THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
0–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 365 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Michigan State at Michigan • FINAL27-8 • 36-3Final Score: Michigan State 75-62 Michigan
Michigan 85.1%Michigan State 14.9%
71-84154.8Michigan -12.6Marquette at Villanova • FINAL12-20 • 24-9Final Score: Marquette 66-81 Villanova
Villanova 78.6%Marquette 21.4%
71-81151.7Villanova -10.0Georgia at Auburn • FINAL22-11 • 21-16Final Score: Georgia 70-82 Auburn
Auburn 63.2%Georgia 36.8%
85-87171.4Auburn -2.3Florida at LSU • FINAL27-8 • 15-17Final Score: Florida 79-65 LSU
Florida 91.1%LSU 8.9%
89-75163.5Florida -14.0Kentucky at Alabama • FINAL22-14 • 24-10Final Score: Kentucky 83-96 Alabama
Alabama 75.6%Kentucky 24.4%
81-89169.7Alabama -7.5Iowa State at Houston • FINAL28-8 • 29-7Final Score: Iowa State 59-68 Houston
Houston 62.7%Iowa State 37.3%
70-74143.9Houston -3.8Tennessee at Texas A&M • FINAL25-12 • 20-12Final Score: Tennessee 77-69 Texas A&M
Tennessee 66.2%Texas A&M 33.8%
79-75154.2Tennessee -3.3West Virginia at Texas Tech • FINAL21-14 • 23-11Final Score: West Virginia 51-73 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 82.4%West Virginia 17.6%
68-78145.4Texas Tech -10.1Oregon at Wisconsin • FINAL12-19 • 24-11Final Score: Oregon 77-73 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 90.4%Oregon 9.6%
69-85154.2Wisconsin -15.4Clemson at SMU • FINAL24-10 • 20-14Final Score: Clemson 79-69 SMU
SMU 69.0%Clemson 31.0%
73-78150.5SMU -5.5Mississippi State at Oklahoma • FINAL13-19 • 21-16Final Score: Mississippi State 87-93 Oklahoma
Oklahoma 92.1%Mississippi State 7.9%
74-90164.5Oklahoma -16.2Oklahoma State at Kansas • FINAL20-15 • 24-11Final Score: Oklahoma State 64-96 Kansas
Kansas 81.1%Oklahoma State 18.9%
74-85158.7Kansas -10.8Ole Miss at Vanderbilt • FINAL15-20 • 27-9Final Score: Ole Miss 72-77 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 90.7%Ole Miss 9.3%
72-88159.9Vanderbilt -16.2Florida State at Louisville • FINAL18-15 • 24-11Final Score: Florida State 81-89 Louisville
Louisville 80.9%Florida State 19.1%
75-87161.4Louisville -11.8Manhattan at Iona • FINAL12-20 • 18-14Final Score: Manhattan 60-65 Iona
Iona 79.5%Manhattan 20.5%
71-81152.0Iona -10.2Dayton at Loyola Chicago • FINAL25-12 • 9-24Final Score: Dayton 72-76 Loyola Chicago
Dayton 85.6%Loyola Chicago 14.4%
77-66143.3Dayton -11.1Columbia at Brown • FINAL16-12 • 9-18Final Score: Columbia 61-86 Brown
Columbia 69.6%Brown 30.4%
74-71145.1Columbia -3.9Cornell at Yale • FINAL15-13 • 23-7Final Score: Cornell 88-92 Yale
Yale 82.4%Cornell 17.6%
76-87163.3Yale -10.7Harvard at Princeton • FINAL17-12 • 9-20Final Score: Harvard 71-76 Princeton
Harvard 62.4%Princeton 37.6%
70-68137.8Harvard -2.7Dartmouth at Pennsylvania • FINAL11-16 • 18-12Final Score: Dartmouth 75-88 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 85.8%Dartmouth 14.2%
71-83153.8Pennsylvania -11.4Cleveland State at Detroit Mercy • FINAL11-22 • 17-15Final Score: Cleveland State 73-65 Detroit Mercy
Detroit Mercy 85.0%Cleveland State 15.0%
