Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayJanuary 22, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Pepperdine at Gonzaga • FINAL9-23 • 31-4Final Score: Pepperdine 60-84 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 99.0%Pepperdine 1.0%
61-93153.4Gonzaga -31.9
Maryland at Illinois • FINAL12-20 • 28-9Final Score: Maryland 70-89 Illinois
Illinois 98.4%Maryland 1.6%
62-89150.3Illinois -27.0
Xavier at Creighton • FINAL15-18 • 15-18Final Score: Xavier 93-94 Creighton
Creighton 65.3%Xavier 34.7%
76-82157.9Creighton -5.3
Texas at Kentucky • FINAL21-15 • 22-14Final Score: Texas 80-85 Kentucky
Kentucky 68.3%Texas 31.7%
77-83160.6Kentucky -5.7
Notre Dame at North Carolina • FINAL13-17 • 24-9Final Score: Notre Dame 69-91 North Carolina
North Carolina 90.3%Notre Dame 9.7%
69-84153.2North Carolina -15.0
Cincinnati at Arizona • FINAL18-15 • 36-3Final Score: Cincinnati 51-77 Arizona
Arizona 92.8%Cincinnati 7.2%
66-83149.5Arizona -17.3
Southern Illinois at Valparaiso • FINAL16-16 • 18-15Final Score: Southern Illinois 63-69 Valparaiso
Southern Illinois 50.4%Valparaiso 49.6%
71-72143.3Valparaiso -0.5
Northern Iowa at Illinois State • FINAL23-13 • 23-13Final Score: Northern Iowa 54-59 Illinois State
Northern Iowa 55.9%Illinois State 44.1%
68-68136.0Illinois State -0.3
Murray State at Drake • FINAL20-13 • 14-20Final Score: Murray State 90-101 Drake
Murray State 57.3%Drake 42.7%
80-80160.2Murray State -0.7
Indiana State at Bradley • FINAL11-21 • 21-13Final Score: Indiana State 68-75 Bradley
Bradley 83.5%Indiana State 16.5%
70-81151.4Bradley -10.7
Washington State at San Diego • FINAL12-20 • 12-21Final Score: Washington State 92-96 San Diego
Washington State 61.8%San Diego 38.2%
79-77155.7Washington State -1.4
South Dakota at Omaha • FINAL16-16 • 16-17Final Score: South Dakota 68-64 Omaha
Omaha 64.3%South Dakota 35.7%
77-82159.7Omaha -4.8
Colgate at American University • FINAL18-15 • 16-16Final Score: Colgate 66-70 American University
American University 60.9%Colgate 39.1%
73-77150.1American University -4.2
Rhode Island at Richmond • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: Rhode Island 69-68 Richmond
Richmond 60.3%Rhode Island 39.7%
71-74144.8Richmond -3.5
Fordham at Davidson • FINAL17-15 • 20-14Final Score: Fordham 63-68 Davidson
Davidson 69.2%Fordham 30.8%
66-71136.5Davidson -5.3
Tulane at Florida Atlantic • FINAL18-15 • 18-15Final Score: Tulane 74-79 Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic 79.0%Tulane 21.0%
71-81152.5Florida Atlantic -10.1
Army at Bucknell • FINAL11-21 • 10-23Final Score: Army 87-84 Bucknell
Bucknell 59.5%Army 40.5%
72-75147.7Bucknell -2.9
Gardner-Webb at Longwood • FINAL4-29 • 16-16Final Score: Gardner-Webb 56-91 Longwood
Longwood 94.2%Gardner-Webb 5.8%
67-88155.4Longwood -20.5
Charleston Southern at Presbyterian • FINAL15-17 • 15-18Final Score: Charleston Southern 83-87 Presbyterian
Presbyterian 60.1%Charleston Southern 39.9%
77-80157.0Presbyterian -2.7
Georgetown at Villanova • FINAL13-18 • 24-9Final Score: Georgetown 51-66 Villanova
