THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
0–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 365 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Villanova at Marquette • FINAL24-9 • 12-20Final Score: Villanova 74-87 Marquette
Villanova 57.0%Marquette 43.0%
77-75151.7Villanova -1.8Michigan at Purdue • FINAL36-3 • 30-9Final Score: Michigan 64-91 Purdue
Michigan 58.6%Purdue 41.4%
81-78158.2Michigan -2.8Duke at Wake Forest • FINAL35-3 • 18-17Final Score: Duke 63-56 Wake Forest
Duke 89.8%Wake Forest 10.2%
83-69152.7Duke -13.8Iowa State at Arizona State • FINAL28-8 • 17-16Final Score: Iowa State 76-61 Arizona State
Iowa State 90.6%Arizona State 9.4%
84-69153.2Iowa State -14.7Georgia at Florida • FINAL22-11 • 27-8Final Score: Georgia 59-89 Florida
Florida 90.4%Georgia 9.6%
77-92169.3Florida -14.5Houston at Kansas • FINAL29-7 • 24-11Final Score: Houston 92-86 Kansas
Houston 74.1%Kansas 25.9%
74-68142.0Houston -5.6Michigan State at Rutgers • FINAL27-8 • 13-20Final Score: Michigan State 81-74 Rutgers
Michigan State 89.6%Rutgers 10.4%
81-67147.6Michigan State -13.9Kentucky at Vanderbilt • FINAL22-14 • 27-9Final Score: Kentucky 69-74 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 74.4%Kentucky 25.6%
77-85161.6Vanderbilt -8.1Texas A&M at Texas • FINAL20-12 • 21-15Final Score: Texas A&M 69-70 Texas
Texas 71.3%Texas A&M 28.7%
77-84160.8Texas -6.3Mississippi State at South Carolina • FINAL13-19 • 13-19Final Score: Mississippi State 65-60 South Carolina
South Carolina 71.3%Mississippi State 28.7%
76-83158.8South Carolina -7.0Oregon at Minnesota • FINAL12-19 • 15-18Final Score: Oregon 69-77 Minnesota
Minnesota 66.5%Oregon 33.5%
68-74141.2Minnesota -5.8Ole Miss at Missouri • FINAL15-20 • 20-13Final Score: Ole Miss 75-83 Missouri
Missouri 72.7%Ole Miss 27.3%
74-82156.2Missouri -7.5West Virginia at Kansas State • FINAL21-14 • 12-20Final Score: West Virginia 60-73 Kansas State
West Virginia 63.1%Kansas State 36.9%
77-74150.4West Virginia -3.1Long Island University at Saint Francis • FINAL24-11 • 7-24Final Score: Long Island University 64-74 Saint Francis
Long Island University 80.9%Saint Francis 19.1%
80-71150.7Long Island University -9.0Wagner at Mercyhurst • FINAL14-17 • 17-17Final Score: Wagner 66-71 Mercyhurst
Mercyhurst 69.0%Wagner 31.0%
67-73139.4Mercyhurst -6.1Chicago State at Stonehill • FINAL7-25 • 12-21Final Score: Chicago State 73-75 Stonehill
Stonehill 67.0%Chicago State 33.0%
65-73137.7Stonehill -7.4Central Connecticut at Le Moyne • FINAL18-12 • 15-17Final Score: Central Connecticut 93-70 Le Moyne
Le Moyne 59.3%Central Connecticut 40.7%
72-75146.4Le Moyne -2.7Milwaukee at Northern Kentucky • FINAL12-20 • 20-14Final Score: Milwaukee 79-59 Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky 81.6%Milwaukee 18.4%
75-87162.2Northern Kentucky -11.6Kent State at Ohio • FINAL24-10 • 15-17Final Score: Kent State 59-61 Ohio
Kent State 55.9%Ohio 44.1%
83-82164.7Kent State -1.4Saint Joseph's at Dayton • FINAL24-12 • 25-12Final Score: Saint Joseph's 72-77 Dayton
Dayton 79.1%Saint Joseph's 20.9%
68-76143.8Dayton -8.8Penn State at Iowa • FINAL12-20 • 24-13Final Score: Penn State 75-76 Iowa
Iowa 95.0%Penn State 5.0%
64-84148.2Iowa -20.0St. Bonaventure at VCU • FINAL17-17 • 28-8Final Score: St. Bonaventure 61-75 VCU
VCU 87.5%St. Bonaventure 12.5%