76-88164.5Detroit Mercy -12.2Oakland at Purdue Fort Wayne • FINAL16-16 • 17-15Final Score: Oakland 66-80 Purdue Fort Wayne
Oakland 62.6%Purdue Fort Wayne 37.4%
83-81164.1Oakland -1.2Northern Kentucky at Wright State • FINAL20-14 • 23-12Final Score: Northern Kentucky 80-76 Wright State
Wright State 70.4%Northern Kentucky 29.6%
78-84161.2Wright State -6.1Green Bay at Robert Morris • FINAL18-15 • 22-11Final Score: Green Bay 85-94 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 75.4%Green Bay 24.6%
71-80151.6Robert Morris -8.8Niagara at Siena • FINAL8-22 • 23-12Final Score: Niagara 60-94 Siena
Siena 92.5%Niagara 7.5%
58-76134.2Siena -17.3Saint Peter's at Mount St. Mary's • FINAL17-12 • 15-17Final Score: Saint Peter's 58-69 Mount St. Mary's
Saint Peter's 50.9%Mount St. Mary's 49.1%
69-69137.9Mount St. Mary's -0.1Sacred Heart at Merrimack • FINAL14-19 • 23-11Final Score: Sacred Heart 60-59 Merrimack
Merrimack 86.5%Sacred Heart 13.5%
66-78143.6Merrimack -11.9Fairfield at Rider • FINAL21-13 • 4-25Final Score: Fairfield 69-49 Rider
Fairfield 86.2%Rider 13.8%
77-66142.8Fairfield -11.6Canisius at Marist • FINAL10-21 • 19-12Final Score: Canisius 81-89 Marist
Marist 91.8%Canisius 8.2%
57-74131.5Marist -17.2Kent State at Miami (OH) • FINAL24-10 • 32-2Final Score: Kent State 92-96 Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) 76.5%Kent State 23.5%
80-90170.1Miami (OH) -9.7Milwaukee at Youngstown State • FINAL12-20 • 14-17Final Score: Milwaukee 84-74 Youngstown State
Youngstown State 66.5%Milwaukee 33.5%
73-80153.1Youngstown State -6.7TCU at Cincinnati • FINAL23-12 • 18-15Final Score: TCU 63-75 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 67.0%TCU 33.0%
70-75145.8Cincinnati -5.2NJIT at UMBC • FINAL16-17 • 24-8Final Score: NJIT 91-95 UMBC
UMBC 94.3%NJIT 5.7%
60-79139.0UMBC -19.1Charleston at Drexel • FINAL21-11 • 17-16Final Score: Charleston 55-64 Drexel
Charleston 57.5%Drexel 42.5%
71-71142.1Charleston -0.1VMI at Furman • FINAL5-26 • 22-13Final Score: VMI 71-75 Furman
Furman 96.3%VMI 3.7%
63-85148.6Furman -21.7Richmond at Saint Joseph's • FINAL15-17 • 24-12Final Score: Richmond 62-78 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 68.3%Richmond 31.7%
71-77148.3Saint Joseph's -5.6Marshall at App State • FINAL19-13 • 19-13Final Score: Marshall 69-59 App State
App State 68.0%Marshall 32.0%
72-78150.0App State -5.8Central Michigan at Western Michigan • FINAL10-21 • 10-21Final Score: Central Michigan 86-57 Western Michigan
Western Michigan 59.3%Central Michigan 40.7%
76-79154.8Western Michigan -3.4Longwood at UNC Asheville • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: Longwood 82-87 UNC Asheville
UNC Asheville 63.0%Longwood 37.0%
74-77150.9UNC Asheville -3.5High Point at Gardner-Webb • FINAL31-5 • 4-29Final Score: High Point 90-67 Gardner-Webb
High Point 98.5%Gardner-Webb 1.5%
95-66161.0High Point -29.5South Carolina Upstate at Charleston Southern • FINAL13-19 • 15-17Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 79-69 Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern 72.0%South Carolina Upstate 28.0%
76-83159.1Charleston Southern -7.0Tulsa at Rice • FINAL30-8 • 13-18Final Score: Tulsa 50-71 Rice
Tulsa 84.4%Rice 15.6%
