Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 30, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Washington at Illinois • FINAL16-17 • 28-9Final Score: Washington 66-75 Illinois
Illinois 93.5%Washington 6.5%
68-86153.6Illinois -17.5
Colorado at Iowa State • FINAL17-16 • 28-8Final Score: Colorado 67-97 Iowa State
Iowa State 95.7%Colorado 4.3%
68-89156.4Iowa State -20.8
Western Carolina at East Tennessee State • FINAL15-16 • 23-11Final Score: Western Carolina 90-88 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 73.1%Western Carolina 26.9%
73-81153.7East Tennessee State -8.4
UMBC at Vermont • FINAL24-8 • 22-12Final Score: UMBC 55-64 Vermont
UMBC 54.0%Vermont 46.0%
70-70140.0UMBC -0.1
Radford at Charleston Southern • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: Radford 84-75 Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern 61.4%Radford 38.6%
81-86166.9Charleston Southern -4.3
Presbyterian at High Point • FINAL15-18 • 31-5Final Score: Presbyterian 81-84 High Point
High Point 95.3%Presbyterian 4.7%
67-88155.2High Point -21.0
Longwood at South Carolina Upstate • FINAL16-16 • 13-19Final Score: Longwood 60-65 South Carolina Upstate
South Carolina Upstate 53.3%Longwood 46.7%
75-77151.9South Carolina Upstate -1.7
New Haven at Mercyhurst • FINAL14-17 • 17-17Final Score: New Haven 51-70 Mercyhurst
Mercyhurst 76.9%New Haven 23.1%
62-70132.0Mercyhurst -8.4
Le Moyne at Long Island University • FINAL15-17 • 24-11Final Score: Le Moyne 61-83 Long Island University
Long Island University 78.4%Le Moyne 21.6%
69-78146.8Long Island University -8.6
Fairleigh Dickinson at Stonehill • FINAL11-21 • 12-21Final Score: Fairleigh Dickinson 57-58 Stonehill
Stonehill 61.4%Fairleigh Dickinson 38.6%
65-70134.9Stonehill -4.3
Stony Brook at Campbell • FINAL17-15 • 15-18Final Score: Stony Brook 81-69 Campbell
Campbell 73.3%Stony Brook 26.7%
73-79151.6Campbell -6.1
William & Mary at Elon • FINAL20-12 • 14-18Final Score: William & Mary 76-79 Elon
William & Mary 60.2%Elon 39.8%
82-80162.6William & Mary -1.7
Hampton at Drexel • FINAL13-19 • 17-16Final Score: Hampton 51-58 Drexel
Drexel 70.6%Hampton 29.4%
65-72137.0Drexel -6.3
North Carolina A&T at Monmouth • FINAL11-19 • 19-15Final Score: North Carolina A&T 81-83 Monmouth
Monmouth 84.1%North Carolina A&T 15.9%
69-80149.8Monmouth -11.2
Charleston at Hofstra • FINAL21-11 • 24-11Final Score: Charleston 66-64 Hofstra
Hofstra 75.4%Charleston 24.6%
69-78146.5Hofstra -8.7
VMI at The Citadel • FINAL5-26 • 11-22Final Score: VMI 56-80 The Citadel
The Citadel 77.4%VMI 22.6%
70-78149.0The Citadel -8.0
UNC Greensboro at Mercer • FINAL15-19 • 19-13Final Score: UNC Greensboro 77-95 Mercer
Mercer 79.1%UNC Greensboro 20.9%
76-87162.8Mercer -10.8
James Madison at Troy • FINAL18-15 • 22-12Final Score: James Madison 73-64 Troy
Troy 67.0%James Madison 33.0%
73-80152.6Troy -6.6
Stetson at North Florida • FINAL12-21 • 7-25Final Score: Stetson 84-77 North Florida
North Florida 52.4%Stetson 47.6%
82-83165.0North Florida -1.3
North Alabama at Florida Gulf Coast • FINAL9-21 • 16-18Final Score: North Alabama 64-72 Florida Gulf Coast
Florida Gulf Coast 88.4%North Alabama 11.6%
69-83152.5Florida Gulf Coast -13.9
Lipscomb at Jacksonville • FINAL18-13 • 12-20Final Score: Lipscomb 65-70 Jacksonville
Jacksonville 50.8%Lipscomb 49.2%
75-76150.3Jacksonville -0.9
Liberty at Middle Tennessee • FINAL26-8 • 17-15Final Score: Liberty 81-65 Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee 59.3%Liberty 40.7%
74-76149.9Middle Tennessee -2.8
Central Connecticut at Wagner • FINAL18-12 • 14-17Final Score: Central Connecticut 62-55 Wagner
Wagner 58.5%Central Connecticut 41.5%
71-74144.5Wagner -2.8
Georgia Southern at UL Monroe • FINAL21-16 • 4-28Final Score: Georgia Southern 0-0 UL Monroe
Georgia Southern 82.0%UL Monroe 18.0%
86-77162.6Georgia Southern -9.1
SIU Edwardsville at Morehead State • FINAL19-13 • 20-13Final Score: SIU Edwardsville 65-67 Morehead State
Morehead State 58.7%SIU Edwardsville 41.3%
71-72143.0Morehead State -1.7
Florida Atlantic at Memphis • FINAL18-15 • 13-19Final Score: Florida Atlantic 65-92 Memphis
Memphis 52.1%Florida Atlantic 47.9%
77-78155.0Memphis -1.0
Penn State at Northwestern • FINAL12-20 • 15-19Final Score: Penn State 73-94 Northwestern
Northwestern 87.7%Penn State 12.3%
69-82150.9Northwestern -13.0
Oral Roberts at South Dakota • FINAL10-23 • 16-16Final Score: Oral Roberts 69-77 South Dakota