Villanova 80.0%Georgetown 20.0%
65-75140.0Villanova -9.9
Pittsburgh at Boston College • FINAL13-20 • 11-20Final Score: Pittsburgh 62-65 Boston College
Pittsburgh 52.3%Boston College 47.7%
70-70139.8Boston College -0.8
Holy Cross at Navy • FINAL11-22 • 26-8Final Score: Holy Cross 68-85 Navy
Navy 93.2%Holy Cross 6.8%
61-79139.9Navy -17.9
Cleveland State at Wright State • FINAL11-22 • 23-12Final Score: Cleveland State 85-79 Wright State
Wright State 93.8%Cleveland State 6.2%
73-91164.4Wright State -18.5
Purdue Fort Wayne at Detroit Mercy • FINAL17-15 • 17-15Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 83-76 Detroit Mercy
Detroit Mercy 74.2%Purdue Fort Wayne 25.8%
76-82158.0Detroit Mercy -6.7
IU Indianapolis at Oakland • FINAL7-25 • 16-16Final Score: IU Indianapolis 103-85 Oakland
Oakland 88.1%IU Indianapolis 11.9%
81-94174.6Oakland -13.2
Furman at The Citadel • FINAL22-13 • 11-22Final Score: Furman 75-77 The Citadel
Furman 82.2%The Citadel 17.8%
79-70148.9Furman -9.1
Western Carolina at Mercer • FINAL15-16 • 19-13Final Score: Western Carolina 76-88 Mercer
Mercer 65.3%Western Carolina 34.7%
77-84160.7Mercer -6.3
East Tennessee State at Chattanooga • FINAL23-11 • 13-19Final Score: East Tennessee State 67-66 Chattanooga
East Tennessee State 68.4%Chattanooga 31.6%
78-74151.3East Tennessee State -4.3
Troy at Old Dominion • FINAL22-12 • 12-21Final Score: Troy 83-77 Old Dominion
Troy 56.5%Old Dominion 43.5%
79-77156.0Troy -1.9
North Alabama at Queens University • FINAL9-21 • 21-14Final Score: North Alabama 62-87 Queens University
Queens University 91.5%North Alabama 8.5%
73-88161.2Queens University -15.3
East Carolina at Wichita State • FINAL11-20 • 24-12Final Score: East Carolina 60-77 Wichita State
Wichita State 93.2%East Carolina 6.8%
66-84150.7Wichita State -18.0
Liberty at Western Kentucky • FINAL26-8 • 18-14Final Score: Liberty 76-69 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 67.3%Liberty 32.7%
75-80154.5Western Kentucky -4.7
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston • FINAL21-14 • 22-12Final Score: Kennesaw State 87-93 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 63.5%Kennesaw State 36.5%
79-83162.1Sam Houston -4.5
UTSA at North Texas • FINAL5-25 • 19-14Final Score: UTSA 62-81 North Texas
North Texas 94.9%UTSA 5.1%
62-82144.8North Texas -19.9
Temple at Rice • FINAL16-16 • 13-18Final Score: Temple 69-65 Rice
Temple 53.4%Rice 46.6%
74-74147.8Rice -0.2
Memphis at Tulsa • FINAL13-19 • 30-8Final Score: Memphis 66-83 Tulsa
Tulsa 91.7%Memphis 8.3%
71-87158.5Tulsa -16.2
Tarleton State at UT Arlington • FINAL14-18 • 18-14Final Score: Tarleton State 64-71 UT Arlington
UT Arlington 74.4%Tarleton State 25.6%
67-75142.3UT Arlington -7.5
Utah Valley at Southern Utah • FINAL25-9 • 10-22Final Score: Utah Valley 70-84 Southern Utah
Utah Valley 82.5%Southern Utah 17.5%
82-72154.9Utah Valley -10.1
Fresno State at New Mexico • FINAL13-19 • 26-11Final Score: Fresno State 74-83 New Mexico