70-84154.2VCU -13.5UCLA at Washington • FINAL24-12 • 16-17Final Score: UCLA 65-60 Washington
UCLA 53.7%Washington 46.3%
75-76151.3Washington -0.4SMU at NC State • FINAL20-14 • 20-14Final Score: SMU 63-57 NC State
NC State 56.0%SMU 44.0%
81-84165.3NC State -3.0Campbell at Hofstra • FINAL15-18 • 24-11Final Score: Campbell 69-67 Hofstra
Hofstra 80.6%Campbell 19.4%
70-81151.2Hofstra -11.1North Carolina A&T at Stony Brook • FINAL11-19 • 17-15Final Score: North Carolina A&T 74-89 Stony Brook
Stony Brook 74.0%North Carolina A&T 26.0%
71-79149.3Stony Brook -8.0Pittsburgh at Syracuse • FINAL13-20 • 15-16Final Score: Pittsburgh 77-73 Syracuse
Syracuse 66.8%Pittsburgh 33.2%
70-76146.5Syracuse -5.9Howard at Norfolk State • FINAL24-11 • 15-17Final Score: Howard 75-92 Norfolk State
Howard 72.3%Norfolk State 27.7%
78-73150.2Howard -5.1Georgetown at Providence • FINAL13-18 • 15-18Final Score: Georgetown 68-78 Providence
Providence 69.2%Georgetown 30.8%
73-79152.6Providence -5.7South Florida at East Carolina • FINAL25-9 • 11-20Final Score: South Florida 55-64 East Carolina
South Florida 90.2%East Carolina 9.8%
87-72159.4South Florida -14.8Northern Iowa at Indiana State • FINAL23-13 • 11-21Final Score: Northern Iowa 74-56 Indiana State
Northern Iowa 79.3%Indiana State 20.7%
73-66139.1Northern Iowa -7.3Bucknell at Boston University • FINAL10-23 • 16-18Final Score: Bucknell 82-85 Boston University
Boston University 89.4%Bucknell 10.6%
67-81147.8Boston University -14.3UMBC at Vermont • FINAL24-8 • 22-12Final Score: UMBC 80-63 Vermont
UMBC 54.0%Vermont 46.0%
70-70140.0UMBC -0.3Detroit Mercy at Wright State • FINAL17-15 • 23-12Final Score: Detroit Mercy 50-67 Wright State
Wright State 81.6%Detroit Mercy 18.4%
73-84157.4Wright State -10.8Jacksonville at Queens University • FINAL12-20 • 21-14Final Score: Jacksonville 87-77 Queens University
Queens University 80.4%Jacksonville 19.6%
76-85160.9Queens University -8.7UNC Greensboro at VMI • FINAL15-19 • 5-26Final Score: UNC Greensboro 60-57 VMI
UNC Greensboro 81.0%VMI 19.0%
81-74155.9UNC Greensboro -7.0Western Carolina at The Citadel • FINAL15-16 • 11-22Final Score: Western Carolina 80-78 The Citadel
Western Carolina 80.7%The Citadel 19.3%
81-73154.3Western Carolina -7.8Marist at Canisius • FINAL19-12 • 10-21Final Score: Marist 70-47 Canisius
Marist 80.2%Canisius 19.8%
70-61131.5Marist -9.0Siena at Iona • FINAL23-12 • 18-14Final Score: Siena 68-72 Iona
Siena 56.5%Iona 43.5%
71-70141.5Siena -0.8Seton Hall at Creighton • FINAL21-12 • 15-18Final Score: Seton Hall 54-79 Creighton
Seton Hall 55.4%Creighton 44.6%
72-71143.4Seton Hall -1.2Winthrop at High Point • FINAL23-11 • 31-5Final Score: Winthrop 62-84 High Point
High Point 87.4%Winthrop 12.6%
75-89164.5High Point -14.0Rhode Island at La Salle • FINAL16-16 • 9-23Final Score: Rhode Island 64-70 La Salle
Rhode Island 63.9%La Salle 36.1%
71-68139.0Rhode Island -3.7Saint Louis at George Washington • FINAL29-6 • 19-16Final Score: Saint Louis 61-67 George Washington
Saint Louis 56.5%George Washington 43.5%
81-79160.2Saint Louis -2.6Illinois State at Bradley • FINAL23-13 • 21-13Final Score: Illinois State 57-61 Bradley
Bradley 62.7%Illinois State 37.3%
72-76148.2Bradley -3.3Holy Cross at Loyola Maryland • FINAL11-22 • 12-20Final Score: Holy Cross 70-65 Loyola Maryland