South Dakota 67.5%Oral Roberts 32.5%
76-82158.6South Dakota -5.8
North Dakota at St. Thomas-Minnesota • FINAL18-17 • 24-10Final Score: North Dakota 81-80 St. Thomas-Minnesota
St. Thomas-Minnesota 90.9%North Dakota 9.1%
70-86156.4St. Thomas-Minnesota -15.5
Georgia State at Louisiana • FINAL10-22 • 11-22Final Score: Georgia State 72-82 Louisiana
Louisiana 61.7%Georgia State 38.3%
68-71139.2Louisiana -3.5
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama • FINAL19-13 • 21-12Final Score: Coastal Carolina 48-53 South Alabama
South Alabama 73.5%Coastal Carolina 26.5%
70-77146.0South Alabama -7.0
App State at Southern Miss • FINAL19-13 • 19-16Final Score: App State 70-63 Southern Miss
Southern Miss 50.8%App State 49.2%
71-72143.6Southern Miss -0.8
Eastern Washington at Northern Arizona • FINAL14-19 • 10-22Final Score: Eastern Washington 86-92 Northern Arizona
Eastern Washington 77.0%Northern Arizona 23.0%
80-75155.0Eastern Washington -5.3
Southern Utah at UT Arlington • FINAL10-22 • 18-14Final Score: Southern Utah 61-80 UT Arlington
UT Arlington 81.9%Southern Utah 18.1%
68-79147.1UT Arlington -11.2
Utah Valley at Tarleton State • FINAL25-9 • 14-18Final Score: Utah Valley 83-55 Tarleton State
Utah Valley 75.1%Tarleton State 24.9%
78-72149.9Utah Valley -6.4
Utah Tech at Abilene Christian • FINAL19-15 • 14-19Final Score: Utah Tech 76-70 Abilene Christian
Utah Tech 50.9%Abilene Christian 49.1%
74-75148.6Abilene Christian -0.6
Lindenwood at Southern Indiana • FINAL18-15 • 7-22Final Score: Lindenwood 73-60 Southern Indiana
Lindenwood 63.4%Southern Indiana 36.6%
74-70144.3Lindenwood -3.4
UT Martin at Eastern Illinois • FINAL22-11 • 13-20Final Score: UT Martin 76-68 Eastern Illinois
UT Martin 64.4%Eastern Illinois 35.6%
69-65133.6UT Martin -3.9
Southeast Missouri State at Western Illinois • FINAL20-13 • 5-26Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 78-74 Western Illinois
Southeast Missouri State 91.3%Western Illinois 8.7%
79-65144.0Southeast Missouri State -13.8
Little Rock at Tennessee State • FINAL12-20 • 23-10Final Score: Little Rock 63-70 Tennessee State
Tennessee State 85.6%Little Rock 14.4%
69-82151.6Tennessee State -12.7
UNC Wilmington at Towson • FINAL27-7 • 19-15Final Score: UNC Wilmington 82-73 Towson
UNC Wilmington 51.8%Towson 48.2%
70-70139.4Towson -0.2
Idaho at Northern Colorado • FINAL21-15 • 20-12Final Score: Idaho 83-91 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 63.8%Idaho 36.2%
77-81157.9Northern Colorado -4.4
Cal Poly at Cal State Bakersfield • FINAL14-19 • 8-24Final Score: Cal Poly 104-79 Cal State Bakersfield
Cal Poly 74.7%Cal State Bakersfield 25.3%
86-80165.9Cal Poly -5.4
Long Beach State at UC Riverside • FINAL10-22 • 10-22Final Score: Long Beach State 61-71 UC Riverside
UC Riverside 62.7%Long Beach State 37.3%
75-79154.2UC Riverside -3.7
UC Davis at Cal State Northridge • FINAL19-14 • 20-14Final Score: UC Davis 78-94 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 66.5%UC Davis 33.5%
78-83160.7Cal State Northridge -4.9
Hawai'i at UC Irvine • FINAL24-9 • 23-12Final Score: Hawai'i 76-87 UC Irvine
UC Irvine 72.2%Hawai'i 27.8%
72-78149.7UC Irvine -6.2
UC Santa Barbara at UC San Diego • FINAL18-14 • 23-11Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 62-48 UC San Diego
UC San Diego 67.5%UC Santa Barbara 32.5%
72-78149.7UC San Diego -5.5
Montana State at Sacramento State • FINAL18-14 • 10-21Final Score: Montana State 80-83 Sacramento State
Montana State 66.2%Sacramento State 33.8%
81-77157.6Montana State -4.3
Montana at Portland State • FINAL18-16 • 20-11Final Score: Montana 64-60 Portland State
Portland State 74.0%Montana 26.0%
72-79151.2Portland State -7.6
Princeton at Cornell • FINAL9-20 • 15-13Final Score: Princeton 64-87 Cornell
Cornell 87.1%Princeton 12.9%
73-86159.2Cornell -12.6
Kent State at Akron • FINAL24-10 • 29-6Final Score: Kent State 52-69 Akron
Akron 85.1%Kent State 14.9%
78-90168.1Akron -12.4
IU Indianapolis at Youngstown State • FINAL7-25 • 14-17Final Score: IU Indianapolis 76-85 Youngstown State
Youngstown State 79.3%IU Indianapolis 20.7%
76-87162.8Youngstown State -10.3
Siena at Niagara • FINAL23-12 • 8-22Final Score: Siena 82-79 Niagara
Siena 81.7%Niagara 18.3%
71-63134.2Siena -8.6
Georgia Southern at UL Monroe • FINAL21-16 • 4-28Final Score: Georgia Southern 79-76 UL Monroe
Georgia Southern 82.0%UL Monroe 18.0%
86-77162.6Georgia Southern -9.1
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.