 91.9%UTSA 8.1%
84-70154.0UAB -14.8
Denver at Kansas City • FINAL15-17 • 4-27Final Score: Denver 69-61 Kansas City
Denver 89.1%Kansas City 10.9%
88-76164.0Denver -11.8
Marshall at Texas State • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: Marshall 68-72 Texas State
Texas State 55.5%Marshall 44.5%
76-78154.3Texas State -2.3
Sam Houston at Missouri State • FINAL22-12 • 16-18Final Score: Sam Houston 80-71 Missouri State
Sam Houston 51.2%Missouri State 48.8%
78-78155.7Sam Houston -0.2
DePaul at Georgetown • FINAL16-16 • 13-18Final Score: DePaul 61-70 Georgetown
Georgetown 70.2%DePaul 29.8%
65-70134.8Georgetown -5.5
Wyoming at Utah State • FINAL18-15 • 29-7Final Score: Wyoming 62-94 Utah State
Utah State 82.9%Wyoming 17.1%
71-83153.7Utah State -11.4
Illinois State at Murray State • FINAL23-13 • 20-13Final Score: Illinois State 70-65 Murray State
Murray State 60.6%Illinois State 39.4%
77-79155.8Murray State -2.8
San Diego at Pepperdine • FINAL12-21 • 9-23Final Score: San Diego 92-88 Pepperdine
Pepperdine 58.2%San Diego 41.8%
76-78154.6Pepperdine -2.2
South Florida at Tulane • FINAL25-9 • 18-15Final Score: South Florida 97-83 Tulane
South Florida 90.2%Tulane 9.8%
86-73158.7South Florida -13.4
Stanford at Miami • FINAL20-13 • 26-9Final Score: Stanford 70-79 Miami
Miami 77.0%Stanford 23.0%
72-81153.1Miami -9.5
Delaware at New Mexico State • FINAL10-21 • 16-16Final Score: Delaware 73-64 New Mexico State
New Mexico State 85.7%Delaware 14.3%
66-79145.0New Mexico State -12.7
Louisiana Tech at UTEP • FINAL20-14 • 11-20Final Score: Louisiana Tech 69-59 UTEP
Louisiana Tech 53.7%UTEP 46.3%
69-68137.5Louisiana Tech -0.9
Portland at Pacific • FINAL15-19 • 18-15Final Score: Portland 51-74 Pacific
Pacific 78.2%Portland 21.8%
69-79148.6Pacific -10.0
Oregon State at Loyola Marymount • FINAL17-16 • 15-17Final Score: Oregon State 72-69 Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount 66.0%Oregon State 34.0%
70-76146.8Loyola Marymount -6.2
Colorado State at San Diego State • FINAL21-13 • 22-10Final Score: Colorado State 50-73 San Diego State
San Diego State 73.7%Colorado State 26.3%
71-79149.4San Diego State -8.3
San Francisco at Santa Clara • FINAL17-16 • 26-9Final Score: San Francisco 73-88 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 89.6%San Francisco 10.4%
70-84154.2Santa Clara -14.7
Bryant at Binghamton • FINAL9-22 • 8-22Final Score: Bryant 60-63 Binghamton
Binghamton 57.9%Bryant 42.1%
67-70136.5Binghamton -2.8
Samford at Furman • FINAL18-14 • 22-13Final Score: Samford 73-78 Furman
Furman 61.9%Samford 38.1%
74-79152.8Furman -4.9
UMass Lowell at New Hampshire • FINAL15-18 • 9-21Final Score: UMass Lowell 61-66 New Hampshire
UMass Lowell 64.2%New Hampshire 35.8%
75-73148.8UMass Lowell -1.9
Wofford at Chattanooga • FINAL19-13 • 13-19Final Score: Wofford 81-55 Chattanooga
Chattanooga 55.7%Wofford 44.3%
77-80156.8Chattanooga -2.6
Gardner-Webb at UNC Asheville • FINAL4-29 • 15-17Final Score: Gardner-Webb 50-69 UNC Asheville
UNC Asheville 94.3%Gardner-Webb 5.7%
66-86152.0UNC Asheville -20.0
NJIT at UAlbany • FINAL16-17 • 11-20Final Score: NJIT 77-68 UAlbany
UAlbany 70.8%NJIT 29.2%
66-73139.4UAlbany -7.0
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.