Loyola Maryland 69.7%Holy Cross 30.3%
71-77148.1Loyola Maryland -6.5Cornell at Princeton • FINAL15-13 • 9-20Final Score: Cornell 85-76 Princeton
Cornell 71.0%Princeton 29.0%
82-77159.2Cornell -4.7Harvard at Yale • FINAL17-12 • 23-7Final Score: Harvard 55-84 Yale
Yale 87.4%Harvard 12.6%
64-77141.6Yale -12.8Columbia at Pennsylvania • FINAL16-12 • 18-12Final Score: Columbia 78-93 Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania 65.0%Columbia 35.0%
74-77151.2Pennsylvania -3.6Dartmouth at Brown • FINAL11-16 • 9-18Final Score: Dartmouth 84-83 Brown
Brown 58.7%Dartmouth 41.3%
72-76147.6Brown -3.9New Hampshire at UMass Lowell • FINAL9-21 • 15-18Final Score: New Hampshire 80-97 UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell 83.2%New Hampshire 16.8%
69-80148.8UMass Lowell -10.3Binghamton at Bryant • FINAL8-22 • 9-22Final Score: Binghamton 69-83 Bryant
Bryant 66.8%Binghamton 33.2%
66-71136.5Bryant -5.3Oakland at Robert Morris • FINAL16-16 • 22-11Final Score: Oakland 71-73 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 71.5%Oakland 28.5%
77-84160.5Robert Morris -7.3Purdue Fort Wayne at IU Indianapolis • FINAL17-15 • 7-25Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 91-80 IU Indianapolis
IU Indianapolis 51.0%Purdue Fort Wayne 49.0%
84-84168.7IU Indianapolis -0.1Delaware at Drexel • FINAL10-21 • 17-16Final Score: Delaware 54-67 Drexel
Drexel 78.0%Delaware 22.0%
64-74137.7Drexel -9.8Monmouth at William & Mary • FINAL19-15 • 20-12Final Score: Monmouth 73-78 William & Mary
William & Mary 66.5%Monmouth 33.5%
74-80154.6William & Mary -5.8North Florida at West Georgia • FINAL7-25 • 15-17Final Score: North Florida 72-92 West Georgia
West Georgia 79.0%North Florida 21.0%
78-88166.9West Georgia -9.9Lipscomb at Central Arkansas • FINAL18-13 • 22-12Final Score: Lipscomb 68-55 Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas 76.7%Lipscomb 23.3%
74-82155.8Central Arkansas -8.4Miami (OH) at Akron • FINAL32-2 • 29-6Final Score: Miami (OH) 75-102 Akron
Akron 74.6%Miami (OH) 25.4%
81-88168.8Akron -7.1Buffalo at Eastern Michigan • FINAL17-15 • 10-21Final Score: Buffalo 77-90 Eastern Michigan
Buffalo 54.8%Eastern Michigan 45.2%
76-75151.1Buffalo -0.2Rider at Quinnipiac • FINAL4-25 • 19-13Final Score: Rider 64-75 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 95.0%Rider 5.0%
62-82143.8Quinnipiac -20.6Sacred Heart at Niagara • FINAL14-19 • 8-22Final Score: Sacred Heart 86-77 Niagara
Sacred Heart 53.4%Niagara 46.6%
72-72143.7Sacred Heart -0.4Boston College at North Carolina • FINAL11-20 • 24-9Final Score: Boston College 96-102 North Carolina
North Carolina 94.0%Boston College 6.0%
64-82145.3North Carolina -18.3Tulane at Rice • FINAL18-15 • 13-18Final Score: Tulane 82-71 Rice
Rice 64.5%Tulane 35.5%
72-78149.8Rice -5.3New Mexico at UNLV • FINAL26-11 • 18-16Final Score: New Mexico 75-73 UNLV
New Mexico 66.9%UNLV 33.1%
81-77157.9New Mexico -4.9South Carolina Upstate at Longwood • FINAL13-19 • 16-16Final Score: South Carolina Upstate 54-80 Longwood
Longwood 70.8%South Carolina Upstate 29.2%
73-79151.9Longwood -6.7Colorado at Arizona • FINAL17-16 • 36-3Final Score: Colorado 63-78 Arizona
Arizona 97.2%Colorado 2.8%
69-93161.7Arizona -24.3Southern Illinois at UIC • FINAL16-16 • 19-16Final Score: Southern Illinois 89-85 UIC