New Mexico 91.4%Fresno State 8.6%
67-83150.5New Mexico -15.9
West Virginia at Arizona State • FINAL21-14 • 17-16Final Score: West Virginia 75-63 Arizona State
West Virginia 52.6%Arizona State 47.4%
73-73146.3West Virginia -0.6
Washington at Nebraska • FINAL16-17 • 28-7Final Score: Washington 66-76 Nebraska
Nebraska 83.4%Washington 16.6%
68-80148.1Nebraska -11.5
Virginia Tech at Syracuse • FINAL19-13 • 15-16Final Score: Virginia Tech 76-74 Syracuse
Virginia Tech 52.6%Syracuse 47.4%
76-77153.5Syracuse -0.6
Mississippi State at Texas A&M • FINAL13-19 • 20-12Final Score: Mississippi State 68-88 Texas A&M
Texas A&M 88.1%Mississippi State 11.9%
74-88161.2Texas A&M -14.0
Loyola Marymount at Seattle U • FINAL15-17 • 21-14Final Score: Loyola Marymount 59-69 Seattle U
Seattle U 66.3%Loyola Marymount 33.7%
69-74143.1Seattle U -5.6
Utah Tech at California Baptist • FINAL19-15 • 25-9Final Score: Utah Tech 64-73 California Baptist
California Baptist 85.0%Utah Tech 15.0%
68-79146.9California Baptist -11.4
Oregon State at Saint Mary's • FINAL17-16 • 27-6Final Score: Oregon State 51-81 Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's 95.2%Oregon State 4.8%
62-82144.0Saint Mary's -20.3
Northwestern at USC • FINAL15-19 • 18-14Final Score: Northwestern 74-68 USC
Northwestern 57.0%USC 43.0%
76-77153.2USC -0.3
San Diego State at Grand Canyon • FINAL22-10 • 20-12Final Score: San Diego State 69-70 Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon 61.7%San Diego State 38.3%
72-75147.5Grand Canyon -3.5
Central Arkansas at West Georgia • FINAL22-12 • 15-17Final Score: Central Arkansas 86-65 West Georgia
Central Arkansas 65.7%West Georgia 34.3%
82-78159.3Central Arkansas -3.9
Vermont at UMass Lowell • FINAL22-12 • 15-18Final Score: Vermont 77-68 UMass Lowell
Vermont 62.9%UMass Lowell 37.1%
75-73147.6Vermont -2.4
NJIT at UMBC • FINAL16-17 • 24-8Final Score: NJIT 74-87 UMBC
UMBC 94.3%NJIT 5.7%
60-79139.0UMBC -18.5
Binghamton at New Hampshire • FINAL8-22 • 9-21Final Score: Binghamton 82-88 New Hampshire
New Hampshire 66.5%Binghamton 33.5%
67-73140.6New Hampshire -5.6
UAlbany at Maine • FINAL11-20 • 8-24Final Score: UAlbany 49-52 Maine
UAlbany 54.8%Maine 45.2%
67-67133.6UAlbany -0.4
Green Bay at Youngstown State • FINAL18-15 • 14-17Final Score: Green Bay 81-88 Youngstown State
Youngstown State 51.3%Green Bay 48.7%
73-76149.3Youngstown State -2.7
Louisiana at App State • FINAL11-22 • 19-13Final Score: Louisiana 58-72 App State
App State 90.4%Louisiana 9.6%
60-75134.7App State -15.2
UL Monroe at Marshall • FINAL4-28 • 19-13Final Score: UL Monroe 60-115 Marshall
Marshall 94.6%UL Monroe 5.4%
71-91161.7Marshall -19.8
Stetson at Lipscomb • FINAL12-21 • 18-13Final Score: Stetson 74-79 Lipscomb
Lipscomb 80.0%Stetson 20.0%
72-83154.4Lipscomb -10.8
Florida Gulf Coast at Austin Peay • FINAL16-18 • 22-9Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 62-83 Austin Peay
Austin Peay 76.9%Florida Gulf Coast 23.1%
74-83157.4Austin Peay -9.2
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.