83-73156.4Tulsa -10.2Wake Forest at NC State • FINAL18-17 • 20-14Final Score: Wake Forest 73-85 NC State
NC State 68.7%Wake Forest 31.3%
77-84161.5NC State -7.0Georgia Tech at Boston College • FINAL11-20 • 11-20Final Score: Georgia Tech 54-69 Boston College
Boston College 69.4%Georgia Tech 30.6%
70-76145.2Boston College -5.8Davidson at Fordham • FINAL20-14 • 17-15Final Score: Davidson 80-69 Fordham
Fordham 55.2%Davidson 44.8%
67-70136.5Fordham -3.0Penn State at Minnesota • FINAL12-20 • 15-18Final Score: Penn State 69-60 Minnesota
Minnesota 80.6%Penn State 19.4%
68-78146.3Minnesota -10.5Fairleigh Dickinson at Saint Francis • FINAL11-21 • 7-24Final Score: Fairleigh Dickinson 80-85 Saint Francis
Fairleigh Dickinson 52.9%Saint Francis 47.1%
73-72145.5Fairleigh Dickinson -1.0Wagner at Chicago State • FINAL14-17 • 7-25Final Score: Wagner 64-52 Chicago State
Wagner 56.2%Chicago State 43.8%
72-70142.6Wagner -2.3Maine at Binghamton • FINAL8-24 • 8-22Final Score: Maine 69-71 Binghamton
Binghamton 53.8%Maine 46.2%
65-67132.5Binghamton -1.8UNC Wilmington at Hampton • FINAL27-7 • 13-19Final Score: UNC Wilmington 70-83 Hampton
UNC Wilmington 78.1%Hampton 21.9%
75-68142.7UNC Wilmington -7.1Towson at Campbell • FINAL19-15 • 15-18Final Score: Towson 76-67 Campbell
Campbell 54.6%Towson 45.4%
73-74146.8Campbell -1.3Stony Brook at North Carolina A&T • FINAL17-15 • 11-19Final Score: Stony Brook 72-73 North Carolina A&T
Stony Brook 50.6%North Carolina A&T 49.4%
75-75149.3North Carolina A&T -0.2North Dakota State at North Dakota • FINAL27-8 • 18-17Final Score: North Dakota State 77-79 North Dakota
North Dakota State 76.8%North Dakota 23.2%
81-74154.7North Dakota State -7.5UNC Greensboro at Mercer • FINAL15-19 • 19-13Final Score: UNC Greensboro 78-61 Mercer
Mercer 79.1%UNC Greensboro 20.9%
76-87162.8Mercer -11.1East Tennessee State at Wofford • FINAL23-11 • 19-13Final Score: East Tennessee State 73-68 Wofford
East Tennessee State 62.1%Wofford 37.9%
78-75153.6East Tennessee State -3.0The Citadel at Chattanooga • FINAL11-22 • 13-19Final Score: The Citadel 75-76 Chattanooga
Chattanooga 84.0%The Citadel 16.0%
70-82151.9Chattanooga -11.9Tennessee State at Tennessee Tech • FINAL23-10 • 13-18Final Score: Tennessee State 74-77 Tennessee Tech
Tennessee State 68.2%Tennessee Tech 31.8%
79-75153.5Tennessee State -4.4Florida International at Liberty • FINAL15-17 • 26-8Final Score: Florida International 45-58 Liberty
Liberty 70.6%Florida International 29.4%
75-82156.6Liberty -6.6Pittsburgh at Notre Dame • FINAL13-20 • 13-17Final Score: Pittsburgh 72-76 Notre Dame
Notre Dame 60.3%Pittsburgh 39.7%
72-76147.5Notre Dame -3.7Rhode Island at Saint Louis • FINAL16-16 • 29-6Final Score: Rhode Island 66-81 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 90.5%Rhode Island 9.5%
66-83149.1Saint Louis -17.1Buffalo at Ball State • FINAL17-15 • 12-19Final Score: Buffalo 66-80 Ball State
Buffalo 60.5%Ball State 39.5%
74-73146.5Buffalo -1.4Evansville at UIC • FINAL7-25 • 19-16Final Score: Evansville 77-82 UIC
UIC 96.5%Evansville 3.5%
62-84145.4UIC -21.9Fresno State at Air Force • FINAL13-19 • 3-29Final Score: Fresno State 69-72 Air Force