UIC 67.8%Southern Illinois 32.2%
70-75145.0UIC -5.5Stetson at Bellarmine • FINAL12-21 • 13-19Final Score: Stetson 81-76 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 74.2%Stetson 25.8%
77-85161.4Bellarmine -7.6Northern Arizona at Idaho • FINAL10-22 • 21-15Final Score: Northern Arizona 80-72 Idaho
Idaho 91.1%Northern Arizona 8.9%
67-84151.0Idaho -16.0Marshall at Georgia Southern • FINAL19-13 • 21-16Final Score: Marshall 71-67 Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern 54.6%Marshall 45.4%
81-83164.2Georgia Southern -1.6App State at UL Monroe • FINAL19-13 • 4-28Final Score: App State 66-58 UL Monroe
App State 89.0%UL Monroe 11.0%
81-67148.4App State -13.8Texas State at Arkansas State • FINAL19-13 • 20-12Final Score: Texas State 65-80 Arkansas State
Arkansas State 80.7%Texas State 19.3%
73-82155.0Arkansas State -9.8Green Bay at Cleveland State • FINAL18-15 • 11-22Final Score: Green Bay 66-81 Cleveland State
Green Bay 73.0%Cleveland State 27.0%
83-78161.6Green Bay -5.2UNC Asheville at Charleston Southern • FINAL15-17 • 15-17Final Score: UNC Asheville 69-61 Charleston Southern
Charleston Southern 63.2%UNC Asheville 36.8%
77-82158.2Charleston Southern -5.0Western Kentucky at Sam Houston • FINAL18-14 • 22-12Final Score: Western Kentucky 75-66 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 63.8%Western Kentucky 36.2%
77-83160.0Sam Houston -5.4TCU at UCF • FINAL23-12 • 21-12Final Score: TCU 58-85 UCF
UCF 55.5%TCU 44.5%
78-80157.2UCF -1.8Temple at UTSA • FINAL16-16 • 5-25Final Score: Temple 79-88 UTSA
Temple 85.4%UTSA 14.6%
80-69148.9Temple -11.1Evansville at Valparaiso • FINAL7-25 • 18-15Final Score: Evansville 78-68 Valparaiso
Valparaiso 92.7%Evansville 7.3%
63-80143.8Valparaiso -16.8Drake at Missouri State • FINAL14-20 • 16-18Final Score: Drake 69-62 Missouri State
Missouri State 73.7%Drake 26.3%
72-79151.1Missouri State -6.9Belmont at Murray State • FINAL26-6 • 20-13Final Score: Belmont 95-77 Murray State
Belmont 60.0%Murray State 40.0%
84-81164.8Belmont -2.4Utah State at Air Force • FINAL29-7 • 3-29Final Score: Utah State 87-58 Air Force
Utah State 98.6%Air Force 1.4%
88-60148.4Utah State -27.8Colgate at American University • FINAL18-15 • 16-16Final Score: Colgate 77-81 American University
American University 60.9%Colgate 39.1%
73-77150.1American University -4.3NJIT at UAlbany • FINAL16-17 • 11-20Final Score: NJIT 62-68 UAlbany
UAlbany 70.8%NJIT 29.2%
66-73139.4UAlbany -7.2Weber State at Sacramento State • FINAL16-16 • 10-21Final Score: Weber State 87-81 Sacramento State
Weber State 57.3%Sacramento State 42.7%
83-81163.4Weber State -2.2DePaul at Butler • FINAL16-16 • 16-16Final Score: DePaul 69-86 Butler
Butler 72.9%DePaul 27.1%
72-78149.8Butler -6.6James Madison at Georgia State • FINAL18-15 • 10-22Final Score: James Madison 86-79 Georgia State
James Madison 72.8%Georgia State 27.2%
76-72148.1James Madison -4.5Florida Gulf Coast at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL16-18 • 11-21Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 77-81 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 53.0%Florida Gulf Coast 47.0%
80-82162.0Eastern Kentucky -1.4UT Arlington at Abilene Christian • FINAL18-14 • 14-19Final Score: UT Arlington 79-76 Abilene Christian
UT Arlington 57.3%Abilene Christian 42.7%