Fresno State 89.8%Air Force 10.2%
79-65143.9Fresno State -14.4UL Monroe at Arkansas State • FINAL4-28 • 20-12Final Score: UL Monroe 70-95 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 97.1%UL Monroe 2.9%
69-93162.3Arkansas State -24.3Western Carolina at Samford • FINAL15-16 • 18-14Final Score: Western Carolina 72-93 Samford
Samford 65.3%Western Carolina 34.7%
77-82158.2Samford -5.1Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee • FINAL22-12 • 17-15Final Score: Sam Houston 70-74 Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee 52.7%Sam Houston 47.3%
77-78155.4Middle Tennessee -0.9Eastern Illinois at Morehead State • FINAL13-20 • 20-13Final Score: Eastern Illinois 67-62 Morehead State
Morehead State 79.1%Eastern Illinois 20.9%
68-76144.2Morehead State -8.8Baylor at Colorado • FINAL16-17 • 17-16Final Score: Baylor 74-76 Colorado
Baylor 54.5%Colorado 45.5%
82-81163.0Baylor -0.7Virginia at North Carolina • FINAL30-6 • 24-9Final Score: Virginia 66-81 North Carolina
North Carolina 52.4%Virginia 47.6%
76-77152.4North Carolina -1.1George Mason at VCU • FINAL23-10 • 28-8Final Score: George Mason 54-70 VCU
VCU 81.8%George Mason 18.2%
69-79148.1VCU -10.3Duquesne at St. Bonaventure • FINAL18-15 • 17-17Final Score: Duquesne 63-70 St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure 67.8%Duquesne 32.2%
75-80154.7St. Bonaventure -4.9Howard at Morgan State • FINAL24-11 • 14-16Final Score: Howard 87-81 Morgan State
Howard 84.4%Morgan State 15.6%
81-71152.3Howard -10.4South Carolina State at Delaware State • FINAL10-22 • 8-22Final Score: South Carolina State 94-88 Delaware State
Delaware State 55.7%South Carolina State 44.3%
66-70135.5Delaware State -4.0San José State at Wyoming • FINAL9-24 • 18-15Final Score: San José State 82-73 Wyoming
Wyoming 88.9%San José State 11.1%
69-84152.2Wyoming -15.0Boston University at American University • FINAL16-18 • 16-16Final Score: Boston University 44-48 American University
American University 56.8%Boston University 43.2%
73-77149.3American University -3.8Washington at Iowa • FINAL16-17 • 24-13Final Score: Washington 79-85 Iowa
Iowa 78.6%Washington 21.4%
69-78146.8Iowa -9.0Alcorn State at Jackson State • FINAL9-23 • 12-21Final Score: Alcorn State 63-71 Jackson State
Jackson State 66.5%Alcorn State 33.5%
74-79152.7Jackson State -4.9UT Rio Grande Valley at Nicholls • FINAL19-14 • 14-19Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 84-93 Nicholls
UT Rio Grande Valley 70.1%Nicholls 29.9%
76-71147.4UT Rio Grande Valley -5.0Long Island University at Le Moyne • FINAL24-11 • 15-17Final Score: Long Island University 76-61 Le Moyne
Long Island University 56.7%Le Moyne 43.3%
74-73146.8Long Island University -0.5Stonehill at Central Connecticut • FINAL12-21 • 18-12Final Score: Stonehill 41-67 Central Connecticut
Central Connecticut 77.4%Stonehill 22.6%
65-74139.5Central Connecticut -8.6Portland State at Weber State • FINAL20-11 • 16-16Final Score: Portland State 58-60 Weber State
Weber State 62.5%Portland State 37.5%
76-79155.3Weber State -3.3Eastern Washington at Northern Arizona • FINAL14-19 • 10-22Final Score: Eastern Washington 67-87 Northern Arizona
Eastern Washington 77.0%Northern Arizona 23.0%
80-75155.0Eastern Washington -5.5Georgia Southern at James Madison • FINAL21-16 • 18-15Final Score: Georgia Southern 73-78 James Madison
James Madison 70.4%Georgia Southern 29.6%
76-82157.5James Madison -6.0Hofstra at Delaware • FINAL24-11 • 10-21Final Score: Hofstra 78-65 Delaware
Hofstra 84.2%Delaware 15.8%
76-66142.0Hofstra -10.6Seattle U at Utah Valley • FINAL21-14 • 25-9Final Score: Seattle U 55-61 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 79.7%Seattle U 20.3%
67-77144.6Utah Valley -10.2Western Illinois at Little Rock • FINAL5-26 • 12-20Final Score: Western Illinois 61-75 Little Rock
Little Rock 92.6%Western Illinois 7.4%
64-80143.6Little Rock -16.4Presbyterian at Radford • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Presbyterian 80-73 Radford
Radford 65.8%Presbyterian 34.2%
75-80154.9Radford -5.3Norfolk State at Coppin State • FINAL15-17 • 7-24Final Score: Norfolk State 79-63 Coppin State
Norfolk State 80.3%Coppin State 19.7%
80-70149.5Norfolk State -10.1Florida A&M at Alabama State • FINAL14-16 • 10-22Final Score: Florida A&M 59-60 Alabama State
Alabama State 58.7%Florida A&M 41.3%
73-76148.6Alabama State -3.3UMass Lowell at Vermont • FINAL15-18 • 22-12Final Score: UMass Lowell 61-85 Vermont
Vermont 82.4%UMass Lowell 17.6%
68-79147.6Vermont -10.9East Texas A&M at SE Louisiana • FINAL11-21 • 9-21Final Score: East Texas A&M 65-83 SE Louisiana
SE Louisiana 63.2%East Texas A&M 36.8%
66-71136.7SE Louisiana -4.3Lamar at Houston Christian • FINAL12-19 • 12-20Final Score: Lamar 66-58 Houston Christian
Lamar 50.1%Houston Christian 49.9%
69-69138.5Lamar -0.3Coastal Carolina at Troy • FINAL19-13 • 22-12Final Score: Coastal Carolina 66-83 Troy
Troy 79.0%Coastal Carolina 21.0%
71-80151.0Troy -9.6Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois • FINAL10-21 • 9-21Final Score: Eastern Michigan 79-76 Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan 74.5%Northern Illinois 25.5%
76-71146.7Eastern Michigan -5.4Lindenwood at Southeast Missouri State • FINAL18-15 • 20-13Final Score: Lindenwood 58-74 Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State 74.0%Lindenwood 26.0%
71-78149.3Southeast Missouri State -6.3Lehigh at Lafayette • FINAL18-17 • 11-21Final Score: Lehigh 70-78 Lafayette
Lehigh 52.0%Lafayette 48.0%
73-73146.1Lafayette -0.1Bethune-Cookman at Alabama A&M • FINAL17-15 • 18-15Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 68-64 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 57.4%Bethune-Cookman 42.6%
73-77150.1Alabama A&M -3.2Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at McNeese • FINAL18-15 • 27-6Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 57-73 McNeese
McNeese 92.5%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 7.5%
62-79141.2McNeese -16.2UC Riverside at Cal Poly • FINAL10-22 • 14-19Final Score: UC Riverside 100-112 Cal Poly
Cal Poly 75.0%UC Riverside 25.0%
78-85163.0Cal Poly -7.5Cal State Northridge at UC Davis • FINAL20-14 • 19-14Final Score: Cal State Northridge 65-62 UC Davis
UC Davis 58.2%Cal State Northridge 41.8%