70-69139.2UT Arlington -1.6Chattanooga at East Tennessee State • FINAL13-19 • 23-11Final Score: Chattanooga 71-63 East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State 85.7%Chattanooga 14.3%
69-82151.3East Tennessee State -12.7Manhattan at Mount St. Mary's • FINAL12-20 • 15-17Final Score: Manhattan 74-64 Mount St. Mary's
Mount St. Mary's 70.6%Manhattan 29.4%
70-77146.4Mount St. Mary's -7.0Prairie View A&M at Alabama State • FINAL19-18 • 10-22Final Score: Prairie View A&M 63-66 Alabama State
Alabama State 52.7%Prairie View A&M 47.3%
77-78155.1Alabama State -0.7Delaware State at Maryland Eastern Shore • FINAL8-22 • 9-23Final Score: Delaware State 73-66 Maryland Eastern Shore
Maryland Eastern Shore 73.3%Delaware State 26.7%
61-68129.0Maryland Eastern Shore -7.1Coppin State at Morgan State • FINAL7-24 • 14-16Final Score: Coppin State 64-80 Morgan State
Morgan State 84.6%Coppin State 15.4%
69-82151.6Morgan State -13.0Radford at Presbyterian • FINAL16-16 • 15-18Final Score: Radford 82-69 Presbyterian
Presbyterian 59.0%Radford 41.0%
76-79154.9Presbyterian -2.9Baylor at Utah • FINAL16-17 • 10-22Final Score: Baylor 76-61 Utah
Baylor 76.2%Utah 23.8%
83-76158.9Baylor -6.9Bethune-Cookman at Jackson State • FINAL17-15 • 12-21Final Score: Bethune-Cookman 81-86 Jackson State
Bethune-Cookman 73.0%Jackson State 27.0%
81-75156.0Bethune-Cookman -6.7Nicholls at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL14-19 • 18-15Final Score: Nicholls 57-61 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74.6%Nicholls 25.4%
68-76144.1Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -8.8Incarnate Word at SE Louisiana • FINAL12-19 • 9-21Final Score: Incarnate Word 63-86 SE Louisiana
Incarnate Word 53.7%SE Louisiana 46.3%
69-69138.7Incarnate Word -0.2Furman at Mercer • FINAL22-13 • 19-13Final Score: Furman 79-74 Mercer
Mercer 63.0%Furman 37.0%
75-80155.3Mercer -4.6Ball State at Northern Illinois • FINAL12-19 • 9-21Final Score: Ball State 66-76 Northern Illinois
Ball State 69.8%Northern Illinois 30.2%
73-69142.2Ball State -4.2Tennessee Tech at UT Martin • FINAL13-18 • 22-11Final Score: Tennessee Tech 89-85 UT Martin
UT Martin 76.0%Tennessee Tech 24.0%
65-75139.9UT Martin -9.9Southeast Missouri State at Western Illinois • FINAL20-13 • 5-26Final Score: Southeast Missouri State 72-51 Western Illinois
Southeast Missouri State 91.3%Western Illinois 8.7%
79-65144.0Southeast Missouri State -14.4Morehead State at SIU Edwardsville • FINAL20-13 • 19-13Final Score: Morehead State 54-65 SIU Edwardsville
SIU Edwardsville 66.0%Morehead State 34.0%
68-75143.0SIU Edwardsville -6.7Southern Indiana at Eastern Illinois • FINAL7-22 • 13-20Final Score: Southern Indiana 64-60 Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois 69.0%Southern Indiana 31.0%
65-71136.3Eastern Illinois -5.9South Carolina State at North Carolina Central • FINAL10-22 • 14-18Final Score: South Carolina State 77-82 North Carolina Central
North Carolina Central 75.0%South Carolina State 25.0%
69-79147.9North Carolina Central -9.2Florida A&M at Alcorn State • FINAL14-16 • 9-23Final Score: Florida A&M 65-64 Alcorn State
Florida A&M 65.4%Alcorn State 34.6%
75-71146.7Florida A&M -4.1Little Rock at Lindenwood • FINAL12-20 • 18-15Final Score: Little Rock 78-46 Lindenwood
Lindenwood 69.4%Little Rock 30.6%