79-82160.7UC Davis -3.3Oregon State at San Diego • FINAL17-16 • 12-21Final Score: Oregon State 83-73 San Diego
Oregon State 61.3%San Diego 38.7%
76-75150.5Oregon State -0.9UTEP at Jacksonville State • FINAL11-20 • 15-17Final Score: UTEP 65-73 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 78.0%UTEP 22.0%
66-76141.3Jacksonville State -9.7New Mexico State at Kennesaw State • FINAL16-16 • 21-14Final Score: New Mexico State 60-49 Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 73.3%New Mexico State 26.7%
74-82155.6Kennesaw State -7.4Southern at Grambling • FINAL17-17 • 14-19Final Score: Southern 71-64 Grambling
Grambling 54.1%Southern 45.9%
74-77150.8Grambling -2.3Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Prairie View A&M • FINAL13-19 • 19-18Final Score: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 75-64 Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M 69.7%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 30.3%
76-84160.1Prairie View A&M -7.2South Alabama at Texas State • FINAL21-12 • 19-13Final Score: South Alabama 92-93 Texas State
Texas State 57.1%South Alabama 42.9%
71-74145.3Texas State -2.8Massachusetts at George Washington • FINAL17-16 • 19-16Final Score: Massachusetts 52-74 George Washington
George Washington 80.7%Massachusetts 19.3%
75-85160.4George Washington -10.2Murray State at Bradley • FINAL20-13 • 21-13Final Score: Murray State 83-85 Bradley
Bradley 64.5%Murray State 35.5%
78-83160.8Bradley -4.7Indiana State at Belmont • FINAL11-21 • 26-6Final Score: Indiana State 75-77 Belmont
Belmont 92.0%Indiana State 8.0%
69-86155.3Belmont -16.7Boise State at Nevada • FINAL20-12 • 24-13Final Score: Boise State 70-69 Nevada
Nevada 63.2%Boise State 36.8%
74-78151.5Nevada -4.1Mississippi Valley State at Texas Southern • FINAL3-30 • 12-17Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 38-79 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 95.6%Mississippi Valley State 4.4%
63-85148.6Texas Southern -21.7Cornell at Brown • FINAL15-13 • 9-18Final Score: Cornell 85-81 Brown
Cornell 78.5%Brown 21.5%
82-77159.3Cornell -5.7Harvard at Pennsylvania • FINAL17-12 • 18-12Final Score: Harvard 79-78 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 63.2%Harvard 36.8%
70-74143.9Pennsylvania -3.8Northwestern State at New Orleans • FINAL10-21 • 16-18Final Score: Northwestern State 73-66 New Orleans
New Orleans 76.0%Northwestern State 24.0%
69-76145.0New Orleans -7.6Stephen F. Austin at Incarnate Word • FINAL28-6 • 12-19Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 61-63 Incarnate Word
Stephen F. Austin 77.2%Incarnate Word 22.8%
77-70146.5Stephen F. Austin -7.3Santa Clara at Washington State • FINAL26-9 • 12-20Final Score: Santa Clara 109-79 Washington State
Santa Clara 78.5%Washington State 21.5%
83-75157.8Santa Clara -8.4Akron at Ohio • FINAL29-6 • 15-17Final Score: Akron 67-84 Ohio
Akron 81.4%Ohio 18.6%
87-77163.4Akron -10.0Virginia Tech at Miami • FINAL19-13 • 26-9Final Score: Virginia Tech 81-68 Miami
Miami 79.9%Virginia Tech 20.1%
73-83156.0Miami -10.1THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
0–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.