70-79149.1Lindenwood -8.1Clemson at Virginia Tech • FINAL24-10 • 19-13Final Score: Clemson 72-57 Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech 56.6%Clemson 43.4%
72-74145.5Virginia Tech -2.2Idaho State at Portland State • FINAL13-20 • 20-11Final Score: Idaho State 59-76 Portland State
Portland State 72.9%Idaho State 27.1%
71-80150.6Portland State -8.8Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington • FINAL20-12 • 14-19Final Score: Northern Colorado 67-62 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 58.7%Northern Colorado 41.3%
80-82162.0Eastern Washington -1.4Long Beach State at Cal Poly • FINAL10-22 • 14-19Final Score: Long Beach State 69-78 Cal Poly
Cal Poly 75.2%Long Beach State 24.8%
79-86164.3Cal Poly -7.0North Dakota at North Dakota State • FINAL18-17 • 27-8Final Score: North Dakota 82-87 North Dakota State
North Dakota State 90.1%North Dakota 9.9%
69-85154.7North Dakota State -15.7Texas Southern at Alabama A&M • FINAL12-17 • 18-15Final Score: Texas Southern 82-78 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 66.3%Texas Southern 33.7%
71-76146.9Alabama A&M -5.2McNeese at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL27-6 • 19-14Final Score: McNeese 93-63 UT Rio Grande Valley
McNeese 66.9%UT Rio Grande Valley 33.1%
74-70144.4McNeese -3.6Northwestern State at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL10-21 • 28-6Final Score: Northwestern State 57-54 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 93.1%Northwestern State 6.9%
60-78138.7Stephen F. Austin -18.2Davidson at Richmond • FINAL20-14 • 15-17Final Score: Davidson 72-66 Richmond
Richmond 54.9%Davidson 45.1%
72-74146.1Richmond -2.2Houston Christian at New Orleans • FINAL12-20 • 16-18Final Score: Houston Christian 86-76 New Orleans
New Orleans 79.5%Houston Christian 20.5%
69-78147.3New Orleans -9.1South Alabama at Troy • FINAL21-12 • 22-12Final Score: South Alabama 55-65 Troy
Troy 69.2%South Alabama 30.8%
72-78150.0Troy -6.6Santa Clara at Oregon State • FINAL26-9 • 17-16Final Score: Santa Clara 69-83 Oregon State
Santa Clara 78.9%Oregon State 21.1%
81-72152.5Santa Clara -9.0South Dakota at South Dakota State • FINAL16-16 • 14-18Final Score: South Dakota 71-90 South Dakota State
South Dakota State 76.0%South Dakota 24.0%
74-83157.1South Dakota State -8.6Wofford at Samford • FINAL19-13 • 18-14Final Score: Wofford 61-77 Samford
Samford 75.8%Wofford 24.2%
75-83158.2Samford -7.7Liberty at Florida International • FINAL26-8 • 15-17Final Score: Liberty 82-59 Florida International
Florida International 53.5%Liberty 46.5%
77-79156.6Florida International -1.6Notre Dame at Virginia • FINAL13-17 • 30-6Final Score: Notre Dame 74-59 Virginia
Virginia 93.4%Notre Dame 6.6%
67-85151.9Virginia -18.2Southern at Arkansas-Pine Bluff • FINAL17-17 • 13-19Final Score: Southern 83-67 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Southern 53.4%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 46.6%
81-81161.9Southern -0.8Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech • FINAL17-15 • 20-14Final Score: Middle Tennessee 69-75 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 56.6%Middle Tennessee 43.4%
69-72141.4Louisiana Tech -3.5THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
0–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.